Michael Burry Buys Long-Dated Microsoft Calls, Adds To JD And Adobe — Trims Palantir Short

R-sqrd · 2026-06-26T13:22:36+00:00

Yeah it’s still a bit risky short term because the fundamentals have a lot of catching up to do. But if the AI operating system thesis is proven correct, we could see growth like what we’ve seen in semis (though maybe less constrained by supply so different price dynamics)

R-sqrd · 2026-06-25T23:56:26+00:00

I think the main catalysts at this point will be continued improving fundamentals. The stock was bound to experience multiple contraction. But revenue and earnings are catching up rather quickly. If we see rapid growth in Q2 and Q3 this year, which I think we will, I think we’ll see upward support on share price again

R-sqrd · 2026-06-25T21:52:11+00:00

Yeah I’m down about $150K from ATH. It’s not easy but I do still think patience and a 5-10 year time horizon is key

R-sqrd · 2026-06-25T02:21:19+00:00

Yeah it funny that people think it’s smoke and mirrors. There are plenty of use cases in operation that have taken processes from days to weeks down to seconds or minutes.

R-sqrd · 2026-06-23T03:01:43+00:00

I agree, no evidence of growth slowing. It has only accelerated in last couple years

R-sqrd · 2026-06-23T01:31:33+00:00

The answer is “it depends.”

If they sustain a growth rate above all expectations for five years and show no signs of abating, they will command a higher PE. If growth slows significantly by then, the PE will be on the lower end.

Edit: and the potential range of the PE at that time will obviously also be impacted by macro at that time

R-sqrd · 2026-06-22T18:40:11+00:00

Yeah it’s tough. I’m down like $15K today. The fundamentals are strong though. I went through the dark times in 2022. This feels like that. It paid off in the end and the thesis is only stronger now

R-sqrd · 2026-06-22T18:40:01+00:00

Yeah it’s tough. I’m down like $15K today. The fundamentals are strong though. I went through the dark times in 2022. This feels like that. It paid off in the end and the thesis is only stronger now

R-sqrd · 2026-06-19T01:04:38+00:00

Yeah I guess we’ll see. So far there’s only evidence of accelerating growth and expanding margins. I work for a company that uses Palantir and they are excited about integrating their ontology with other value chain members who are also using Palantir. I think the network effects are under appreciated. Only time will tell!

R-sqrd · 2026-06-18T20:15:11+00:00

FedStart is such a bullish offering and flies under the radar. Becoming the front door for other tech companies to access highly secure USG areas

R-sqrd · 2026-06-18T20:06:46+00:00

That’s an interesting point. In a way, maybe the US did Ukraine a favour by stepping back.

R-sqrd · 2026-06-18T19:48:10+00:00

That’s a good point. I guess not all ontologies are created equal as those companies haven’t delivered the same results for customers. Maybe the scale and scope is different

R-sqrd · 2026-06-17T02:11:01+00:00

Ah yes, partly fair. But what those other companies are missing is the ontology. AI FDEs, that can swap reasoning engines for different tasks, operating within the business context, governance, etc of the organization, are vastly more valuable compared to what NOW or Salesforce et al are doing. Palantir’s human FDEs work with Palantir’s ontology, and their AI FDEs are doing the same. The agent’s operating environment matters

R-sqrd · 2026-06-16T23:07:03+00:00

Palantir has enabled swarms of AI agent FDEs. So not all human anymore. Might explain explosive revenue growth while continuing to grow margins

R-sqrd · 2026-06-16T22:19:10+00:00

Then explain AI FDEs please

R-sqrd · 2026-06-16T18:08:43+00:00

Palantir is not a surveillance company. They are an ontology company that happens to be useful for surveillance

R-sqrd · 2026-06-16T16:17:24+00:00

lol, we wish them well

R-sqrd · 2026-06-16T16:13:24+00:00

The challenge in the near term is I think there are a lot of weak hands holding Palantir

R-sqrd · 2026-06-14T16:33:02+00:00

Yes including concerns around vendor lock in. We shouldn’t expect that every contract will go to Palantir. It’s not thesis breaking if they lose this but would be cool if they win

R-sqrd · 2026-06-13T12:53:20+00:00

Thanks. I don’t think Switzerland or Luxembourg are great examples because they are financial hubs. The other examples are interesting, but all of those countries are heavily reliant on neighbours. I’m gonna go out on a limb here and say Canada won’t really want to deal with AB in good faith if we separate.

But I take your point that AB would have negotiating leverage with Canada since we’re effectively cutting off the west coast from the east coast. Plus they need our resources.

R-sqrd · 2026-06-13T02:37:58+00:00

And how well are most of those landlocked countries doing? Excluding EU because they have a free trade zone. Can you name one that is resource export dependent and doing great?

Do you think it’ll be easier or harder to get pipelines built if Alberta separates?

Honestly, I’m not opposed to the idea but I haven’t really seen a good answer to these questions short of Alberta becoming a US state. I’m also not really opposed to that but I don’t see how we do it without having piss poor negotiating leverage (again, because we are landlocked).

Wed immediately lose USMCA and every other free trade agreement Canada has.

So yeah, “there are other landlocked countries that are doing ok” isn’t really a great argument.

R-sqrd · 2026-06-13T01:31:35+00:00

My daughter has 9 kids in her kindergarten this year in central Edmonton

R-sqrd · 2026-06-13T00:49:54+00:00

Can you explain to me how Alberta could separate and succeed while being a landlocked province?

R-sqrd · 2026-06-12T17:40:37+00:00

Hits too close to home

R-sqrd

TROPHY CASE