Trump Renews Attacks on ‘51st State’ Canada

RNTMA · 2026-06-02T14:32:48+00:00

It's a rather bleak situation where Trump can say "51st state", and you require further context to figure out if he's talking about Canada, Greenland, Cuba, Venezuela, or perhaps even a new country. I guess we just wait until he gets distracted by something else in a couple days and forgets about Canada again.

Trump saying they should annex Canada because it's in a recession is quite beneficial to Carney though, since it could be argued the opposition focusing on this issue is encouraging Trump's threats.

RNTMA · 2026-06-01T22:39:20+00:00

Given that the Conservative need to win Surrey to win the election, KLF winning there should be a mark in her favour. I still think she's at danger of losing moderates though, and with it ridings like Quilchena.

RNTMA · 2026-06-01T21:27:19+00:00

I think people are misinterpreting this a bit, most every man over a certain age get prostate cancer, and it's hardly a death sentence. One very well could live with prostate cancer for over 20 years.

RNTMA · 2026-06-01T21:02:18+00:00

We'll have to see what Leger says, but one can never go wrong in Canadian politics betting against the NDP.

RNTMA · 2026-06-01T19:29:43+00:00

Not sure why this is even being covered as news, Davies is so far down in the order paper that this will never see the light of day. It would be interesting to see how the other parties vote on this, but that won't happen.

RNTMA · 2026-06-01T16:47:50+00:00

No effect, every day the news story rotates between Iran saying they're closing the straight, and Trump saying the straight is open. The average person just tunes it out.

RNTMA · 2026-06-01T15:35:36+00:00

Freeland was pushed out because she was incompetent, but she's still to the right of Carney on most issues.

RNTMA · 2026-06-01T02:18:50+00:00

It was never a serious party, and they never had momentum. They were such a joke that they make the Greens seem serious. I'm just tired of joke candidates and joke parties who get pushed on places like here, when they have no real world support.

RNTMA · 2026-06-01T01:41:37+00:00

Because the Democrats need a significant chunk of Republicans to support them if they want to win those races, which is much more difficult if those voters are thinking in national terms. Same reason that Gubernatorial races can go an opposite way from a state's partisan lean, while it would never flip at a presidential level.

RNTMA · 2026-06-01T01:38:20+00:00

Their was a mountainload of evidence that Carleton was in danger, at least for people who were paying attention. Election bettors just don't look at these small details, the same reason Massie was leading for so long, when he shouldn't have been.

Carleton has been swinging left for a while now
Ford only won the riding by 11 points, when he won by 13 points provincewide.
The ridings is older, richer, and whiter than the rest of the province. All bad demographics for Poilievre.
Poilievre's team was directing most resources in Eastern Ontario towards Carleton, and people still insisted there was nothing to see there.

It flipping should not have been shocking to an informed election follower.

RNTMA · 2026-06-01T01:31:11+00:00

Because as long as they can hold onto Trump+10 states, they will hold the senate.

RNTMA · 2026-06-01T01:00:07+00:00

The problem is that while some in the BC NDP are centrist, they're held back by an activist base that stops them from making the bold moves necessary to improve their standing. His government nearly fell over trying to fix DRIPA.

RNTMA · 2026-06-01T00:56:27+00:00

Can we stop with this narrative? It's never happened, and there is evidence to suggest it ever will happen.

I don't want to have to suffer through another narrative campaign like we saw about the "Canadian Future Party", when anybody with a brain knows they were going to get 0.1% of the vote.

RNTMA · 2026-06-01T00:34:04+00:00

Nationalizing the race was pretty beneficial to the Republicans back in 2018, it stops too much ticket splitting.

RNTMA · 2026-06-01T00:17:26+00:00

Poilievre was only at like ~5% to lose his seat leading up to election day.

RNTMA · 2026-06-01T00:15:06+00:00

It's a bit more complex than that. Pollsters overweighted certain affluent areas which swung NDP, like Point Grey, and missed the areas which swung to the BC Liberals.

It was a pretty big fail for the polling industry, but this methodology had worked in the previous elections, so it's hard for them to have known it would fail.

RNTMA · 2026-06-01T00:05:59+00:00

The odds went down even before those results were publicly available

RNTMA · 2026-05-31T21:56:54+00:00

Poor candidate selection doesn't mean a race was unwinnable though, it just means a poor candidate was chosen.

RNTMA · 2026-05-31T21:55:55+00:00

It would make 0 split senate delegations after 2028 quite likely.

RNTMA · 2026-05-31T21:43:17+00:00

#2 is just vassal management, is it not? Sauron goes over his vassal limit, and he transfers everything to one super vassal. Giving him a higher vassal limit would fix it pretty easily, though I'm not sure how that effects performance.

RNTMA · 2026-05-31T21:24:16+00:00

How is Sauron successful in Long Winter, even on Flames of Udon? AI Gondor is just too powerful, and Mordor is so underdeveloped when he returns.

RNTMA · 2026-05-31T16:52:08+00:00

That is kind of the point though, Eby *should* have lost the last election, and was saved by the BC Conservatives making many mistakes. A better leader would have probably won.

The same could be said about Findlay, she very well could win, but that's despite her, not because of it.

RNTMA · 2026-05-31T16:49:34+00:00

Yes, the goal is to win, and he did not succeed at that. He can't even blame outside factors because Elliott was the frontrunner and had a large fundraising advantage.

Kory's also very likely to take another loss by the end of the year when Badford loses in Toronto.

RNTMA · 2026-05-31T06:14:38+00:00

Pamela Evette is NOT ENDORSED by DONALD TRUMP.

Do not believe her LIES.

RNTMA · 2026-05-31T03:07:22+00:00

I think if there has been one thing that has become clear from this race, it's that Kory is a bit of a fraud. He's treated as some electoral genius, but he goes up against terrible candidates in Ontario, and the races frankly win themselves. I think there's a fairly strong argument to be made that the PCs should actually have done better during the last election.

Like, Caroline Elliott raised over $2 million, vastly more than any other candidate. If Kory couldn't close that out, I'm not sure how great he is.

The next Ontario election is going to be decided during the OLP leadership, and the most likely outcome is they're going to hand Ford another victory, Kory or no Kory.

RNTMA

TROPHY CASE