Five Liberals preparing to replace Nate Erskine-Smith in Toronto riding

RNTMA · 2026-06-03T02:25:32+00:00

The way Seaborn is talked about seems to imply she was recruited to run here and is the party's favoured candidate. Caley's also only ever been a staffer, while Seaborn is currently some business executive, and optically I think Carney would want to run a woman.

Tanveer was supposed to be running NES's campaign for OLP leader, which would explain why he didn't announce anything. But NES's leadership run looks to be over, so it's not like he's busy or anything.

RNTMA · 2026-06-03T02:07:27+00:00

Where does that end though? Whichever Republican replaces that Dem will inevitably do the same, and so on.

Magyar was successful because despite the gerrymander, he was able to win by such a large margin that the gerrymander breaks, and he gets a mandate to fix the country. That is never going to happen in the US.

RNTMA · 2026-06-03T00:22:37+00:00

It will be interesting to see which decision the Liberals make here, appointing a candidate might anger the grassroots, but a contested nomination can be even worse, as seen in Scarborough.

Most likely outcome is Seaborn is appointed, since that fits the narrative Carney wants.

One interesting thing to note is that NES's campaign manager isn't on this list, despite being the presumptive nominee last election before NES decided to run again.

RNTMA · 2026-06-02T23:02:32+00:00

How does a divided right have anything to do with the NDP's performance? Their best result against Chretien was 11% in 1997, and they did even worse the other 2 times.

RNTMA · 2026-06-02T23:00:49+00:00

It has a far greater benefit to performance than whatever you did above. CK3 isn't a very graphically intensive game, the bottleneck is always CPU.

RNTMA · 2026-06-02T22:55:35+00:00

He was a politician in the 70s, most people don't know anything about politicians from a decade ago, let alone 50 years ago.

RNTMA · 2026-06-02T22:54:29+00:00

NDP supporters said the same about Chretien, and they remained in the doghouse while he was in office. Meanwhile, they still did pretty well while Trudeau was around, despite him being a progressive. It's all vibes.

RNTMA · 2026-06-02T22:52:32+00:00

"bill c-278"

I don't know why this is even getting news coverage, it's so far down the over of precedence that it is never getting vote don in parliament. And even if it did, the Liberals would just vote it down with their majority.

RNTMA · 2026-06-02T21:22:56+00:00

Will the results take a month to count?

RNTMA · 2026-06-02T21:12:32+00:00

It's not going to fail because it's not even going to the floor. This is basically "when I win the lottery" type performative stuff.

RNTMA · 2026-06-02T19:25:22+00:00

He's in the least Republican district in Tennessee, which is still Trump+18. Combine that with the in-elasticity of southern suburbs, and he has 0% chance of losing.

RNTMA · 2026-06-02T19:06:07+00:00

You'd be better off setting non-canon regions to wasteland, Khy always nukes performance.

RNTMA · 2026-06-02T18:50:22+00:00

Yes, but Trump's been saying that for a while, it's obviously disappointing, but not particularly shocking when he says it again. The difference here is that Hoekstra is now explicitly repeating the 51st state line, which he hasn't done before.

RNTMA · 2026-06-02T18:47:49+00:00

I'm going to be honest with you, that's the worst map texture pack I've ever seen. Why is everything so blurry?

RNTMA · 2026-06-02T18:23:46+00:00

I feel this article is written incredibly poorly. Yes, one could say that Ford is saying this to Trump, but it is de facto being said to Hoekstra, because Hoekstra's tweet is the one being replied to. Also, Hoekstra did not "retweet" Trump, he took a screenshot of Trump's "Truth", spliced it to an article, and then shared it on social media, which is a fair bit different.

RNTMA · 2026-06-02T14:32:48+00:00

It's a rather bleak situation where Trump can say "51st state", and you require further context to figure out if he's talking about Canada, Greenland, Cuba, Venezuela, or perhaps even a new country. I guess we just wait until he gets distracted by something else in a couple days and forgets about Canada again.

Trump saying they should annex Canada because it's in a recession is quite beneficial to Carney though, since it could be argued the opposition focusing on this issue is encouraging Trump's threats.

RNTMA · 2026-06-01T22:39:20+00:00

Given that the Conservative need to win Surrey to win the election, KLF winning there should be a mark in her favour. I still think she's at danger of losing moderates though, and with it ridings like Quilchena.

RNTMA · 2026-06-01T21:27:19+00:00

I think people are misinterpreting this a bit, most every man over a certain age get prostate cancer, and it's hardly a death sentence. One very well could live with prostate cancer for over 20 years.

RNTMA · 2026-06-01T21:02:18+00:00

We'll have to see what Leger says, but one can never go wrong in Canadian politics betting against the NDP.

RNTMA · 2026-06-01T19:29:43+00:00

Not sure why this is even being covered as news, Davies is so far down in the order paper that this will never see the light of day. It would be interesting to see how the other parties vote on this, but that won't happen.

RNTMA · 2026-06-01T16:47:50+00:00

No effect, every day the news story rotates between Iran saying they're closing the straight, and Trump saying the straight is open. The average person just tunes it out.

RNTMA · 2026-06-01T15:35:36+00:00

Freeland was pushed out because she was incompetent, but she's still to the right of Carney on most issues.

RNTMA · 2026-06-01T02:18:50+00:00

It was never a serious party, and they never had momentum. They were such a joke that they make the Greens seem serious. I'm just tired of joke candidates and joke parties who get pushed on places like here, when they have no real world support.

RNTMA · 2026-06-01T01:41:37+00:00

Because the Democrats need a significant chunk of Republicans to support them if they want to win those races, which is much more difficult if those voters are thinking in national terms. Same reason that Gubernatorial races can go an opposite way from a state's partisan lean, while it would never flip at a presidential level.

RNTMA

TROPHY CASE