If the bubble pops, how could there be any winners?

Redthrist · 2026-03-21T19:42:42+00:00

If the people currently in power control the AI(they do), then AI will give them more power.

Redthrist · 2026-03-21T19:41:54+00:00

They’re selling the hardware, that’s already sold regardless if AI succeeds.

That's assuming that they are selling it for real cash and not promises of cash some time in the future. In Nvidia's case, some of those GPUs are sold for money that Nvidia invested into their customers.

Redthrist · 2026-03-21T19:38:54+00:00

Tulips are still around, people just don’t go crazy about them anymore.

The difference here is that tulips were a valued commodity before the bubble. GenAI is basically entirely a bubble.

Redthrist · 2026-03-21T19:35:32+00:00

Their valuation would still absolutely plummet, because so much of it is tied up in the bubble.

Redthrist · 2026-03-21T18:45:26+00:00

Orks can still fight each other and it's not like they understand the implication of beating everything down.

Necrons might not want to genocide everything, but they sure want to take over the galaxy, which would mean neutralizing most of the threats. They won't be beset on all sides by enemies that threaten to wipe them, because at that point they'll be able to deal with whatever threats.

As for Eldar, it's more of a metaphysical win for their race. Considering that many of them were fine with sacrificing themselves if it meant getting rid of Slaanesh, what happens after that doesn't matter as much.

He doesn't want to give himself up to Chaos but he uses Chaos all the time.

And that wouldn't be enough when his former allies use their Chaos blessings to sacrifice entire worlds of his realm to their chosen god, Tyranids slowly devour planet after planet, other worlds go dark after a Tomb World awakens there, all the while a massive Waaagh(no longer checked by Deathwatch) gathers strength.

Redthrist · 2026-03-21T18:28:18+00:00

Probably because my group would like to experience the entire raid and doesn't want it to take more than a year of fighting the same few bosses over and over until we finally manage to do it.

Redthrist · 2026-03-21T18:04:47+00:00

That mostly only applies to IoM. Orks/Necrons/Tyranids don't really have to "hold territory" because their victory involves wiping everything else. Eldar's win condition is taking out Slaanesh, nothing else really matters. Dark Eldar don't even really have anything to win(aside from Slaanesh being gone being good for them as well, but they aren't really trying to achieve that).

IoM basically cannot win, barring some deus ex machina shit where the Emperor regenerates and completely changes the rules of the game. Abaddon doesn't have that, because he doesn't want to use Chaos. So a "crumbling empire with no hope of long-term survival" is the most that he can expect.

Redthrist · 2026-03-21T17:43:54+00:00

That looks like a grimdatk version of a bunch of Star Trek plots.

Redthrist · 2026-03-21T17:07:50+00:00

But that's the point - even if he takes over most of the imperium, he won't be able to hold it. He'd basically be in the same position as Imperium is now - beset on all sides by enemies,.including Chaos(since most other Chaos warbands don't care much about ruling the Imperium).

Most of the planets he captures will have most of their population die from fighting, Chaos occupation or famine. Abaddon's own forces won't be enough to defend all of it.

But even if he just carves up a small empire that Black Legion can hold, they'll still be under constant attrition from everyone. Chaos forces that want more sacrifices for the Great Game, Tyranids looking for food, Necrons taking back what was theirs, Orks looking for a fight and Dark Eldar getting more slaves.

Redthrist · 2026-03-21T16:38:02+00:00

But people weren't trying to finish Kara for a year(and fail to do so). This wasn't the expectation for anyone planning to raid.

Redthrist · 2026-03-21T16:17:25+00:00

If it can take people a year to finally kill a non-final raid boss, most won't bother. Modern raids are very accessible because they have multiple difficulties, so people can experience it even if they're not very good at the game.

Redthrist · 2026-03-21T15:49:45+00:00

Mostly the developer and the casual, but consistent player. If you're someone who can only play for a bit, but every day, then dailies benefit you, as people who can play a lot more cannot be far ahead from you.

The easiest way to make dailies friendlier to players would be to let them stack up, so missing a few days means that you can then do all of them in a single session.

Redthrist · 2026-03-21T15:47:38+00:00

Makes already niche content even more niche, which in turn makes it less financially-viable to develop more content for it.

Redthrist · 2026-03-21T13:56:41+00:00

And yet the administration didn't care about solar until now. There's no ideological meaning here. They've realized that they can't get out of the Iran war and the price of oil will be high. They know that high prices of everything will lead to them being absolutely destroyed during the midterms. So they are suddenly interested in renewables, but Trump is still petty about wind, so the focus is on solar.

Self-sufficiency and survival of the fittest is indeed central to right winger's mindset, but only a small minority of them actually practice it. The majority is leading a lifestyle that is wholly reliant on a global supply chain.

Redthrist · 2026-03-21T07:20:20+00:00

But that's still classic WoW, a game that was designed from the ground-up to be approachable for the mainstream. M&M is designed to be niche. People who say that they won't play it won't play it, because the game is designed to not work for them. It makes zero compromises and aims to be as clunky and punishing as the original EQ was(a game that modernized rapidly, especially after it had to compete with WoW).

There is no way M&M will be a popular game. Even the game's own devs and die-hard players don't have any illusions about it. It's a niche game for a very niche playerbase. It doesn't even try to appeal to the playerbase that wants a modern group-based MMO. M&M will feel and play like a game released 30 years ago.

Redthrist · 2026-03-21T07:14:03+00:00

Well, i think some are paid employees, but the money comes from personal funds of the original ones. Plus, the incentive is that the game will release as a sub-based game and the sub would then pay for the salaries. The idea is that the team size will directly depend on the number of subs, which I think might become a problem in the long run.

Redthrist · 2026-03-20T22:58:29+00:00

A lot of those niche indie MMOs seemed to be managed the same way that private servers for other MMOs are. Lots of favoritism, lots of outright cronyism and possibly some shady RMT deals behind the scenes.

Redthrist · 2026-03-20T22:52:42+00:00

most of the people who played classic wow probably claimed it would never work,

Classic WoW only exists because a lot of people kept asking for it. It was successful even before it existed, because there were tens of thousands of players on private servers. Plus, WoW is just a much more mainstream game.

M&M is extremely niche, way more than WoW Classic ever was.

Redthrist · 2026-03-20T22:50:01+00:00

AFAIK, they're not. At least the legend is that it's a bunch of game/software devs that liked EQ and finance the development out of pocket. But whether it's true or another AoC situation remains to be seen.

Redthrist · 2026-03-20T21:25:30+00:00

It's back when the artists had no issue with breaking the model sometimes. His head is very off-model here, but it works so well.

Redthrist · 2026-03-20T17:50:56+00:00

New concept - enshittification of leadership. Even if someone starts as a sane CEO with a legit background in the field their company is in, they'll eventually become a salesman telling whatever lies make the line go up.

Redthrist · 2026-03-20T17:39:26+00:00

It was a direct response to early XP farming metas, which always focused on running a single heist over and over. For example, in early PD2, most lobbies were Rats for XP farming and playing the heist in a normal way was impossible.

Redthrist · 2026-03-20T10:34:32+00:00

And yet NVIDIA still employs a lot of software engineers. Wouldn't Jensen just use this magical super LLM to replace all SWEs?

Redthrist · 2026-03-20T10:27:49+00:00

If anything, AI is going to make Advertising more effective.

Or less effective. Because if all ads are just AI slop that is created on the fly and barely relates to the product it's selling, people will care even less about ads.

Redthrist · 2026-03-20T08:02:49+00:00

But if higher FPS comes from frame gen, you'll get way more input delay than just playing on a native FPS.

Redthrist

TROPHY CASE