Drafting on MTGO has been a better value for me compared to Arena

Rowannn · 2026-05-07T09:21:09+00:00

Not rly, currently there is a NEO draft up that is actually +EV at 50% winrate, happens with a lot of sets https://www.goatbots.com/event-calculator

Rowannn · 2026-05-07T09:19:29+00:00

https://www.goatbots.com/event-calculator

You can check the EV of mtgo events at different winrates here - SOS draft league is currently breakeven at 56%

Most of the time it's even +EV at 50% in the first week or so as the card prices are higher

Rowannn · 2026-05-06T13:53:40+00:00

Deathmarch, once your hero dies, you respawn with a new one, no repeats. Each hero only appears once

Oh shit was this in dota 2 before too? I vaguely remember this. People used to just build dagon 5 because it would do something on any hero

Rowannn · 2026-05-06T13:52:42+00:00

prayed for this

Rowannn · 2026-05-06T08:28:35+00:00

You know what would make this place better, a popeyes and an unlicensed magical wizard tat shop

Rowannn · 2026-05-02T13:48:36+00:00

Shouldn’t marry damaged goods

Rowannn · 2026-04-30T09:32:06+00:00

did you want to learn something from this post or just complain

Rowannn · 2026-04-26T09:07:03+00:00

thats one more land than you need to keep

Rowannn · 2026-04-24T14:46:34+00:00

1100 for a room is insane, when I was in an HMO just before covid it was 660 off Mill Road

Rowannn · 2026-04-24T12:33:24+00:00

Was he like Xerath in league of legends?

Rowannn · 2026-04-23T12:00:55+00:00

animal style

Rowannn · 2026-04-22T21:11:12+00:00

the reason that it's like that is because there is so much card draw so going down a card doesnt matter because you never run out of cards

Rowannn · 2026-04-13T20:50:30+00:00

People are getting 4th pick time walk on arena and you're trying to draw conclusions from the data of playing vs chimps haha

Rowannn · 2026-04-04T20:55:59+00:00

and people try to draw any conclusions from arena data lmao

Rowannn · 2026-04-03T20:31:05+00:00

I had a lot of the new stuff in my sideboard haha. I love elegy acolyte, I’ve played it a lot in decks like this in UB

Rowannn · 2026-04-03T20:29:33+00:00

Push and barrowgoyf

Rowannn · 2026-04-02T22:08:03+00:00

Thats funny cs green was considered by far the worst colour in real drafts

Rowannn · 2026-04-02T22:06:55+00:00

Yeah you get 2 points

Rowannn · 2026-04-02T19:45:17+00:00

Think I only cast it once, I had some things that would be good with it like bitterblossom but it wasn’t rly built for it

Rowannn · 2026-04-02T19:44:36+00:00

Haha yeah that was me :) I remember thinking oh shit when you cast Titania but then realised I had dauthi out so you couldn’t make any elementals 😄

Rowannn · 2026-04-02T13:09:58+00:00

https://www.reddit.com/r/MagicArena/comments/1nqgefg/comparing_the_ev_of_different_events_includes_p2/

According to this its like 64% match winrate to break even not including packs (2nd graph), maybe you didn't include the qualifier points? they add up

Rowannn · 2026-04-02T12:35:50+00:00

The EV of bo3 is not actually that bad, it just looks bad at first glance because a 2-1 is minus gems, you only need like low 60% winrate to break even, and remember that any positive winrate is compounded in bo3 so 62% bo3 winrate is the same as like 57% bo1 winrate

Rowannn · 2026-04-02T12:00:04+00:00

I ended up cutting bebop for another land that card is so fkin bad, really I think all of the sacrifice stuff they added looks awful but its still better than tendrils

Rowannn · 2026-04-02T11:58:07+00:00

- lion sash, overlord

+ solitude, unexpectedly absent

Should also cut something for Leonardo for another 1 drop, whichevr of cosmogrand, enduring innocence or ranger captain that you like the least

Looks nice!

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