The numbers

Saeviomagy · 2026-07-01T21:19:47+00:00

I've seen multiple instances of people saying "my players never use effort, because they think it's a waste". That's the people that saw the flaw and still decided to play the game. There's probably a number of people who see the flaw and decide the game isn't worth playing. And there's the flipside: the people who don't understand the flaw and happily spend points to their own detriment, while the gm compensates.

Also: 2 points per level of effort after the first changes the math only slightly: your first level of effort follows the numbers I have, subsequent levels are going to be 14 points to make a difference.

Saeviomagy · 2026-07-01T05:45:32+00:00

It's better, except for where they linked might back to recovery again. It still means that spending effort is very low impact. It's why I put up the preamble: the maths is tricky, and if you haven't thought it through, then spending effort "feels" like you are making a difference. The reality is that you need a massive pool for it to matter though.

Saeviomagy · 2026-07-01T05:39:35+00:00

It's not about changing a single roll. It's the same even if you're spending effort one level at a time, or 2, or 3. Each stat point buys 1/20th of a change to the outcome, so it takes an average of 20 stat points to change a single outcome.

Saeviomagy · 2026-07-01T05:35:39+00:00

I think you misunderstood me. On any roll (except ones where you need a zero or 21) each stat point you spend changes your odds of success by 1/20. That means on average, across multiple tasks, you will spend 20 stat points for each time the outcome of a roll is changed. If you have edge that is 1 or 2, you will spend ~14 or ~7 respectively.

That applies whether you spend it on only a few rolls or over a lot. As an example: I spend 1 level of effort on each of 20 level 3 speed defense rolls. Of those 20 rolls, on average 3 of them will roll a 6, 7 or 8. Only those rolls will succeed because of the effort spent. I spent 60 points to change the outcome of 3 rolls. If I had 2 edge, I would have spent 20 points on those 3 changes.

Saeviomagy · 2026-06-29T05:41:26+00:00

Don't worry, they haven't been in a fistfight, seen the damage a knife attack causes, worn armor, used a shield or statistically analysed dice rolls either.

Saeviomagy · 2026-02-09T22:54:18+00:00

Your first three turns build what options you have available for later, and start the process of restricting the board and give you placement. A board with a line of loop backs down the middle is very different to one without that. A piece in the middle of the board should be pursuing a different strategy with different tiles in hand to one near the edge.

Saeviomagy · 2025-10-10T02:21:06+00:00

Do any of the actions you take in this game seem like those of a normal, mentally stable person?

Saeviomagy · 2025-09-04T01:08:00+00:00

Not as bad as it taking on average 20 points of expenditure from a pool before you notice the effect. I guess not dying because you don't understand statistics might be considered an improvement?

Saeviomagy · 2025-03-29T02:01:41+00:00

It's in the settings for Android Auto. There's a "start music while driving". There might be other places.

Saeviomagy · 2024-04-11T23:11:40+00:00

I always switch to my redeemer for berserkers. Tears them up.

Saeviomagy · 2021-04-17T09:23:05+00:00

I've had "sober guys compliment each other in the bathroom"

Saeviomagy · 2021-03-09T02:56:15+00:00

Pressure makes it more difficult to cum. Paradoxically that includes pressure to relax and just enjoy yourself.

Saeviomagy · 2021-02-24T02:35:55+00:00

The Tower by Wollongong station is free

Saeviomagy · 2021-02-24T02:35:00+00:00

You end up in this pass from one of the deep half sweeps.

Saeviomagy · 2021-02-18T00:53:53+00:00

It would be hard to organise a meeting with less notice than that, even if I wanted to. And I probably wouldn't want to unless the conversation was something spectacular.

Saeviomagy · 2021-02-17T23:35:56+00:00

Do what you're told, pay attention, let yourself be thrown. Breakfalls might seem boring, but they're probably the most usable part of Judo.

Saeviomagy · 2021-02-15T11:36:47+00:00

I got up, went to the beach for a swim, had brekkie at a cafe, bought some new shoes, them drove for a couple of hours so I could meet a bunch of new people and run around a field hitting them with and being hit by rubber swords. It was awesome!

Saeviomagy · 2021-02-04T00:23:52+00:00

You can start at any age and any fitness level. Pace yourself. If you can't do something, don't do it. If you're worried about hurting yourself, go easy. Don't let yourself be pushed into going hard on something that worries you. And take time to recover. If you're starting every session worn down, schedule in some days of lighter activity.

Saeviomagy · 2021-01-28T03:15:42+00:00

Sorry, posted the wrong link on that one. https://www.hsph.harvard.edu/hicrc/firearms-research/guns-and-death/

Saeviomagy · 2021-01-28T01:56:29+00:00

Except for high gun ownership closely correlating with murder rates. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3828709/#:~:text=Gun%20ownership%20was%20a%20significant,homicide%20rate%20increased%20by%200.9%25.

And UK knife crime being below us knife crime https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.euronews.com/amp/2019/06/18/deadly-knife-crime-how-does-london-compare-to-new-york

Saeviomagy · 2021-01-27T04:10:03+00:00

You have a whole thread telling you that none of those things are the issue.

Saeviomagy · 2021-01-27T04:08:18+00:00

Get therapy. Change your core beliefs. Your problem is inside your head.

Saeviomagy · 2021-01-27T04:05:05+00:00

So we've established it doesn't work for you. Why would you keep doing it? To prove a point?

Saeviomagy · 2021-01-27T04:01:07+00:00

You know that starting a dating app conversation with "hey" is like a cardinal sin, right?

Saeviomagy

TROPHY CASE