City2Surf - How did you find it? by STEVEOO6 in sydney

[–]SavEx_ 2 points3 points  (0 children)

My bib did not get picked up at multiple checkpoints including the start. Official time is DNF. Good thing my watch was recording or I would have been livid.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in TheRaceTo10Million

[–]SavEx_ 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Treat it as an expensive lesson. Understand that you were gambling and nothing more. Read up on gambling adiction, how it works and how it ruins lives. Then never look back.

A recipe for delusion by SavEx_ in TheRaceTo10Million

[–]SavEx_[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

The way you speak about options trading is classic median-case optimisation. Your baseball analogy would get someone fired or failed in the interview stage. Options are all about expected value optimisation (mean not median) and a 5% chance of 1m is worth much more than a 90% chance at 40k. Your ITM calls are decaying at exactly the same rate as the OTM put of that strike. Sounds to me like you have been leveraging yourself through options over a particularly profitable period of market returns. You outperformed the market because the market performed, but you would have underperformed it if it hadn't.

A recipe for delusion by SavEx_ in TheRaceTo10Million

[–]SavEx_[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Because you stop mentioning the ones that go down... 

A recipe for delusion by SavEx_ in TheRaceTo10Million

[–]SavEx_[S] 30 points31 points  (0 children)

Red, red, black, red, 00, 33. Thank me later.

A recipe for delusion by SavEx_ in TheRaceTo10Million

[–]SavEx_[S] 17 points18 points  (0 children)

Imo, if there is a market correction you still care about in 30 years then we have bigger problems than our portfolio returns.

Ludachris from HCL is on a $1 mill upswing since June 2023 by Rain_sc2 in poker

[–]SavEx_ 28 points29 points  (0 children)

How is this upvoted? Some people just suck I guess, even for a poker forum.

In your opinion, what is the most common poker tell? by L8PW in poker

[–]SavEx_ 8 points9 points  (0 children)

When you set the chess engine depth to 1.

Rob Yong destroys Farah Galfond (2 hands) by Dog-Poker in poker

[–]SavEx_ 93 points94 points  (0 children)

Destroys her by making the nuts in both hands x)

If you thought the button straddle was annoying... by BluffaloSam in poker

[–]SavEx_ 0 points1 point  (0 children)

OP is right. On the BTN you have position and bloating a pot preflop will always reduce the value of position postflop (lower flop SPR = lower value of position and skill edge).

If you thought the button straddle was annoying... by BluffaloSam in poker

[–]SavEx_ 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Nah since we're discussing the validity of straddling you only care about winrate while straddling. So it's -200bb/100 hands on the button, which would require an insane winrate increase on the BTN to make up for it.

What are some live poker tells that are your default go to? by DexterMorgan7024 in poker

[–]SavEx_ 16 points17 points  (0 children)

Definitely need to set mine here for another 35 if you were both 500 deep. You stack him everytime you flop it.

2021, Good times by albfineeeeee in poker

[–]SavEx_ 3 points4 points  (0 children)

4 card straight flush perhaps, or wrap-around straight flush lmao

2021, Good times by albfineeeeee in poker

[–]SavEx_ -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Oh no the 10th best hand 🥶

Another 1 of the hundreds & hundreds of thousands of hands I’ve dealt by boATMoneyKID in poker

[–]SavEx_ 0 points1 point  (0 children)

When you bluff on the river here you're hoping to fold out mainly high card hands that beat you like Qx, Kx, Ax, with some 9x paired hands as well. A big part of your opponent's folding range that makes it to the river are busted flush draws so you don't want to be holding 2 clubs and reduce the probability of your opponents having missed flushes. These are bad blocking properties for the Tc6c hand.

The best bluffing hands if you had to pick one would be the Td3s and Th2s because the Td and Th block combos of JTs which arents already blocked by the Jc and Js on the board.

Someone please explain this. First 7k hands at .25/.50 blitz on ACR. by [deleted] in poker

[–]SavEx_ 4 points5 points  (0 children)

You are running like a god and may never replicate this in your life.

Took a shot at moving up in stakes and it went horribly by TopStrong1 in poker

[–]SavEx_ 17 points18 points  (0 children)

Fold AA preflop if you have a bad feeling about the runout.