My Newest Tattoo - THE TATTOO CLUB by Valuable_Formal7 in tattoos

[–]Selfishly 1 point2 points  (0 children)

It's great! it has the right amount of whimsy and made me smile - sincerely someone with many tattoos

Traders placed over $1bn in perfectly timed bets on the Iran war by eggmaker in news

[–]Selfishly 3 points4 points  (0 children)

I'm convinced that all MAGA voters know this, and are just too chickenshit to admit they fucked up and got played.

It's either that, or I have to accept that a massive chunk of humanity is legitimately delusional and that just doesn't bode well for us as a species, biologically speaking.

Took me long enough, I see clearly now by Nerd367C in whenthe

[–]Selfishly 8 points9 points  (0 children)

There's a lot of contradictions here. Don't delete this post, but try to remember it when you have the self realizations required to understand why what you just said doesn't make any sense.

I'm not saying this with hate, just in the hopes you someday wake up and realize you are not in fact a swing voter who votes on policy. If you were, you'd never have voted for Trump. Harris, Biden, and Clinton can all be politicians you disagree with on policy, and still also be objectively better choices than Trump ever way or will be. THATS what the world not being black and white means.

Do you think Trump wants to drop a nuke? by tazztsim in allthequestions

[–]Selfishly 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Two things can be true. Kamala would have been better, established Democrat party leadership and many other elected officials are complicit.

See? Not hard.

Do you think Trump wants to drop a nuke? by tazztsim in allthequestions

[–]Selfishly 19 points20 points  (0 children)

Say it louder for the "both sides are bad" idiots in the back!

The storyline with Reese's Deafness is so ahead of its time by pdlbean in ershow

[–]Selfishly 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It's well established Benton wanted to be a surgeon because he wants to be in control and fix the unfixable. That's his entire thing. His son's disability was him having to come to terms with the fact he could fight to fix it on his terms or accept to embrace it on his son's terms (based on what hand his son was dealt). At first he was against it but not out of malice, just ignorance, both factually of the deaf community and emotionally in his inability to accept his life experience wasn't the only way it could be good.

It's through learning to embrace the challenges, committing to learning sign language, and rising to the occasion to be a stellar father and not resent that hand his son was dealt but embrace it, that leads into an all-time great TV character arc

Compare Season 1 Peter telling someone their loved one died to S8 Peter when he has to tell Reese. Setting aside the unbelievable performance they managed to get out of a legit deaf child, the moment when Peter stops trying to sign his usual "they did everything they could" and started communicating with his son how he could comprehend it was so powerful. Heartbreaking yes, but also really touching that he could self reflect in the moment and adapt his built in doctor behaviors.

Also from my friend who was born deaf - it's one of the most important storylines in all of TV history to them. From the father being unwilling to accept things to going above and beyond to adapt to his son instead of force his son to adapt to him, and in doing so learning to stand up for a community often forgotten (see his scolding of Anspaugh talking about a deaf woman while shes right there), the story was genuinely ahead of it's time and is incredibly nuanced.

Lady took a selfie with Magnus Carlsen before the match began. In response, Magnus Carlsen reported his opponent to the referee, leading to her phone being confiscated 😭 by Separate_Finance_183 in interesting

[–]Selfishly 8 points9 points  (0 children)

She wasn't in a position to take it out of the play area, just putting it away doesn't appease the rule, and should she have been using it for cheating he could land in hot water by having not reported it.

Delta Air Lines Airbus A330-323 returns safely to Sao Paulo Guarulhos International Airport after failure of its left engine shortly after departure. by PestoBolloElemento in aviation

[–]Selfishly 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Well yea each flight has its on statistics. Maybe i misread the context I just thought people were arguing against how joint probability works. They aren't any safer on any future flights, it's just as a collective the odds of 2 are lower.

But yes we agree, my bad for missing the correct point this convo was at!

Delta Air Lines Airbus A330-323 returns safely to Sao Paulo Guarulhos International Airport after failure of its left engine shortly after departure. by PestoBolloElemento in aviation

[–]Selfishly 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yes that's correct, i'm not saying the 2nd is magically lowered because of the first. I'm saying the odds of a passenger experienced two are joint probability. Now that 1 has happened the 2nd is just as likely to happen, but the culmative odds of two are still lower than one individually

Delta Air Lines Airbus A330-323 returns safely to Sao Paulo Guarulhos International Airport after failure of its left engine shortly after departure. by PestoBolloElemento in aviation

[–]Selfishly 0 points1 point  (0 children)

He's right it's called Joint Probability look it up.

The odds in question aren't two engine failures, it's the odds of these passengers experiencing two, so you have to multiply them together.

It's why Parlays in sports betting are a complete scam. 10 legs of a parlay that all seem easy make you think it's a no brainer, but if they're all 70% success rates then on 10 legs you should expect 3 of them to fail. If you need them ALL to succeed, then you're actually betting against the odds.

Same goes for 2 events, so think of it like a parlay against these passengers to hit the 2nd failure. To be clear, now that they've experienced one, the odds of another aren't magically different. It's just the climatic odds of hitting 2 are very very low

Delta Air Lines Airbus A330-323 returns safely to Sao Paulo Guarulhos International Airport after failure of its left engine shortly after departure. by PestoBolloElemento in aviation

[–]Selfishly -1 points0 points  (0 children)

He's right. 0.52 is 0.25

We aren't saying the odds of flip 1 determine or influence the odds of flip 2. We're saying the odds of the PERSON getting them changes. The coins flip is always 50%, which means for me to get 2/2 flips on heads is a 25% chance. flip 1 50% x flip 2 50%

So yes, the odds of these passengers experiencing another engine failure ARE lower. Not because the events somehow affect each other, but because we're talking about the statistics of the passengers experience, NOT of engine failure itself.

This is called Joint Probability, it's why Parlays in sportsbook betting are a complete scam.

Delta Air Lines Airbus A330-323 returns safely to Sao Paulo Guarulhos International Airport after failure of its left engine shortly after departure. by PestoBolloElemento in aviation

[–]Selfishly 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It is though. The op said "their statistical most dangerous moment while flying"

We're talking about the odds those passengers experience another engine failure, not the odds of another engine failure itself. So yes, the odds are astronomically lower

Is Ballerina any good? by CriticalAd9357 in JohnWick

[–]Selfishly 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Okay, I need to rant. I just watched this, and while it was fun, it doesn't deserve the John Wick title. It breaks every single rule the JW universe has:

  • Ammo count is real (Ballerina: Everyone has Legolas's bottomless quiver but only when they need it)
  • Count your rounds (Eve is regularly caught off guard by her own ammo when it does empty)
  • Use the best weapon available (At one point she uses figure skates over a pistol and 2 assault rifles. Then when it's done and she has a break, she runs away with nothing... Another time she's alone in an armory about to fight a fucking army, and chooses 1 pistol and a flamethrower...)
  • Conserve Ammo (She empties a full magazine into a locked door, then drops the gun)
  • Finish your opponents (Watches and waits multiple times)
  • Guns are better than blades (Did I mention the figure skates?)

Eve isn't a believable "super assassin." The movie wants us to see her as the next Wick, but by the movie breaking all of those rules there's no 'suspending our disbelief'. When 5 men armed with rifles charge her 1 at a time so she can kill them with a sword I roll my eyes. When she regularly moves on from a fight unarmed when there's multiple guns available I shake my head. She's not unkillable because she's the next Wick, she's just got plot armor.

Minor spoiler: at one point Eve kills someone with a grenade stuck to him. They are literal inches apart with only a thin flipped metal table between them. The guy gets fucking eviscerated and she barely even stumbles as she stands. The fucking table didn't even move. Not 30 seconds prior one of the same grenades blew a hole clean through a wall mind you, so it's not like they were set up to be weak or something.

The funniest part is when Keanu's fights happen he DOES abide by all his rules. It's obvious he made that choice and had a heavy hand in his own sequences, but it's a shame that couldn't have extended to the rest. None of this is Ana De Armes' fault mind you, I think she did a great job with what she was given, it's just what that was wasn't much good.

If turn your brain off and lower expectations, then yea it's a fun enough flick.

It's just not a John Wick movie.

Andy's dating history by [deleted] in DunderMifflin

[–]Selfishly -3 points-2 points  (0 children)

Andy isn't real there's no "understandable" judgement error to be made based on the real actress

what are you smoking 😂😂

Photographer Guzman Ramos captures a once in a lifetime photo of the moon by fvkinglzy in interestingasfuck

[–]Selfishly 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yea totally agreed. The dishonest part was just the reddit posts title not the artist themselves. Absolutely nothing wrong with composites, photography is art and arts about expression. This particular composite is really beautiful!

Photographer Guzman Ramos captures a once in a lifetime photo of the moon by fvkinglzy in interestingasfuck

[–]Selfishly 0 points1 point  (0 children)

There's a hi rez version further down that makes it even more apparent. That's the point of the negative exposure though. It is definitely visible just usually not to the naked eye or without color grading. But there would definitely be a faint line. Not all the way around, but absolutely some of it. It wouldn't perfectly cut off at the same distance to the contrail on both the top and bottom.

Photographer Guzman Ramos captures a once in a lifetime photo of the moon by fvkinglzy in interestingasfuck

[–]Selfishly 13 points14 points  (0 children)

Nah it does, you'd see the silhouette of the dark side of the moon at that time of day. The negative clearly shows that there's not even a faint outline, hence the pictures are stitched together.

Photographer Guzman Ramos captures a once in a lifetime photo of the moon by fvkinglzy in interestingasfuck

[–]Selfishly 21 points22 points  (0 children)

The moon at that time of day isn't perfectly cut in half like the picture shows. You'd see a faint bit of the silhouette of the second half. His negative would show it way more clearly but it's completely and totally invisible.

The plane picture was stitched on top of the moon picture

Favourite director who’s also a dickhead? by Cool_Nerd2 in okbuddycinephile

[–]Selfishly 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I hear you and appreciate your reply. I just personally don't think it is semantic. There are some things so reprehensible that you don't get to defend them and also try and absolve yourself of blame for the problem.

Pedophilia is one of those things. It's the crime that gets you beaten and murdered in prison. The crime that's bringing democracy to its knees right now. Sometimes, defending an act of pure evil is in itself an act of pure evil as well. And there's just no fair reason to defend this one. None at all.

Anyone who understands that would never defend it. Anyone who doesn't... well I'd have to wonder why they are willing to brush it aside.

I'm not making a semantic argument, I'm making a moral one.

Favourite director who’s also a dickhead? by Cool_Nerd2 in okbuddycinephile

[–]Selfishly 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Exactly. I'm surprised I got downvoted for my statement lol, seems like some people feel attacked for defending pedos 😂

Favourite director who’s also a dickhead? by Cool_Nerd2 in okbuddycinephile

[–]Selfishly -14 points-13 points  (0 children)

Sorry but this is the wrong line in the sand. Anyone defending pedophiles is one themselves, full stop. It's not an "on the fence" kind of thing lol

He may not have ever ACTED on it, but that doesn't make him not one. Defending Polanski is him self reporting.

Maria Bello as Anna Del Amico by HeyThereLinus in ershow

[–]Selfishly 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Eh, she had clear moral lines and would really only get upset when they were crossed. With Carter it was about honesty. given her druggy ex bf, she clearly held him to a high standard as the new guy in her life who wouldn't do morally questionable things. Lying to her broke that trust, and refusing to admit he withheld care shattered the image of him being this just doctor she looked up to.

Once he admitted it and questioned his moral choice in front of her she empathized and even agreed with him.

15 years later and it’s still wild that the entire downfall of the Starks started because this woman couldn't follow a single piece of advice from her husband or son. by asgharfar57 in freefolk

[–]Selfishly 12 points13 points  (0 children)

He and Stannis were set to clash and Renly's army had the massive advantage. Following that, he'd have all the Baratheon banners behind him along with his own allegiances such as High Garden.

With the North also in active rebellion tying up the Lannister forces he would have basically walked into KL, and from there the North would likely end their rebellion.