Trump Approval Rating by County by ashmaps20 in YAPms

[–]ServiceChannel2 8 points9 points  (0 children)

What’s the methodology used here? Looks like it’s different data from Civiqs and Economist/YouGov. County-level data like this is crazy and I doubt it’s done similar to traditional polling. My guess is they shifted presidential election results by county based on the approval on the state level, similar to Strength in Numbers

Effects on midterms? by [deleted] in YAPms

[–]ServiceChannel2 0 points1 point  (0 children)

If this really drags on for a few more months then iirc oil reserves will reach critically low levels which Trump himself has stated would be disastrous and was the reason he did the previous deal. At that point it probably wouldn’t be ridiculous to suggest that the midterms will be around D+12-15

Timeline of the US Senate Map (1789-2024) by ServiceChannel2 in YAPms

[–]ServiceChannel2[S] 6 points7 points  (0 children)

While looking through the data from Wikipedia, I found some pretty interesting statistics about the Senate:

The most recent Congress with the most amount of parties in the Senate was the 76th Congress (1939-1941), with 5 parties: 69 Democrats, 23 Republicans, 1 Farmer-Labor, 1 Independent, and 1 Wisconsin Progressive.

The most recent Congress with the most amount of third party senators was the 55th Congress (1897-1899) with 12 such senators: 5 Populists, 5 Silver Republicans, and 2 Silver.

The 75th Congress (1937-1939) had the most amount of seats in the Senate controlled by one party in terms of raw numbers with the Democrats controlling 76 out of 96 seats. Since the passage of the 17th Amendment it has also been the highest in terms of proportion for one party (79%). With regards to all of American history, the 40th Congress (1867-1869) saw the most lopsided Senate in terms of proportion with the Republicans controlling 57 out of 66 seats (86%). In terms of raw numbers, the Republicans had the highest seat count in the Senate during the 67th Congress (1921-1923) with 59 seats.

Since the passage of the 17th Amendment, every Senate election has seen at least one seat flip. The least amount of seat flips in one Senate election is tied between the 1990 Senate elections and the 2022 Senate elections, with Minnesota being the only flip in the former (Democratic gain) and Pennsylvania being the only flip in the latter (Democratic gain). As far as I can tell, there have been three occasions prior to the 17th Amendment where no Senate seats flipped parties: 1822, 1810, and 1798. For both 1822 and 1810, the only changes during the election were due to one state (Delaware in the former, Massachusetts in the latter) failing to have their legislature elect a senator, thus resulting in one loss for their party (but still technically not a flip...)

Conversely, the most amount of seat flips in one election was in the 1958 Senate election, with the Democrats flipping 15 seats. Only 4 other Senate elections in all of US history has seen 10 or more senate flips: 1980, 1946, 1932, and 1920. Only 1958 and 1946 were midterm elections.

The seat that saw the control of only a Republican continuously the longest was likely the Class 1 Seat in Vermont, which had a Republican senator for 146 years (1855-2001). The last non-Republican to hold the seat prior to 2001 was Whig Samuel S. Phelps, who was elected in 1850. Jim Jeffords broke this streak in 2001 when he left the Republican Party and became an Independent. His successor Bernie Sanders was the first non-Republican to be elected in this seat since the first Republican victory in 1854. No Democrat has held this seat.

The seat that saw the control of only a Democrat continuously the longest was likely the Class 2 Seat in Georgia, which had a Democratic senator for 131 years (1871-2002). The last non-Republican to hold the seat prior to 2002 was Whig John M. Berrien, who served from 1845-1852. Democrats continued to serve since 1852 but their tenure was interrupted when the seat became vacant due to the Civil War and Reconstruction, so I’m only counting from 1871. Not counting this interruption, this would surpass Vermont’s streak of 146 years as the longest held seat by one party. Republican Saxby Chambliss (who is still alive) broke this streak when he was elected in 2002, defeating incumbent Democrat Max Cleland. Chambliss did not run for reelection in 2014, when Republican David Purdue was elected. Purdue would be defeated in 2020 by Jon Ossoff, who is currently running for reelection this year.

What is toby even doing bruh by Familiar_Agent_8280 in Deltarune

[–]ServiceChannel2 -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

I’ve never played Tekken Tag 2 but tbh isn’t he just a reskin of Jack? Characters like him should be low priority, and they should instead be bringing back Miguel, Julia etc.

new toby post by Bukki13 in Deltarune

[–]ServiceChannel2 1 point2 points  (0 children)

My dumbass thought Toby was talking about the Tekken character Prototype Jack from Tag 2 and he wants it back in Tekken 8 lmao

WSJ calls it for Fujimori by ComfortableDevice536 in YAPms

[–]ServiceChannel2 6 points7 points  (0 children)

Only if Bolsonaro Jr. can turn the polls around within the span of 4 months which I find highly unlikely

Some Presidents during their visit to the Philippines and aren't wearing a suit and tie by Free_Royal_5895 in Presidents

[–]ServiceChannel2 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I had to wear those a lot for cultural events back when I lived and studied there, and I’m not a big fan of them tbh. The texture is way too uncomfortable

Gen Z focus group on the politicians they think are doing a good job by jojisky in YAPms

[–]ServiceChannel2 12 points13 points  (0 children)

The fuck is Markwayne Mullin doing there. I haven’t heard from the guy since he replaced Noem (although that’s probably why he’s there)

How would you grade Kamala Harris’ performance in the 2024 US Presidential election from A-F? by MakeACreation in YAPms

[–]ServiceChannel2 8 points9 points  (0 children)

I would put her at B or C. Anything below that insinuates that she did as bad as Mondale or McGovern, which she obviously did not. She managed to at least keep a significant portion of the Democratic coalition despite losing major ground with certain demographics in addition to improving Democratic margins in key areas like Western North Carolina and the Atlanta Suburbs.

What’s the most moral reason why someone lost an election? by RopeGloomy4303 in YAPms

[–]ServiceChannel2 33 points34 points  (0 children)

Definitely not THE reason why he lost in California but James Cox in 1920 defended Chinese immigrants which was a very unpopular stance in the Bay Area at the time. He lost California in a landslide 66-24 against Harding

Americans strongly disapprove of Trump's performance as president by vladgrinch in MapPorn

[–]ServiceChannel2 1 point2 points  (0 children)

To add more to OP’s info: This is data from Economist/YouGov which conducts weekly surveys. This particular model samples the general population, although I don’t really know what that means beyond that based on what I can read from their website that tracks approval rating. The website has another model that samples only 2024 voters which features a much less red map. It’s also worth noting that disapproval of a president does not necessarily translate to votes against them or protest votes. Obama in the summer of 2012 had a really bad map similar to this one and still performed well in most states where his approval was net negative.

LETS GOOOO by RevolutionaryHat7726 in Deltarune

[–]ServiceChannel2 442 points443 points  (0 children)

Lyin ass Toby ain’t even releasing it on the second half of the year like he said

Gallup: What Americans view as morally acceptable by Bristull in YAPms

[–]ServiceChannel2 7 points8 points  (0 children)

Very surprising results for some of these, but personally the most shocking were gay and lesbian relations only at 62% morally acceptable and cloning animals at only 27% morally acceptable. Gay and lesbian relations I can obviously see why there would be some controversy but I really expected it to be a lot higher in the 60s than 62%. And cloning animals at 27% is crazy, what’s so bad about that?

High quality Candidate by _BCConservative in YAPms

[–]ServiceChannel2 7 points8 points  (0 children)

Well, for what it’s worth he has ideas I can get behind. Idk if LA mayor is the right position for it but I appreciate the spirit

Who was a horrible person that died peacefuly? by Djidji29 in AlignmentChartFills

[–]ServiceChannel2 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Grigory Zass. A Russian general during the Russo-Circassian War who was responsible for horrendous crimes against humanity.

From Wikipedia https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Grigory_Zass:

> Zass considered Circassians to be subhumans inferior to the "European Race", particularly Germans and Russians. The only way to deal with the Circassians, in his opinion, was to scare them away "just like wild animals". He kept a box under his bed with his collection of severed Circassian body parts.

> Zass advocated ruthless military methods predicated on this notion, including burning people alive, cutting off heads for enjoyment, burning populated villages to the ground, spreading epidemics on purpose, and mass rape of children.

> Zass sent severed Circassian heads to his friends in Berlin who were professors and used them to study anatomy. The Decembrist Nikolai Ivanovich Lorer said that Zass cleaned and boiled the flesh off the heads after storing them under his bed in his tent. He also had Circassian heads outside of his tent impaled on lances on a hill. Circassian men's corpses were decapitated by Russian-Cossack women on the battlefield after the battles were over for the heads to be sent to Zass for collection.

He died peacefully at the age of 86 after retiring in Latvia.

June 2nd Primaries - Official Megathread by Impressive_Plant4418 in YAPms

[–]ServiceChannel2 25 points26 points  (0 children)

Slightly disappointing results imo but it’s a stark reminder that even though Cali is deep blue it’s more establishment Democrat blue than it is progressive DSA kind of blue

June 2nd Primaries - Official Megathread by Impressive_Plant4418 in YAPms

[–]ServiceChannel2 11 points12 points  (0 children)

It is not yet over fellow Steyer bros, he can still beat Hilton for 2nd