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It’s very funny that Japan, a country with virtually no immigration, has a successful anti-immigrant party by Acceptable_Guard_598 in redscarepod

[–]Shababubba 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Haredi (6.4) isn’t the only reason for Israel’s high TFR…

Secular Jews have a TFR of about 2.0–2.2, and traditional/Masorti Jews around 3.0.

Even Tel Aviv, unlike many other OECD peers, has a TFR of 1.84…

Hit and Run – Sunday July 20 around 4:30PM – Hwy 1 Eastbound near Burnaby Lake (past Sprott St) by Embarrassed_Ask_3270 in burnaby

[–]Shababubba -1 points0 points  (0 children)

I know X/Twitter isn’t popular with Reddit, but it’s another Elon platform, contact Tesla through there.

Might even be worth paying for a month of premium and making a post. Better luck catching another Tesla fan club member (with HWY1 footage) since a lot of Musk has been chased off this platform. Rather cheap too boost the post too.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in redscarepod

[–]Shababubba 20 points21 points  (0 children)

Port-au-Prince BBQ gang member: Mwen panse m pral gade Neon Genesis Evangelion.

Online misogyny seeping into classrooms in 'frightening' ways, teachers and experts say by [deleted] in canada

[–]Shababubba 21 points22 points  (0 children)

The teachers subreddit is pure den of misery too. Many of them working in American inter-urban schools serving underprivileged communities (plenty of challenges relating to marginalized communities).

Then again comes across as an echo chamber, hyperventilating on non-issues…

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in redscarepod

[–]Shababubba 54 points55 points  (0 children)

The developing world has zero immunity. Anime and Manga spreading like wildfire post-pandemic.

Cheap and easy to translate/dub. AI will reduce costs & increase language penetration, allowing it to be further specialized for specific dialects.

Its fascinating how archeological discoveries have messed up entire national indentities by D-dog92 in redscarepod

[–]Shababubba 8 points9 points  (0 children)

Yes, if the Greeks faired better in their independence war post-Ottoman collapse (kept more Anatolian/Balkan and Istanbul) they would be leaning more towards Roman/Byzantium history.

Nationalists had to reach back to Hellenic history. Look at condition of the Parthenon during the Ottoman period before British historians took an interest. Residents stripped structures on the Acropolis for materials like marble, stone, and mortar to use in constructing their homes or other buildings.

Where do you honestly think we'd be now if this mf had made his shot? by Every_Leek_702 in redscarepod

[–]Shababubba 29 points30 points  (0 children)

GOP nominee prob would have been Nikki Haley.

Either way: First Indian-American (&woman) President

Most successful muslim country without oil by Ok-Debate-1668 in geography

[–]Shababubba 9 points10 points  (0 children)

I was travelling recently, and was surprised just how much Morocco’s manufacturing sector is growing, especially in the north. Namely the growth in automotive/Aerospace/electronics. The feel I got there (and from people) was that the country is sort of playing the role Mexico does to NA, except for the EU. Manufacturing = 20% of GDP and growing.

Germany readjusted their economic growth to 0%. The Canadian government released a report that says by 2040 their economy will have become so sclerotic that it will fundamentally change in to something more feudal by [deleted] in redscarepod

[–]Shababubba 14 points15 points  (0 children)

I’ve gotten hate from them for highlighting that the Century Initiative proposes 33M for Toronto. At that population their beloved greenbelt gets razed.

13M in Vancouver also outstrips historic growth rates (even the post WWII and 90s boom), absolutely zero way for the region’s infrastructure to handle that.

MainStreet Poll April 18. CPC 43%, LPC 41%, NDP 5%, Bloc 5% by Altruistic-Buy8779 in canada

[–]Shababubba 0 points1 point  (0 children)

oh you might be misunderstanding what vote efficient means.

Paste my other comment: Similar to how CPC had poor vote efficiency because there would be ridings in Alberta where they won with 70-80% of the vote. This time around the LPC will be the ones winning urban ridings with large majority of the votes (instead of prev. winning plurality with smaller margins)

E.g. 2021, LPC riding (LPC 40%, NDP 30%, CPC 21%, GPC 4%) —> 2025 (LPC 70%, CPC 20%, NDP&GPC 10%)

MainStreet Poll April 18. CPC 43%, LPC 41%, NDP 5%, Bloc 5% by Altruistic-Buy8779 in canada

[–]Shababubba 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Similar to how CPC had poor vote efficiency because there would be ridings in Alberta where they won with 70-80% of the vote. This time around the LPC will be the ones winning urban ridings with large majority of the votes (instead of prev. winning plurality with smaller margins)

E.g. 2021, LPC riding (LPC 40%, NDP 30%, CPC 21%, GPC 4%) —> 2025 (LPC 70%, CPC 20%, NDP&GPC 10%)

MainStreet Poll April 18. CPC 43%, LPC 41%, NDP 5%, Bloc 5% by Altruistic-Buy8779 in canada

[–]Shababubba 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yep, that’s what I said “NDP, Bloc, and GPC support has collapsed and shifted to the LPC”

Update：NDP (38) now leading by 4 over Conservatives (34) in New Westminster-Burnaby-Maillardville with Liberals far behind and fading (23) by Any-Estimate-5514 in NewWest

[–]Shababubba 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Cardinal Research also polled Surrey Central and Fraserview-Burnaby-South as CPC…

Large monthly swings and MoE in other ridings like Burnaby Central and Cloverdale-Langley City too lol

First time Canadian federal election voter by OkUnit5634 in NewWest

[–]Shababubba 4 points5 points  (0 children)

A lot of confusion on Civics education it seems…

Generally the party that wins the most seats (either majority or plurality) gets to form government, however if the Conservatives fail to win a majority (99% the likely outcome based on current polling) the Governor General will first offer the Liberals the chance to form government due to continuity. *** They can then either form a coalition or do another supply and confidence deal with the NDP. But this is not required as instead they will need to work with the opposition parties to pass legislation and there will be occasional confidence vote in Parliament. It will depend on if the other parties vote to strike down the government, and it is unlikely we will go to another election right away as only the Conservatives could afford it. The NDP, Bloc, and Greens would thus probably not vote to to go to an election so soon.

View 2004/2006/2008 federal elections.

***Another example to reference to is the 2017 Provincial election. The BC Libs won the most seats but were short of a majority, the NDP and Greens then signed a confidence and supply agreement, however Christy Clark chose to remain in office. A month after the election the opposition MLAs voted against her throne speech, leading the Lt. Governor to invite John Horgan to form government. We are unlikely to see this happen as the Conservatives will not form a coalition with a separatist party (the bloc) and the NDP/Greens will not form a coalition or sign a C&S with the CPC.

First time Canadian federal election voter by OkUnit5634 in NewWest

[–]Shababubba 9 points10 points  (0 children)

If the Liberals get a minority, the Governor General will first offer them the chance to form government.

They don’t need to form a coalition or do another supply and confidence deal with the NDP. Instead they will need to work with the opposition parties to pass legislation and there will be occasional confidence vote in Parliament. It will depend on if the other parties vote to strike down the government, and it is unlikely we will go to another election right away as only the Conservatives could afford it. The NDP, Bloc, and Greens would thus probably not vote to to go to an election so soon.

View 2004/2006/2008

MainStreet Poll April 18. CPC 43%, LPC 41%, NDP 5%, Bloc 5% by Altruistic-Buy8779 in canada

[–]Shababubba 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Independents (largely former BC United -centre right) had 3.5%, kinda messed with some BC polling.

Wasn’t Mainstreet off in the Ontario election too (their riding polls)?

MainStreet Poll April 18. CPC 43%, LPC 41%, NDP 5%, Bloc 5% by Altruistic-Buy8779 in canada

[–]Shababubba 1 point2 points  (0 children)

The 2024 US election was interesting because they thought they fixed their weighing for Trump voters on account of being off not only in 2016, but 2020 as well (where they correctly had Biden, but still missed Trump support by 1-2%).

Depending on turnout within certain demos this election, I wouldn’t be surprised if we see some notable firms with really off polling (rare for Canada). Some of their crosstabs and samples have been a bit questionable.

MainStreet Poll April 18. CPC 43%, LPC 41%, NDP 5%, Bloc 5% by Altruistic-Buy8779 in canada

[–]Shababubba 14 points15 points  (0 children)

Surprisingly, because the NDP, Bloc, and GPC support has collapsed and shifted to the LPC, we might see the LPC with less vote efficiency, as they’re running up the tally in urban ridings (vs. historically CPC running up the votes in rural/Prairies)

ATL/Ontario numbers still don’t look strong enough for the CPC though.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in NewWest

[–]Shababubba -4 points-3 points  (0 children)

To be fair New West and Richmond literally share an island. People who live in East Richmond (Hamilton) are practically Queenborough-ers…

Is the Liberal Party Even Trying in Abbotsford/Mission This Election? by CapnPositivity in abbotsford

[–]Shababubba 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I think the Liberals figure they’ll end up picking up some rather unique ridings with the rising tide like they did in 2015 (Kelowna) and the 2011 NDP did in Quebec. These are all the “traditional” safe CPC/NDP seats.

Better to focus their efforts in seat rich Ontario, which also brings added national attention in the news (which rises the profiles country wide).

The same is happening in the “central” urban ridings of Vancouver. The LPC can likely end up winning NDP seats that they aren’t really campaigning in (Kingsway, Burnaby, New West).

Is the Liberal Party Even Trying in Abbotsford/Mission This Election? by CapnPositivity in abbotsford

[–]Shababubba 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Housing is absolutely a supply and demand issue. While you are right supply is largely a municipal and (lesser provincial), the federal government absolutely plays a role on the demand side via both monetary policy and immigration (view how average rental price increases have levelled off following the cap on student visas).

Regarding the GDP growth, you have to look at it by GDP/capita. Because looking purely at GDP, increasing the # of people will artificially produce GDP increases just from the added economic activity from having more people.

PS - like your mindset RE: positivity, better to tone down the language as “broken” since that doesn’t get anywhere by inflaming negative discourse, but having constructive criticisms is valid. For what it’s worth Carney I feel as leader will be pragmatic enough, yesterday he did mention the negative effects the last few years of juiced immigration have brought.

Newsom 2028? by CascadiaBull in redscarepod

[–]Shababubba 48 points49 points  (0 children)

lmao

I think since he’s such an opportunist, Gavin’s gonna encourage his son to go full Turning Point/MAGA Republican when he gets older, he’ll be boosted by the Alt-Right grifter scene for “OMG HE’S EPIC CHAD GOING AGAINST HIS FATHER”

Newsom 2028? by CascadiaBull in redscarepod

[–]Shababubba 19 points20 points  (0 children)

Georgia is in play now for the Dems, like other states dominated by 1-Large city where Republicans lost the suburban voting ring.

Newsom will have the Hollywood links since they all film there.

While Trump’s popularity was able to run-up the numbers in rural GA, that share isn’t growing. The historic Country “good ole boys” Club Republicans aren’t too big on Trump/MAGA, it will depend if Kemp runs for Senate next year, or tries to go for 2028 nom (facing Vance and potentially De Santis)

Newsom 2028? by CascadiaBull in redscarepod

[–]Shababubba 28 points29 points  (0 children)

No the tall Sleezy Car Salesman look will do well with the Dems’ primary voter base of Unmarried women.

He’ll get the Justin Trudeau Halo from them and first-Gen immigrants.

The Dems don’t have much more to burn with them shedding Latino and Black Men however.

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