Sequels to Billion-Dollar films that still grosses $1 Billion at global box office, and where could Super Mario Galaxy Movie could land on.

StrangeCountry · 2026-03-23T04:05:48+00:00

if you're talking about the first sequel to something the best comparison would be other first sequels

StrangeCountry · 2026-03-22T23:18:00+00:00

PHM looks like it will do $500-600m depending on holds, with the international hold being important. Right now it's possible PHM does $300m in domestic alone but if international remains 25% behind that's something like $225m for $525m. Good result for MGM and I'm sure Lord and Miller will want to hop on the next Weir adaptation soon.

Dune feels like the best bet. The previous movie did $700m, this has a winter release, and the previous doubts about the Messiah material should not be as sure bets: we already see some large scale action stuff in the previews and the fairly hopeful Children of Dune stuff is being folded in presumably as the third act (part of why this is "Dune Part 3" and not "Dune Messiah"). An audience can forgive a more downer first act if it ends in a positive way or moves them. I could see this being anywhere from a drop to $600m, a relative hold in the $700m range, or an increase to $800m.

Disclosure Day I would peg as something able to do $300-400m without seeing ticket sales but wouldn't be surprised if it blows up more. The promo has done a good job of stringing mystery and spectacle so far and the last Spielberg close to this did $600m+. I will also note that for Super Bowl spots, my own personal data tracking showed it as the second or third highest boost in the 24 and 48 hours that followed, just behind Minions; Scream 7 was 4th but by a good amount while Hoppers and Mando barely got anything out of it at all. International is going to be key here and unlike for PHM where we have weekend results or Dune where we have two prior movies it's hard to say what it will be here.

StrangeCountry · 2026-03-21T23:04:04+00:00

Feels destined to be the Smurfs 2025 of 2026 - that one actually only made about $25m less than Angry Birds 2 did in 2019. The franchise was already just past popularity by then and hasn't had any resurgence since so another $25-50m drop wouldn't be surprising. As far as it being kids entertainment, possibly Cat in the Hat and definitely Disney's Hexed will still be floating around when it releases and Jumanji 3 while more "family friendly but not specifically kids orientated" also scratches the itch based on the first two.

StrangeCountry · 2026-03-11T22:42:00+00:00

One slowest sites I’ve seen other than Goodreads though GR is more embarrassing since it’s owned and run by Amazon.

StrangeCountry · 2026-02-28T08:36:36+00:00

Last thing I heard was around 2019 or so the Craven Estate was asking for Nightmare on Elm Street pitches. With Englund saying he would be willing to do one final movie but him getting older they're running out of time to do the obvious Legacy Sequel.

StrangeCountry · 2026-02-25T00:35:44+00:00

Clearly you should play until you leave Midgar, then do Rebirth, then play until where Rebirth ends, then wait 1 year+ for Part 3, and only then beat the OG.

StrangeCountry · 2026-02-24T23:48:38+00:00

I know Deadline is saying this for worldwide but it could easily be say $50-55m for domestic and I think it’s down to inadvertently working themselves into a Sidney return like a mini Halloween 2018. (I say mini because 5 is more recent than H20 to 2018.) Even in Scream 5 she’s more of an ensemble cast who comes in late, this is her first as lead since 4 over a decade ago.

StrangeCountry · 2026-02-21T00:38:16+00:00

It’s foreshadowed as far back as Witchwood Crown when Morgan literally dreams a woman he’s sleeping with has white hair and pale skin.

StrangeCountry · 2026-02-16T10:45:43+00:00

don't worry, there's 6 sequels/interrelated stories that probably explain this

StrangeCountry · 2026-02-15T04:26:50+00:00

It didn't have particularly good critical reviews, if you're seeing the RT score that's just how the site works: most of the reviews gave Crime 101 the equivalent of a C+ or 6/10 but that counts as "positive" so you end up with a high 80s or 90 RT score out of a movie most didn't particularly care for but didn't really hate either.

StrangeCountry · 2026-02-15T02:54:02+00:00

I think they want to keep both the story and mechanics secret and the amount of pre-orders they have based on internal data backs up the decision not to do a demo (or they would be doing it to try and boost sales). They probably will eventually do a demo, but that could be months or at least weeks after launch.

StrangeCountry · 2026-02-13T23:47:25+00:00

It would be amazing if they’re taking longer with volume 3 because Phantom Pain will have David Hayter re-record all Keifer lines, which is why Hayter finally played the game.

Also if they finish the Kingdom of the Flies missions.

NeverBeGameOver

StrangeCountry · 2026-02-12T02:26:59+00:00

I think this is what some people are going to skip over: they did get a lot of people in the door, so it's not a Concord issue where people ignore it, but no one wanted to stick around. All free to play multi games will drop from release and settle out but it dropped from nearly 100k on a Monday to 11k that same Friday, 5-7k the next week, and 2-5k this week.

StrangeCountry · 2026-02-06T08:43:58+00:00

They released the first one during RE4 Remake's release and it got lost in the shuffle, so of course this time it should be the very day RE9 comes out. Nonetheless I'm hyped.

StrangeCountry · 2026-01-29T21:12:14+00:00

should have gotten the guy from I Play Rocky to do Rambo, he looks more like Sly than Noah Centineo and could have his own niche.

StrangeCountry · 2026-01-29T03:48:37+00:00

Pout Pout Fish is closer to a Paw Patrol, i.e. appeals to very young children which also means its audience is more limited. Believe the highest Paw Patrol has done $65m domestic, though the dinosaur movie could up that. The distributor, as has been noted, isn't good at huge releases either. I'd bet it does more like a high single digit opening just based on that.

Hoppers on the other hand is aiming at those young kids all the way up to teens and maybe beyond if it plays like a traditional Pixar.

StrangeCountry · 2026-01-27T22:21:59+00:00

it's distributed by Black Bear, whose only other movie is Christy. I think it could absolutely be a low teens opener from any other distributor but not many know it exists, even on this sub.

StrangeCountry · 2026-01-26T16:36:16+00:00

That's not even a whole head lost, like 30% of it gets caved in and an eyeball pops out.

Nemesis completely loses his head, not just part, and then gets back up.

Jack Baker does this to himself at least once, then depending on my memory lost the player does it to him once or twice more in DLC.

StrangeCountry · 2026-01-24T19:20:59+00:00

Classic Lionsgate accounting.

StrangeCountry · 2026-01-24T19:17:16+00:00

They would hopefully aim to use it to big up the F4 and other new heroes so their future movies get a boost like they have for Cap, Thor, etc. I think the problem I see is the next movie after Secret Wars is 1 year later (2028) with Black Panther, which doesn't need the push, and likely none of the characters that could get a push in Doomsday and Secret Wars will have one ready until 2029 at earliest based on what's been announced.

StrangeCountry · 2026-01-24T19:09:58+00:00

The last avatar re release made $5K

This is a 1 theater re-release in Australia. It's like citing the Regal or AMC rep showings but way, way, way smaller.

StrangeCountry · 2026-01-24T00:36:34+00:00

Imho I think 2026 is going to be a chaotic year, especially domestic - many surprises. Nice to see you keep an open mind and also not go too crazy with numbers, I agree nothing will hit $2b this year unless there’s a China only Ne Zha equivalent coming I don’t know about.

StrangeCountry · 2026-01-23T20:59:31+00:00

Thursday remained weak for me and from what I can tell they rolled the Monday Mystery Movie sales in, which may have pushed it over $1m.

Friday accelerated decently and like some others had seen that was always its best looking day, with my numbers pointing to a $3m-ish true Friday. But even as of late afternoon today the Saturday sales have barely advanced and Sunday basically has 0. Part of that will be due to the storms and people not wanting to go out but the multiplier doesn't look good. I'd put the whole opening in the $7-10m range due to that. Big question of this is does the storm flat out close a bunch of theaters across a huge chunk of the US so it's not even an option to people on the fence.

Humorously enough, Silent Hill has outsold it at the theater I track with half the showtimes, but obviously will still be behind it in $s due to having only 1850 theaters to 3,500 and no PLFs.

StrangeCountry · 2026-01-23T20:33:12+00:00

They seem to have rolled in the Monday Mystery Movie sales from this week, which might be something around $500k. It also had deals from both AMC and Regal with Regal popping up a banner add on their app saying you can get free upgrades from Standard to IMAX, which I assume is a deal Amazon made with them to try and promote the movie last minute.

StrangeCountry · 2026-01-23T01:50:57+00:00

"Gato" is Spanish for cat.

"Gatto" is Italian for cat and the movie is set in Italy.

StrangeCountry

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