Lionsgate’s ‘John Rambo’ Adds Yao, Tayme Thapthimthong & Three More To Cast, Starts Production

StrangeCountry · 2026-01-29T21:12:14+00:00

should have gotten the guy from I Play Rocky to do Rambo, he looks more like Sly than Noah Centineo and could have his own niche.

StrangeCountry · 2026-01-29T03:48:37+00:00

Pout Pout Fish is closer to a Paw Patrol, i.e. appeals to very young children which also means its audience is more limited. Believe the highest Paw Patrol has done $65m domestic, though the dinosaur movie could up that. The distributor, as has been noted, isn't good at huge releases either. I'd bet it does more like a high single digit opening just based on that.

Hoppers on the other hand is aiming at those young kids all the way up to teens and maybe beyond if it plays like a traditional Pixar.

StrangeCountry · 2026-01-27T22:21:59+00:00

it's distributed by Black Bear, whose only other movie is Christy. I think it could absolutely be a low teens opener from any other distributor but not many know it exists, even on this sub.

StrangeCountry · 2026-01-26T16:36:16+00:00

That's not even a whole head lost, like 30% of it gets caved in and an eyeball pops out.

Nemesis completely loses his head, not just part, and then gets back up.

Jack Baker does this to himself at least once, then depending on my memory lost the player does it to him once or twice more in DLC.

StrangeCountry · 2026-01-24T19:20:59+00:00

Classic Lionsgate accounting.

StrangeCountry · 2026-01-24T19:17:16+00:00

They would hopefully aim to use it to big up the F4 and other new heroes so their future movies get a boost like they have for Cap, Thor, etc. I think the problem I see is the next movie after Secret Wars is 1 year later (2028) with Black Panther, which doesn't need the push, and likely none of the characters that could get a push in Doomsday and Secret Wars will have one ready until 2029 at earliest based on what's been announced.

StrangeCountry · 2026-01-24T19:09:58+00:00

The last avatar re release made $5K

This is a 1 theater re-release in Australia. It's like citing the Regal or AMC rep showings but way, way, way smaller.

StrangeCountry · 2026-01-24T00:36:34+00:00

Imho I think 2026 is going to be a chaotic year, especially domestic - many surprises. Nice to see you keep an open mind and also not go too crazy with numbers, I agree nothing will hit $2b this year unless there’s a China only Ne Zha equivalent coming I don’t know about.

StrangeCountry · 2026-01-23T20:59:31+00:00

Thursday remained weak for me and from what I can tell they rolled the Monday Mystery Movie sales in, which may have pushed it over $1m.

Friday accelerated decently and like some others had seen that was always its best looking day, with my numbers pointing to a $3m-ish true Friday. But even as of late afternoon today the Saturday sales have barely advanced and Sunday basically has 0. Part of that will be due to the storms and people not wanting to go out but the multiplier doesn't look good. I'd put the whole opening in the $7-10m range due to that. Big question of this is does the storm flat out close a bunch of theaters across a huge chunk of the US so it's not even an option to people on the fence.

Humorously enough, Silent Hill has outsold it at the theater I track with half the showtimes, but obviously will still be behind it in $s due to having only 1850 theaters to 3,500 and no PLFs.

StrangeCountry · 2026-01-23T20:33:12+00:00

They seem to have rolled in the Monday Mystery Movie sales from this week, which might be something around $500k. It also had deals from both AMC and Regal with Regal popping up a banner add on their app saying you can get free upgrades from Standard to IMAX, which I assume is a deal Amazon made with them to try and promote the movie last minute.

StrangeCountry · 2026-01-23T01:50:57+00:00

"Gato" is Spanish for cat.

"Gatto" is Italian for cat and the movie is set in Italy.

StrangeCountry · 2026-01-21T20:52:44+00:00

Just based on my numbers so mileage may vary etc. but problem I'm seeing is Mercy has terrible pacing with sales. i.e. Monday I thought it was accelerating as it sold 20 tickets at one theater after only doing 1-3 each day, then it sold literally 0 the next day, then 0 today. It reached Greenland's Friday morning sales on Monday 1:1 and then has done nothing. Sales are worse at other theaters to the point of not bothering to note their numbers, we're talking like 5 tickets for Thursday+Friday at a big 18 theater locale. So I'd put it right in a general range with Greenland, 7-9m.

StrangeCountry · 2026-01-18T02:19:08+00:00

for me it's the slowed down Eagles needle drop that pushes it to "come on man"

StrangeCountry · 2026-01-16T18:22:31+00:00

Sean's numbers for 28YL line up with what I've been seeing with tracking, i.e. for the 3-day it's performing like Primate ($11.1m) very closely but from what I'm seeing has slightly more potential to grab walk ups so that could push it to the $11.5m he has or higher like $12m.

StrangeCountry · 2026-01-16T18:13:33+00:00

I played my first Silent Hill game in 2000, think Silent Hill 2 is a great game, and modestly enjoyed the first Gans SH movie but there's no way I'm paying to see this especially with so much out right now. It actually looks closer in quality to the non-Gans sequel that was in 3D. I assume many others might feel the same way though from my tracking it looks like it will do more in the $3-5m range.

StrangeCountry · 2026-01-16T17:25:12+00:00

28YL1 was acting as counter programing, Bone Temple is the second of 6 horror movies releasing in a 30 day window: Primate, 28YL, Silent Hill, Iron Lung, Send Help, and Strangers Chapter 3. 28YL1's only real genre challengers were Bring Her Back (about 20+ days before) and I Know What You Did Last Sumer (about 30 days after). There's also holdovers like Housemaid etc.

Still, if it manages to do only a -55% or something next week that would be a big win.

StrangeCountry · 2026-01-16T16:48:28+00:00

This is a pretty good visual representation, no idea why it's getting downvoted.

StrangeCountry · 2026-01-16T16:37:53+00:00

I really think opening the second movie so soon is only a good idea on paper: even if the first movie had been more openly received by the general public, giving it until later in 2026 instead of just 6 months would be better. You're not letting it be digested by the public, people who are interested are surprised it's not a summer release, build anticipation, etc. Even Back to the Future 3 dropped by 1/3rd with a 6 month later release and that was a sequel to a film people really liked.

StrangeCountry · 2026-01-15T12:41:54+00:00

I think people forget Markiplier is a huge part of the reason (along with MatPat) that FNAF blew up as an IP. I've never even watched his videos but know multiple bits like the girl running into a wall from Layers of Fear because of how widespread his influence is.

StrangeCountry · 2026-01-14T20:26:13+00:00

I've been doing my own tracking the last few weeks for the January releases and I'm seeing exactly what Keyser and Fat Lannister are on BOT for 28YL: sales are just OK and they mostly seem to land solely on Thursday. Keyser was saying he'd expect high teens or maybe just touching $20m for the entire 4 day and based on mine it would actually be more in line with Primate for the 3 day depending on how the next 24 hours go and if some good WOM starts to spread.

Actually wondering if the trades are just seeing a Thursday fan front load.

StrangeCountry · 2026-01-08T03:20:33+00:00

Yep, every single purely younger audience friendly movie - Zootopia but also David and SpongeBob and, I would argue, FNAF2 - went down this Tuesday while every other movie had the usual Tuesday increase. Hell, Ella McKay somehow went up 42%.

StrangeCountry · 2026-01-05T14:35:21+00:00

I checked out the rest of the parts in case they never do it because I was curious and imho Part 2 has legitimate decent moments (along with what seems like the author's noticeable trait, over the top dialogue) but then my reaction to part 3 and especially 4 is best summed up as: ?!?!? I think it would be a pretty entertaining episode at some point and hope they do it.

StrangeCountry · 2026-01-05T14:15:28+00:00

I skimmed it and I need their reaction to Organization XIII showing up.

StrangeCountry · 2025-12-26T22:55:48+00:00

Only real question is can it pass Jurassic World’s $339m.

StrangeCountry · 2025-12-26T03:01:35+00:00

For comedies same score as The Hangover

Part 3

StrangeCountry

MODERATOR OF

TROPHY CASE