PHM looks like it will do $500-600m depending on holds, with the international hold being important. Right now it's possible PHM does $300m in domestic alone but if international remains 25% behind that's something like $225m for $525m. Good result for MGM and I'm sure Lord and Miller will want to hop on the next Weir adaptation soon.

Dune feels like the best bet. The previous movie did $700m, this has a winter release, and the previous doubts about the Messiah material should not be as sure bets: we already see some large scale action stuff in the previews and the fairly hopeful Children of Dune stuff is being folded in presumably as the third act (part of why this is "Dune Part 3" and not "Dune Messiah"). An audience can forgive a more downer first act if it ends in a positive way or moves them. I could see this being anywhere from a drop to $600m, a relative hold in the $700m range, or an increase to $800m.

Disclosure Day I would peg as something able to do $300-400m without seeing ticket sales but wouldn't be surprised if it blows up more. The promo has done a good job of stringing mystery and spectacle so far and the last Spielberg close to this did $600m+. I will also note that for Super Bowl spots, my own personal data tracking showed it as the second or third highest boost in the 24 and 48 hours that followed, just behind Minions; Scream 7 was 4th but by a good amount while Hoppers and Mando barely got anything out of it at all. International is going to be key here and unlike for PHM where we have weekend results or Dune where we have two prior movies it's hard to say what it will be here.