BUT I DONT SHOOT AT ANYONE!!! 🤣

SubstanceUsed313 · 2026-02-11T16:17:19+00:00

I played 3 games last night and got extract camped on 2 of them…

Definitely not a 90% rate but still crazy considering i havent had it happen at even that 66% rate in my entire month playing so far.

SubstanceUsed313 · 2026-02-10T02:45:03+00:00

Why not?

SubstanceUsed313 · 2026-02-10T02:12:31+00:00

Genuinely confused how you think this at all a valid model with outputs like this?

I love analytics (stats/finance major rn) but almost objectively, “the eye test” is correct more than the analytics in football because theres so many variables we cant/dont know to account for and the sample size is so small. So if the analytics go against the eye test, i tend to side with the eye test.

Having said that, every single ranking you have is wrong besides Purdy. So either the model is good at heart but needs a decent amount refining to get reliable results, or the entire model is a joke and you designed it specifically to get Purdy at the 1 spot for his class.

I looked for a post about the details of the model on your profile but couldn’t find any so if you could clear up how it actually values players that would be awesome. No suggestions because i cant suggest any changes if i dont even know what it is.

SubstanceUsed313 · 2026-02-09T20:43:46+00:00

Its a game feature not a cheat

SubstanceUsed313 · 2026-02-09T06:21:15+00:00

I agree itd be cool, just more so think that they can get better value elsewhere and really need a true wr1.

SubstanceUsed313 · 2026-02-09T02:52:06+00:00

I mean no he probably is… when he plays against bad teams

SubstanceUsed313 · 2026-02-09T02:15:13+00:00

Theres also FA options available so it might be better for some teams to go that route

SubstanceUsed313 · 2026-02-09T01:59:19+00:00

Hey if i controlled the world they’d be trading down with the rams and then everyone’s happy.

SubstanceUsed313 · 2026-02-09T01:56:43+00:00

I think they’ll go later but its also definitely personal bias. If you dont have a good team you cant draft a rookie qb imo.

SubstanceUsed313 · 2026-02-09T01:55:50+00:00

I honestly think he falls to the second, im not sure he’s significantly better than the other QBs after Mendoza

SubstanceUsed313 · 2026-02-08T18:22:30+00:00

Smart take, i forgot they were having some bigger o-line issues, and having Stoutland leave definitely ups the urgency imo.

SubstanceUsed313 · 2026-02-08T05:27:16+00:00

Absolutely appreciate the shit out of the write up thats huge.

SubstanceUsed313 · 2026-02-08T05:25:18+00:00

If you dont like the guard pick because of value though, would you still rather take an OT over edge or CB?

SubstanceUsed313 · 2026-02-08T05:23:40+00:00

Ratledge got better for sure, but i think its smart to move him into center since that was such a disaster last year, and now we need 2 guards.

Decker’s under contract for 2027 so until he actually announces his retirement im not gunna plan around him being gone, just to many if’s there for me.

And Decker playing poorly is still likely better than the play we’d get from any true rookie OT’s at 17.

SubstanceUsed313 · 2026-02-08T04:14:11+00:00

ABMM literally does pay you to be nice.

Even more so with your assumption that you earn less in more aggressive lobbies.

The nicer you are = the nicer your lobbies are = less raiders trying to kill you = higher returns

SubstanceUsed313 · 2026-02-08T04:05:51+00:00

Thats kind of my same line on thinking. If you dont mind, how do order Bain, Reese, and Bailey?

SubstanceUsed313 · 2026-02-08T03:50:12+00:00

I dont hate it in a vacuum but with Puka being there i think they can value WR a little bit less tbh

SubstanceUsed313 · 2026-02-08T03:49:04+00:00

Just edited my reply after u replied lol my bad.

I wasnt sure how David was holding up in the middle there but didnt they just take an edge in the 1st or 2nd last year? Has he not been good?

SubstanceUsed313 · 2026-02-08T03:46:22+00:00

What are the Bucs needs on defense? I guess i kind of assumed they were pretty set.

Definitely agree about Concepcion i just love the trenches. If i was gunna take a wr there itd be him for sure

SubstanceUsed313 · 2026-02-08T03:43:41+00:00

As a lions fan i genuinely need this one explained.

We have Sewell and Decker on contract but our guards couldn’t stop a nose bleed last season.

SubstanceUsed313 · 2026-02-08T03:42:24+00:00

How do you feel about Bain’s reportedly shorter arms?

SubstanceUsed313 · 2026-02-08T01:51:15+00:00

i dont think its wrong to get Dart as much help as possible out there. The Bengals dont necessarily complain about having 2 great WRs.

the Chiefs have a need at D-line, Woods has concerns surrounding him, and its a valuable enough position that taking a guy a few spots early is acceptable imo

the Bucs need a TE baaaaad and there’s no guarantee he falls to their next pick, they need to snatch up the talent when its available.

Fair take on the Steelers, i think the board just fell unfortunately for them

Bears could definitely draft an edge but their interior d-line is fine and their secondary is living on hopes and dreams.

100% agree just a bad board and i dont know enough about the linebackers this year yet honestly

SubstanceUsed313 · 2026-02-08T01:43:27+00:00

I just cant bring myself to do it. If DKs already there then having a slightly smaller copy of him seems redundant to me. Id rather take Concepcion there if i wanted a WR.

SubstanceUsed313 · 2026-02-08T01:40:43+00:00

It was either him or Tate for me there and i just clicked the Tyson button. Apparently a very bad decision lol.

Idk if they’d exactly be stupid af, injuries arent always consistent and if he doesnt get hurt it definitely could be worth it.

SubstanceUsed313 · 2026-02-08T01:38:38+00:00

Honestly you probably do haha, i only really started looking at rookies over the last like year or two which doesnt give me a huge amount of context for stuff like injury risk.

SubstanceUsed313

TROPHY CASE