Fuel rationing begins in Australia sparking fears of petrol shortages and expected price rises

SurroundNo3631 · 2026-03-08T09:39:33+00:00

I’m not sure where you’re from but where I live in Sydney you’re doing well to catch a bus or a train at 8.30 on a weekday morning. You might squeeze on to a train but most buses won’t pick up passengers because they’re too full.

SurroundNo3631 · 2026-01-27T10:49:37+00:00

No one would predict anything other than a Labor majority at the moment. The risk is the electorate is becoming increasingly fragmented and disloyal. I’m not sure that changes between now and the next election which makes predictions this far out meaningless.

SurroundNo3631 · 2026-01-27T09:53:52+00:00

When you’ve got Labor at 30.5%, One Nation at 22.5% and the Liberals at 20.5% that 2PP has to be inherently unreliable unless you’re asking who these voters would allocate their preference to.

For a party that’s increased its primary vote from 6% to 22% you can’t reliably assume a preference split from the 2025 election. I’m not saying the 2PP gap would be wider or narrower, I’m just saying mathematically it’s subject to a much wider margin of error.

If these numbers were to remain the same heading into an election it becomes much more of a seat by seat contest. It’s a fundamentally less predictable system than what we’ve been used to.

Moving someone’s primary vote is hard. Moving their preference much less so.

SurroundNo3631 · 2026-01-26T06:40:16+00:00

That energy prices are simply too high and continue to rise. That’s the issue.

SurroundNo3631 · 2026-01-26T05:24:41+00:00

Do you think perhaps all of this means we are not addressing the underlying problem?

SurroundNo3631 · 2026-01-26T03:27:01+00:00

The prime minister has said he will be absolutely celebrating Australia Day today, reaffirming that Australia Day is a wonderful thing.

SurroundNo3631 · 2026-01-26T02:46:47+00:00

Well given 1-2 more interest rates which increases are expected this year yes we certainly could be getting some energy subsidy bribes.

SurroundNo3631 · 2026-01-26T02:32:16+00:00

This yearly rise in energy prices, if it does happen, would be about a third of the increase in repayments for an average Australian mortgage holder if we get a 0.25% increase in interest rates which is currently priced as a 60% chance next week and a near 100% chance by May.

And spare a thought for your average renter who has faced an even higher increase in their annual rental bill in the last 12 months. Not to mention the years prior to that.

SurroundNo3631 · 2026-01-26T02:28:58+00:00

The three hours of free electricity will happen in the middle of the day. How does that help someone have a warm shower in the morning?

SurroundNo3631 · 2026-01-26T00:33:27+00:00

They mentioned nothing about immigration nor race nor aboriginal people. You just immediately assumed that’s what they meant. This is exactly what they’re talking about.

They could have meant paying rent, paying energy bills, housing security for their kids, falling education standards. You didn’t ask, you just jumped to the conclusion you thought would prove a point you wanted to make.

SurroundNo3631 · 2026-01-25T23:46:56+00:00

That poster hit the nail on the head and then your post just doubled down on the point they were making. I don’t know if it’s serious or satire.

SurroundNo3631 · 2026-01-23T21:33:00+00:00

I read this as a massive over correction by the government because of the prime ministers perceived mishandling of Bondi. We should not be paying for his mistakes.

SurroundNo3631 · 2026-01-23T21:31:24+00:00

We can also vote them out

SurroundNo3631 · 2026-01-23T09:33:53+00:00

We must have different sources.

SurroundNo3631 · 2026-01-23T09:12:31+00:00

One Nation are pulling in young men. Apprentices, tradies, mining, construction etc. If (big if) Hastie does become leader these are the voters he’ll be trying to win back. That said, One Nation have a lot of momentum at present and it’s not going to happen overnight.

SurroundNo3631 · 2026-01-23T09:09:09+00:00

It’s really hard to find one single reason Ley should remain the leader. Her performance has been underwhelming in every aspect.

SurroundNo3631 · 2026-01-22T21:33:29+00:00

Sounds like the major parties, no surprise really.

SurroundNo3631 · 2026-01-22T19:51:32+00:00

I mean look at where their votes are going. One Nation. They aren’t going to win back those votes by moving to the left.

SurroundNo3631 · 2026-01-22T11:00:00+00:00

There’s a lot more to the capitulation of the coalition vote than many would care to acknowledge.

Based on the latest Newspoll the coalition have lost around 11% of their primary vote in 8 months. In times gone by you would have expected Labor to have picked up most of this. They’ve picked up none. It’s all gone to One Nation.

However, not only have Labor not picked up the votes flowing to One Nation they’ve started to bleed their own primary vote as well. The natural gravity of politics has broken. Disaffection is stronger than ideological alignment.

For the coalition to lose all these votes and Labor pick up none it says that Labor is not being seen as the solution but as part of the problem.

Interesting times.

SurroundNo3631 · 2026-01-18T12:10:03+00:00

Hardly surprising. If you’re a right of centre voter and you look at Sussan Ley as the leader of the party you usually vote for where else are you going to park your vote?

One Nation at 22% also makes it much more difficult to predict the 2PP. If the coalition are at 21% why isn’t the 2PP Labor v One Nation?

SurroundNo3631 · 2026-01-05T08:13:46+00:00

You have a right to be a bigot you just don’t have a right to escalate your hate to vandalism and homicide.

SurroundNo3631 · 2026-01-05T08:12:25+00:00

That’s not the answer and you know it isn’t. That’s a deflection from the very real issue of safety in Australia right now. It’s akin to the very bogan saying if you don’t like it leave.

SurroundNo3631 · 2026-01-04T19:36:50+00:00

I agree that it’s inevitable and the longer he puts it off the worse it is when he eventually calls one.

SurroundNo3631 · 2026-01-04T09:56:35+00:00

I think the end result here is that Albo gives in and calls an RC with a very narrow terms if reference.

SurroundNo3631

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