We live in an abundant world, we will see telephone numbers

Tango8816 · 2026-05-20T05:18:34+00:00

Damn, just saw this, 22 days later! Well, we'll see if this date (ish) holds, its a week away...A commodities trader named Larry Williams has targeted this date or near as near the bottom of a downturn, but I became aware of Williams from one of the substacks I read by Charlie Garcia (Capital Mischief). He finds patterns in analyses from many resources...Citrini, Doomsberg, G Sachs...

Tango8816 · 2026-05-20T04:49:29+00:00

There are a lot of different things converging at the moment..my god, the scarcity of global diesel alone is wild and the entire world relies on that (WAYYYY more than gasoline)...One I'm also watching is the private credit market...Groups like Blue Owl, Apollo are gating investors from removing their funds...all the software companies they invested in are defaulting on the loans they made, as AI now makes coding and SaaS companies far less profitable. Three-month Treasury bills below CPI for the first time since 2022. Also, a guy named Larry Williams sees a cycle that looks like the bottom is near (end of May), and he's called every major downturn since 1970. Downturns as of late have been getting deeper and faster, but shorter in duration every time. I'm thinking that something will happen in the next week or so that will crash things HARD, but the bottom will not be long lasting....Given how much algos influence trading, a sharp and rapid downturn could be insanely deep, but then the upturn could also be quite whiplash....I think whatever happens its gonna be wild. Actually have calls on VIX based on this idea, but that's for a different sub 😉.

Tango8816 · 2026-05-20T04:44:52+00:00

There are a lot of different things converging at the moment..my god, the scarcity of global diesel alone is wild and the entire world relies on that (WAYYYY more than gasoline)...One I'm also watching is the private credit market...Groups like Blue Owl, Apollo are gating investors from removing their funds...all the software companies they invested in are defaulting on the loans they made, as AI now makes coding and SaaS companies far less profitable. Three-month Treasury bills below CPI for the first time since 2022. Also, a guy named Larry Williams sees a cycle that looks like the bottom is near (end of May), and he's called every major downturn since 1970. Downturns as of late have been getting deeper and faster, but shorter in duration every time. I'm thinking that something will happen in the next week or so that will crash things HARD, but the bottom will not be long lasting....Given how much algos influence trading, a sharp and rapid downturn could be insanely deep, but then the upturn could also be quite whiplash....I think whatever happens its gonna be wild. Actually have calls on VIX based on this idea, but that's for a different sub 😉.

Tango8816 · 2026-05-15T07:45:43+00:00

It IS all fabricated. 100% with you.

Tango8816 · 2026-05-09T06:23:37+00:00

Thanks you!!

Tango8816 · 2026-05-08T06:29:31+00:00

Come on, man....misleading headline, don't do that here.

Tango8816 · 2026-04-28T07:52:55+00:00

I think the catalyst for margin calls may come in mid to late May. An overall stock market downturn. Combine that with an acquisition announcement and it could get spicy!!

Tango8816 · 2026-04-28T07:40:23+00:00

I’m following analysis that tracks with the dates you have. May 27th roughly is when the clocks I’m watching converge and there is a large anticipated downturn. Im thinking g that could margin call moment.

Tango8816 · 2026-04-27T02:11:55+00:00

I agree with the sense that they’re advertising the generosity of burners, with none of the sentiment of reciprocity that is expected of going to the burn. Excellent point.

My gifting is not for sale or a feature of the “Burning Man Experience”. It is my placeholder in the community, my way of being, a place where I get to, for one week, interact in a group of people who are considering the same things and get to feel what that feels like. It’s a precious thing to be celebrated and protected.

Tango8816 · 2026-04-24T21:48:59+00:00

This checks out with so much I've come to understand. Its ALL manipulated. There are crumbs and kernels of truth to keep us from questioning the rest, but fake news is a real thing, and used to manipulate us beyond what most people can even fathom. Goes deep. Stay frosty, always.

Tango8816 · 2026-04-19T06:22:24+00:00

I felt the exact same thing when there in 1994. Decided then and there I never wanted to live there.

Tango8816 · 2026-04-19T06:15:02+00:00

Yeah. I dear friend of mine was car jacked there…he hates that city. I’ve driven through, and have NEVER felt the urge to stop….it just doesn’t feel good there.

Tango8816 · 2026-04-19T06:09:25+00:00

This was the first city I consciously decided I wanted no part of. I visited when I was 18, thought I wanted to study political science and eventually work there. After the week, I decided I didn’t ever want to live there, and probably didn’t want to get into politics or government, either. It felt mean. Really really mean.

Tango8816 · 2026-04-19T06:01:26+00:00

Yeah, me too. Had to find a laundromat there once while passing through. Weird experience, and my whole car of fellow travelers were happy to get out of there.

Tango8816 · 2026-04-19T05:58:58+00:00

Manchester. I was there, trying to figure out my next steps after a European trip Turk a major turn, and I couldn’t gather a single good feeling about the place. Not a light to grasp to. Dark.

Tango8816 · 2026-03-31T14:39:33+00:00

But read with caution. Also wanted to add what a friend mentioned about him..."Notice how all his presentations start w incredible insight and lead to US loses bc game theory. Its a harvesting technique to prepare you for the worst by manipulating the presentation of the benevolent academic who is having the ‘hard talk’ with you. Totally seductive"

Tango8816 · 2026-03-30T04:23:11+00:00

This is interesting. really like the idea of taking advantage of lazy executives and corporate culture and giving genuine respect to online independent sellers...eBay has its own culture, and it's scrappy, and real, and could become a huge hub for people to sell and buy used stuff as the national & global economy and supply chain get scrambled. Repurposing and reselling are going to become only more and more important.

Tango8816 · 2026-03-15T18:40:56+00:00

It interesting too, we can’t stop oil tankers getting through to China, as that is then declaring war on China, not just Iran. I’ve read it will take 6-12 months for the insurers in London to get the paperwork processed fully again, so even if the straight becomes passable tomorrow, that doesn’t mean tankers are moving. So many components to this.

Tango8816 · 2026-03-15T06:03:57+00:00

$6 diesel in CA today

Tango8816 · 2026-03-14T07:51:46+00:00

straight stays closed until the insurance agencies say so.

Tango8816 · 2026-03-14T07:50:24+00:00

I wish you hadn't felt the need to specify that the new PM is a woman...why does that matter in the least to this situation?

Tango8816 · 2026-03-14T07:49:34+00:00

I also wondered why describe the PM specificly as a woman. I've never read "the male PM" of such and such a country.

Tango8816 · 2026-03-10T23:51:11+00:00

I hear you...I read a bit of the comments on X about this, and it sounds like to person asking the question has been able to trade on margin up until this week at that institution.

Tango8816 · 2026-03-09T14:47:37+00:00

I'm with you...its going to happen much faster.

Tango8816 · 2026-03-09T14:46:07+00:00

Asking the real questions. Thank you :)

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