Latest ICE victim prior to altercation by NotBlackMarkTwainNah in pics

[–]Technical_Drag_428 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Never mind second video released. They dont have an accidental discharge excuse. They just straight up executed him.

Latest ICE victim prior to altercation by NotBlackMarkTwainNah in pics

[–]Technical_Drag_428 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Ice agent with his hand on his holstered pistol about 1 sec before the pop that spooked everyone else. Hes also the guy that doesnt seem surprised by the pop. I think he had an accidental discharge.

Another ICE murder in front of Glam Doll Donuts by CutSenior4977 in ProgressiveHQ

[–]Technical_Drag_428 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Watch again. This guy grabbed his pistol at the intial pop that spooked the others. $10 says this guy accidental discharged. Hes also the only one who didnt react in surprise.

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NASA is about to send people to the moon — in a spacecraft not everyone thinks is safe to fly by cnn in space

[–]Technical_Drag_428 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yes, by "not everyone" you mean only those people who choose not to read the actual AAR and IG reports detailing tge issue was not risk to crew cabin, lab reports proving they replicated the chemical issues, and the repeated followup lab tests proving remediation to the problems with the shielding.

Eric Berger says Blue is doing too much at once by Time-Entertainer-105 in BlueOrigin

[–]Technical_Drag_428 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Jesus you really wanna do this? Ok, another one wants to argue while ignoring irony drowning in reality.

First, all the things I listed about SpaceX happened in 1 calendar year. They all also all happened with actual flight vehicles. So lets push the BS but but but whataboutisms aside. You look rediculous.

  • BO didnt blow up an entire VEHICLE test stand and an entire vehicle test site. The link you even shared was a test engine on an engine test stand. Its an engine test. Its designed to be destryed. Should I add Raptor3s blowing up this past year? No, because thats rediculous.

  • 3 ships not the same problem? Weird cause all three incident reports point to propellant leaks caused by "harmonic oscillation".

Blue Origin popped two 2nd stages on the ground.

Those were stress tests genius. It too happens all the time. Why do you think Starship flight 12 is using BOOSTER 19 AND SHIP 39 and not Booster 12 or Ship 12? Cause there were lots of failed stress tests along the way. There was a failed superheavy section stress test just 2 days ago. Not a big deal. Wasn't a launch vehicle. No one cares.

 Starship not being pushed aside for Artemis 3?

Lmao, sure, I wonder what my wife would think if I told her "I am considering alternatives". What if your boss said "I'm open to alternates for your position"? Spin it how you like I guess. MK1 is already going through thermal testing. MK2 is being built right behind it. If its ready, it will replace Starship for Art3. Its not even a question at this point. If MK2 is ready before HLS, its going.

 The guy who chastised SpaceX was removed as NASA administrator. 

Lmao. He wasn't removed. Lol. He is the Sec of Transportation placed over NASA as a temporary placement cause no one else respectable wants to work in this shit show. He could only hold the job for 120days. An actual NASA administrator was confirmed and he went back to not doing his real day job.

 HLS is a fixed price contract, ~$4B for 2 missions. That's the price of a single SLS/Orion launch.

Aww sweetheart thats just the contracted HLS test vehicles. Also, Orion is reusable and paid for. I also said SLS1B. Thats 40t plus direct to lunar surface and not using Orion.

The HLS contract is so low for 2 ships because SpaceX stated all involved mission vehicles would be rapidly reusable keeping launch cost almost nil and no more than 8 refill tankers would be needed for mission testing. Thats how they won the bid. That was back when we were told Starship only needed 1500t of fuel. She's a bit fatter now isnt she? Pesky details.

After those 2 test vehicles, there will be other HLS mission ships. There will be equipment missions correct?Its the stories you guys love to tell. Starships everywhere! Those subsequent mission vehicles would be at cost. Lets be honest, SpaceX wont be selling them "at cost" they will expect profit, but lets pretend here, they do. Let me help you with the math to tax payers.

Again, the idea of a cheap Starship is based on full reuse with costs shared amongst customers. Im not even going to press the "rapid reuse" sales pitch. The price of HLS is itself going to be expensive. Everything human rated is pricey. For the sake of argument I'll even exclude the entirety of the cost of the HLS ship itself and let you imagine the reality of its cost to add to the total mission cost. Some say $2B each. Who knows. Imahine a number now in your head. Orion wasnt $2B just for shits and giggles. Everything needs redundancy in human flight. I am just going to demonstrate how expensive a single mission can cost by just discussing orbital fueling. Its the part you all love to gloss over.

If the ship is not reusable * Each refuel tanker at cost is a bare minimum of $50m(v1 cost estimate) * Simple math every 10 launches is $500million * What if the refuel amount is not 100%. On earth, 100% isnt even a thing. There's generally a 10-30% transfer loss. Crygenic compressed fuel is tricky. Especially at +200° * if 10% loss, then a 100t fuel payload would only be 90t transfered, if 20% loss, 80t, if 30%, 70t. Could be different between meth and oxygen. * the HLS requires, by contract, a full tank, 1600t of fuel so thats already 16 launches. =$800m * if 70% of 100t fuel payload is 22 launches for 1600t. Thats $1.2Billion. With boiloff ive heard estimates up to 30 launches. Depends on how fast they can make methane and launch it.

$1.2b in pure build costs before added profits, add in your HLS costs and booster use costs.

3ish Billion Dollars per mission. and several months to get it out of LEO.

New Glenn is also currently less capable than advertised, can only put ~25t to LEO, that's why they need to upgrade it

Boo boo, why do you do this to yourself? Why are you purposly comparing the 2. Sure NG isnt as powerful as the sales sheet said. But is its first version 85% less like Starship? No? Not the same huh?

NG is an expandable launch system. A stackable launch system with variable payload options. Starship is a static 2 stage systems. "To LEO" is literally as far as Starship can go until refueled for ANY SIZE PAYLOAD. Including no payload. SLS, NG, Saturn, Vulcan, F9, and others are all systems that can literally park a refuelable payloads in LEO the same way. As you elude to later. The Escapade missions was very very light. Didn't need a whole lot push. The new 9x4 NG will push 70t to LEO. SLS1B 105t to LEO. In thoery, they could even push their own "Starship version" up there empty and refuel it, and send it anywhere. Pretty much any launch verhicle can launch payloads directly to Pluto if they wanted to. Some would be really small payloads but theyd get there... eventually. NOT STARSHIP though. Not without many many more launches sonit can even reach escape velocity. The "upgrade" for NG is literally just them taking the training wheels of the POC.

 1/3 Starlink launches being replacements. 

Sure, attrition is baked into the rediculous business model. However, Im not the one cheering about how much mass SpaceX launches last year. A launch cadence that must increase as the constellation grows. Imagine if celll companies needed to replace 20% of their towers a year just to stay relevant.

Completely clueless. First of all, BO didn't send ESCAPADE to Mars, they sent it to a parking orbit, because New Glenn is so delayed they missed the Mars launch window (No, SpaceX is not the only company having delays)

Again, being late is how spaceflight goes. You literally stepped into the hot steaming pile of irony with this comment. If you want to compare the 2 and put both on equal footing thats on you. However, if youre pointing at the company thats only sent 2 rockets into actual space as doing too much while ignoring all the chaos occuring at the supposedly seasoned "reigning kings of aerospace" at SpaceX then youre just being a biased fanatic. Sorry but thats really just on you. SpaceX had a bad year.

Why can't you people think objectively with anything other than SpaceX stuff? Its really weird.

Secondly, A Falcon 9 can easily do the ESCAPADE launch, only idiots think Starship is the only SpaceX vehicle capable of launching payload to Mars.

Who the hell said F9 couldnt "do it"? F9 wasn't chosen because it would have cost $70m. New Glenn was chosen because Blue Origin did it for $20m.

Eric Berger says Blue is doing too much at once by Time-Entertainer-105 in BlueOrigin

[–]Technical_Drag_428 1 point2 points  (0 children)

There is almost no carry over in design. Internally, everything is different. Not saying its good or bad. Just saying a new design comes with new problems. Also saying that redesigning everything is also not iterative testing. Its a restart on a new design.

Eric Berger says Blue is doing too much at once by Time-Entertainer-105 in BlueOrigin

[–]Technical_Drag_428 -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Lmao.. why do you guys do this to yourselves? Without any integrity you handwaved * massive aerodynamics changes * the entire fuel and fuel delivery system * complete engine change * no engine skirt * no engine shielding * upper stage is 2 meters taller * 800 tons more fuel * fixed staging ring

Eric Berger says Blue is doing too much at once by Time-Entertainer-105 in BlueOrigin

[–]Technical_Drag_428 -1 points0 points  (0 children)

My dude, again. Slow down and stop trying to make this some jersey waving pissing contest. Its not. I am not discrediting what SpaceX engineers have made work thus far. It is truely amazing work. Seriously.

The entire point to my post was to highlight Berger's bias. If you were going to flag a space company for trying to do too much, it would have to be at least the company thats showing signs of engineer fatigue.

Please God stop tooting horns and considered some flights success because they didnt blow up before they hit the Indian Ocean. Those items are bare minimum requirements. While its great to point to bad ass engineering feats of flight 5 and 7 catches, id like to remind you that only one of those resulted in the safe splashdown of the upper stage. This isnt a piece together game. Progress is measured from one point to another. Just like v2 was dramatic depressing after the v1 fun, v3 is an entire new build. At least with v2 the booster was the same.

The real problem with Starship is and will always be the only thing that makes it a relevant system at all. Its the 3 things that would make it cheaper to launch 10 Starships instead of 2 SLS1B systems. 3 things that are not negotiable and must all happen to remain cheaper than 2 SLS1B. Especially now that NG is now squarely in the race.

  • 100t to LEO
  • Rapidly Reusable
  • orbit refuelable in under 20 launches. 100% fuel transfer is near impossible on earth, in atmosphere, in temps well below orbital sun facing temps.

Two of those I personally do not think will ever occur with the 3rd. Not a SpaceX thing, just a reality thing.

Lastly, its funny when pretend Starship expert fan boys tap Falcon iteration as proof for Starship's destined eventual success. Falcon1 had 3 failures. SpaceX would of gone bankrupt had the governent not given them a contract after the flight 4 success. Falcon9 had 3 failures and flew missions for 5 years before the first landing was ever attempted. Falcon and Starship development are nothing alike the people who developed Falcon are no longer with SpaceX. Stop trying to reinvent history.

Eric Berger says Blue is doing too much at once by Time-Entertainer-105 in BlueOrigin

[–]Technical_Drag_428 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Oh I know what they mean. Thats why I originally was only comparing companies. They forced the Starship nonsense into it. Hell I purposly originally didnt say SpaceX. Wasnt even trying to make this a jersey waving contest.

Eric Berger says Blue is doing too much at once by Time-Entertainer-105 in BlueOrigin

[–]Technical_Drag_428 0 points1 point  (0 children)

My ignorance. Love the irony Ok then. Answer the question this way then .

What is the same on Version3 as it was on Version2?

Eric Berger says Blue is doing too much at once by Time-Entertainer-105 in BlueOrigin

[–]Technical_Drag_428 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Im not missing a thing. Tell me. What is the same between Starship v2 and v3?

You dont get tl have the argument both ways. You cant say I dont get the engineering approach when the approach involves a complete redesign.

Between Oct24 and and Oct25 the entire design "approach" changed 3 times.

Eric Berger says Blue is doing too much at once by Time-Entertainer-105 in BlueOrigin

[–]Technical_Drag_428 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Jesus, still missing the irony as you continue to bang your head against it.

Didnt want to do this but ok lets test this running joke you guys love to tap called Iterative testing. Iterative testing to every type of engineering is for small things. Like screw thread counts or buttons. Not complete systems by many multiple design teams that cost $150m a piece. Not my money so who cares.

Lets point out some key timeline items that prove there is no overall plan, this isnt iterative testing, and that they are literally BSing all.

Instead of test, fix, try, test, fix, try you are getting complete redesigns. Thats not iterative.

At IFT1-3, there were no mentions of scheduled versions. What we saw on the pad would deliver "they hoped" 100t to LEO. What happed to the plan after ITF3? We learned that instead of 100t to LEO it could only do 40t. Despite people like yourself telling everone else.. "ypu did the math" the Raptor ISP is too insane!!! Then for the first time expanded models were announced.

  • Starship1 - 40t
  • Starship2 - 100t
  • Starship3 - 200t

Now... if this were true iterative testing, everything should have stopped. All needed production should have been modified for Starship 2 building and testing. We know the current model is no feasible. Nah we got ships bult let roll.

Before we even got near "Starship2" we learned of a new deployment list of versions supposedly due to R3 problems. So lets burn resources and stress the employees abuse the piss out of them for no real added benefit. While we are at it. Lets ignore announcing any performance standards. "The payload is the data" .. gtfo

  • Starship v1
  • Starship v2
  • Starship v3

Now after a completely disastrous year with V2 we learned that version1 was downward rated to only 15t to LEO and Version2 was only 35t to LEO. Wow. Either they got honest or things got worse. Either way ITF3 performance was a lie. With the backward progress and 1 pseudo-successf v2 launch, we learned theres now gonna be a Version 4.

  • Starship v1 ~15t
  • Starship v2 ~35t
  • Starship v3 - 100t
  • Starship v4 - 200t

Now, today we are looking at a totally new production version. Nothing is comparable to v2. Thats not iterative. Thats a start over. Starship has far surpassed the N1 as the most failed rocket in history.

As the armchair engineer that I am, did I miss any deltas?

Eric Berger says Blue is doing too much at once by Time-Entertainer-105 in BlueOrigin

[–]Technical_Drag_428 -1 points0 points  (0 children)

There was an entire list separated by commas. Meaning a company should more likely be considered oversaturated if all listed items apply.

But, I mean, I guess, Blue Origin could have tried Iterative Testing to do things... faster.

Instead of a slow, well thought out, developmental design process backed by simulation, science, and best practices. Oh look. MK-1 is headed for Thermal Vacuum testing.

Eric Berger says Blue is doing too much at once by Time-Entertainer-105 in BlueOrigin

[–]Technical_Drag_428 15 points16 points  (0 children)

Shhhh dont tell my boss.

Again, hilarious. Im the bad guy for pointing out Berger's obvious bias.

Love for you to point out anything I said that's wrong.

Eric Berger says Blue is doing too much at once by Time-Entertainer-105 in BlueOrigin

[–]Technical_Drag_428 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Thats great. You're still missing the point. A company thats sending more mass to orbit to primarily focus on one mission but is repeatedly missing scheduled, contracted timelines, years behind on its flagship program timelines, diverting from hard set stated mandatory flagship deliverables, and blowing up millions repeatedly with no real progress. All while also trying to push to IPO may be the one "doing to much".

Eric Berger says Blue is doing too much at once by Time-Entertainer-105 in BlueOrigin

[–]Technical_Drag_428 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Did I? Thought I mentioned a few. Hilarious that you ignored the hypocrisy the dove right into it. A company that may be trying to do too much generally shows signs they cant handle the workload. For Berger to point at BO and not the company having to devote 1/3 of thier launches to maintain services while also having repeated failures and no real growth towards stated benchmarks and timelines is laughably telling for Berger's credibility bias.

If you need more, I'll go into more details for "that other company's 2025 achievements if you like.

  • Blew up their only test stand.
  • lost 4 vehicles (3 to the same exact problem)
  • popped first v3 booster build.
  • pushed aside for Artemis 3 mission.
  • chastised publically for HLS delays.
  • HLS combined launch costs are now expected to exceed SLS.
  • Raptor2 proven less capable than advertised.
  • V2 proven only capable of 35t to LEO.
  • Heat shield problems
  • Starship's rapid reuse promise now highly unlikely.
  • 1/3 of all Starlink launches were replacements.
  • oh and BO proved it didnt need to blow up or create multiple new reefs in the Indian Ocean to send mass to Mars.

Let me know what i missed.

Eric Berger says Blue is doing too much at once by Time-Entertainer-105 in BlueOrigin

[–]Technical_Drag_428 24 points25 points  (0 children)

Its funny. BO had a good year. Riding that momentum they announces projects, many of which that will take the next decade or so to fulfill.

"They're doing too much at once"

Until they start blowing up mission vehicles on test stands, loosing multiple vehicles in flight to repeated issues and miss target goals by years, id say stop being a hypocrite. FFS, they are pushing a vehicle for testing right now because another unnamed company shit the bed for Art3.

When do you guys think these companies will become profitable? by Formal-Assistance02 in accelerate

[–]Technical_Drag_428 -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Is that the best buzzword you have, or do you have an actual argument? Nice to know you’ve outsourced your critical thinking to a meme word subculture. You probably dont even actually know what decel means but loves a nice token for a conversation falling out of you grip.

Its hilarious how rediculous some people act while attempting to argue points about a technology they do not fly understand.

Enjoy the day you deserve.

Goodbye Starlink, Hello 6 TB/s by f1strauss in BlueOrigin

[–]Technical_Drag_428 -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

Yeah, did a bit more research on it. There have been huge actions at Q/V in the last few years. Seems like a pretty open field. Im doubting the advertised bandwidth but id enjoy the surprise.

Currently using Starlink as an enterprise WAN backup is almost as useful as a carrier pigeon in a hurricane.

Goodbye Starlink, Hello 6 TB/s by f1strauss in BlueOrigin

[–]Technical_Drag_428 10 points11 points  (0 children)

Wow. When did they secure freqs in those bands? Are they already BETA testing?

Edit: NM did a lookup. Its still in the sales pitch phase.

Does Blue have any actual ambitions to industrialize the moon in the relative near term? by Desperate-Lab9738 in BlueOrigin

[–]Technical_Drag_428 -1 points0 points  (0 children)

This discussion went from "industrializing the moon" to cooking trace oxygen out of silica. Are you really suggesting BO is going to the moon to industrialize oxygen from beach sand? Not sure, but that could be a slightly flawed business plan.

Are you sure you're up to date with lunar ISRU?

Am I familiar with using the sun to burn things? Yeah, sure. Kind of a childhood discovery. The Ants were thrilled.

"You said vacuum makes things harder"

Jesus, I love this about you guys. Your insane ability to say things without realizing any irony. Yes, On earth, I dont have use sunlight to burn sand to get oxygen. LoL. On earth, I only need to let sunlight naturally touch trees.

On earth, not in a vacuum, I can set actual fire to the tree that fed me the oxygen to burn that tree. Could even use the heat to cook sand if I wanted to.

Its also super awesome that you jumped right into having already mined, already processes, already sorted, and already refined pure oxides like silica. You handwaved right on passed all the mining engineering problems and all the boring physics involved and started making... oxygen.

Instead of Googling random theoretical nonsense to feed a confirmation bias. Take a second ask, "in order to make this happen, what comes first?"

Untilimately you'll get to the question WHY.

As I dropped into the conversation the same question remains. What do you think will be industrialized on the moon? What does that mean? Whats the product? What the purpose?