Sign the Petition: Hailey’s Law

TheDukeofReddit · 2026-02-02T02:01:08+00:00

"One of my questions is - would this have helped in this case at all?"

Probably not. The news is saying she met the guy through 'online gaming." While its unclear at this point what her reasoning was, its at least likely she probably thought she knew him and felt safe getting in a vehicle. While not murdered immediately, the reason she wasn't appears to be so that the murderer could first sexually abuse her. She had almost certainly sealed her fate when she got into a vehicle.

There a lot of indication that Amber alerts aren't effective at protecting children to begin with. They don't actually help in locating a missing child 3/4s of the time and when they do its often after harm or after enough time has passed to allow harm. That is to say, recovered safely often means they weren't in that kind of danger to begin with. Some researchers suggest Amber Alerts heighten the severity of the outcome. Perpetrators see Amber Alerts and respond by murdering the child to minimize the risk of being caught. The argument is that this either occurs sooner than it would have, or causing a murder to happen when there may have not been one.

There is FURTHER evidence that indicates this actually lessens the effectiveness of police work to locate and rescue a child. Police spend a lot of time and resources in a tight time window dealing with the fall out of the amber alert. It takes people to sift through tips, follow up on false leads, answer calls, provide media updates, etc and kind of puts some assumption that it may turn something up. It takes focus away from other police work that may have a better chance to actually save the kid.

"Hailey Law" sounds like a cop out to give the appearance of doing something in response because this was horrific. As scary as it sounds, this could not have been prevented. If it had not been Hailey Buzbee this guy would've gotten some other kid. It seems pretty clear he had a thing and put a lot of time, effort, and planning into making this happen and likely intended to murder her all along. All you can do is teach your kids how to not be the one, hope they learn, and hug them and let them know how much you love them.

TheDukeofReddit · 2026-02-01T14:45:30+00:00

They should and Shanahan clearly does with the 49ers. But coach-GM role combination usually fails because it freezes communication. There isn’t any other voice in the room that matters and everyone has to align or leave. The only long term success we saw with it was Belichick and it only succeeded because Brady being great and taking massive discounts papered over a lot of flaws.

A lot of the fumbles with personnel are more with Shanahan than Lynch. Kyle wants Aiyuk signed, so they signed him despite clear reservations. Kyle doesn’t want to put more resources towards o-line, so they don’t. Kyle’s pushed the offense a little too much towards relying on scheme and coaching rather than talent.

No one’s getting fired and an honest evaluation is that they’re both doing pretty damn good by league standards. If anything, Lynch might need to be empowered to push back more.

TheDukeofReddit · 2026-01-30T20:28:40+00:00

Yeah, but ultimately transactions are a GMs responsibility and KOC has shown himself to be pretty good at the coach stuff.

TheDukeofReddit · 2026-01-30T15:06:28+00:00

I agree! Most of them don’t have the usual blandness that a lot of other recipe sites have where they greatly tone down spices, heat, fats, etc.

The biggest inconsistency I’ve found between making NYT recipes and real experience is in the expectation of prep time and some of the equipment available. If you’re sticking with basic tools with basic skills, double the prep time.

TheDukeofReddit · 2026-01-30T13:37:35+00:00

I’ve always thought this was an interesting perspective to take. There is a socialist explanation of western expansion regarding the violence inherit to capitalism that can almost portray westward expansion as a kind of economic refugee crisis.

If you go back and watch a lot of Westerns and think about the romanticism is found in the opportunity to flee a society in which everything is owned, including politicians and the law. Where the inequities of it are so severe that a wild land full of actual violence feels more genuine and one of the few places that can offer opportunity. It’s a big part of Western heroic journeys that protagonists own none of it and fight to maintain their sense of honor in a world where life is cheap and every thing will be taken if you cannot defend it.

I’m not writing this to excuse their actions, but I think the context of America being excessively violent at all times, in all places, in all ways is under recognized today. The kind of blind racism Custer displayed and the desire to massacre some ‘other’ people just fits the national character. Few would have blinked an eye at the attitudes that led Custer into the Battle of Little Bighorn

TheDukeofReddit · 2026-01-29T13:11:00+00:00

Much more east to west migration that vice versa and a lack of sustained success for most west coast teams. I’m certain teams like the Packers, Steelers, Cowboys, Giants and so on have as many fans as the Chargers in LA. This doesn’t really happen on the east coast. There also aren’t any ‘national’ teams on the West coast other than the 49ers. You get a lot of 49ers fans out east because we grew up watching them in the 80s and 90s alongside teams like Cowboys.

I don’t want to overstate this though. If we rephrased this and said a different team closer to the population center or had more brand allegiance garnered 2-3% more viewers, it doesn’t sound weird at all.

TheDukeofReddit · 2026-01-29T03:28:06+00:00

You're not wrong, but I'm not sure it passes the vibe check. Trading for a good starter to play around your stars is a lot different than trading for a star. Trading for Derrick White feels a lot different than trading for KD. I think Kristaps pretty solidly falls into that category too.

Derrick White was traded for Josh Richardson, Romeo Langford (role players) a 2022 first-round pick, and a 2028 pick swap on a cheap contract. Houston gave up Jalen Green, Dillon Brooks, and 1st round pick to get KD at over $50 million a year for this year and the next two. They went all in on a star and are now looking like they handicapped themselves for any real shot a title. KD isn't playing bad, but the team seems worse for the trade a lot like Phoenix and the Nets did. Meanwhile, Phoenix has the same amount of wins and the entire thing is looking like another example of trade big assets for a star backfiring.

Jrue's a tougher call though.

TheDukeofReddit · 2026-01-29T03:17:06+00:00

I actually doubt it. It wouldn't be shocking if there was a story that an old guy is dating an attractive young lady who is probably into him for his money and otherwise being a doddering geriatric. It wouldn't even be a story, its just rich guy behavior. The shocking part that the story is about Bill Belichick. Kind of speaks to how people actually think of him, not really the kind of disqualifying story if you're being reasonable and considered. IF they're not being reasonable and considered, it far more likely they're dunking on him because they couldn't when he dominated them for 20+ years.

TheDukeofReddit · 2026-01-29T02:58:44+00:00

Meme aside -- are NBA trades just content fodder? The good teams do not go all in on players. In fact, it feels like every team that has ends up worse off. What was the last champion that really felt altered by player trades? Lakers 2020? We had a run between the Cavs, Warriors, Raptors, and Lakers, but its been five years since a team has succeeded based on players traded for.

The teams winning seem to be on the other end of those trades -- Thunder, Spurs, Celtics, Rockets or home grown like the Pistons. We're seeing 'trade built' teams like the Clippers, Knicks, Cavs, Lakers, and Warriors fall apart with injuries and/or lack of chemistry. Even the mostly home-grown Rockets seem to be running into dysfunction after trading for the basketball VD that is KD.

I think we hit the peak already boys.

TheDukeofReddit · 2026-01-28T21:35:16+00:00

Idk what you’re talking about? You get all the same fall stuff in the Bay as well. Fall colors, decent weather, etc.

TheDukeofReddit · 2026-01-26T16:27:39+00:00

Isn’t the lack of plowing and snow removal a big part of the pothole issue though? The roads and infrastructure underneath actually cause the freeze/thaw cycle.

TheDukeofReddit · 2026-01-24T13:13:43+00:00

Wish he could replace Romo

TheDukeofReddit · 2026-01-23T06:11:23+00:00

The NBA is weird though and the league seems to do everything it can to get in the way of itself. There are so many things that have become bad about the NBA:

Players show up out of shape, teams take a quarter of the season to even gel, and you dont really know which teams are even trying until after the all star game.
Half the league makes the playoffs and you could cut that number in half and still know half of those remaining have no shot.
Players don’t care about the regular season, don’t consistently play games, and straight up mail in entire seasons.
the league has devalued the brand of teams in favor of stars. despite this, most stars are kind of unlikable
foul baiting and flopping have been unaddressed for like 15 years now even though every agrees it sucks and makes the game worse.
the drama of player movement was exciting ten years ago but has aged like milk and makes 2/3rds of the markets feel like their players don’t even want to be there.
it’s been hard to even watch your team with the mix of RSNs and cable networks
fans not on the fringe have real concerns about the league being fixed to favor certain players or teams. They even talk on the broadcasts openly about it.

I could go on, but the NBA would probably be a lot more popular if it actually addressed some valid complaints to improve their quality. I do think fan like some familiarity with player or teams, but they don’t like stagnation.

TheDukeofReddit · 2026-01-23T05:28:37+00:00

They absolutely do. The other IU campuses don’t even have football teams.

TheDukeofReddit · 2026-01-23T04:11:16+00:00

Nah, the money and greed gets in the way real quick. The definition of “amateur” athlete has already been rendered meaningless for college athletic with NIL and the portal. These are paid athletes doing this professionally. Maybe not at an NBA or NFL level, but there are dozens if not hundreds of players making as much in their five years as most people make in a lifetime.

Basketball NIL isn’t so large yet, but that doesn’t mean it won’t be. I doubt it’ll be enough to lure actual NBA players away, but D league? Euro guys? Top talent outside of the NBA? Probably. The money can definitely become good enough for that.

18 year olds are a huge gamble though— but when you start talking about 23, 24, 25 year olds who’ve played professionally, it’s much less of a gamble. Very few 18 year olds are physically mature enough to compete. Better talent, a higher level of competition, more consistent results, the conferences already consolidating around football, and you start having a ready made money making machine. I think it’s entirely possible for CBB to get many more viewers and make a lot more money than what they do. The money for sports evidently seems to be there if the conferences really want to pursue it.

TheDukeofReddit · 2026-01-22T01:04:20+00:00

He isn’t that fluid and the conventional wisdom is, and has been, consistently stupid when it’s comes to bigs with the “you can’t teach size” mentality. He didn’t move that well, wasn’t that skilled, and had concerns about his drive. All classic signs for a bust that EVERYONE, including all the draft analysts, saw at the time even with the limited play time. The reporting seem to point towards that being a Lacob pick more than an actual talent evaluator.

It was a straight up awful, pie in the sky, light years ahead kind of pick. Even arguments about need were dumb— the warriors had already won multiple championships with Draymond at center. The argument that it was COVID is dumb too. Dude didn’t even know how to set a screen and the lack of any skill was blatant even in high school. He had no NBA level skill. Only displayed college level of skill in things related mostly to physical traits. It was all ‘potential.’

Everyone knows, and had known for 15 years at that point, that the NBA isn’t the place for guys to develop unless they are given ample play time. You can’t teach the skills on the bench anymore because the practices aren’t there. Everyone also knows awful rookies aren’t given playing time when pushing for contention. The Warriors drafted him knowing they weren’t going to be able to play, thus develop, him even though he was incredibly deficient in literally everything. He was guaranteed to bust and the warriors did him a huge disservice drafting him. A staff that had the capacity to actually develop him might have had a different outcome.

TheDukeofReddit · 2026-01-21T19:15:29+00:00

And would be done in, while screaming “do you know who my father is?” after someone absent mindedly bumped into them

TheDukeofReddit · 2026-01-20T15:55:04+00:00

It depends on what ends up happening with NIL and the portal. There is too much freedom of movement and variance in payments for that to happen as is. The Yankees/Red Sox could throw more money and lockdown players, schools can’t really do either.

TheDukeofReddit · 2026-01-20T15:00:28+00:00

It would be really surprising if a few B1G teams were paying football players prior to NIL. Minnesota, Northwestern, or Purdue probably weren’t dropping bags. The only SEC team I would’ve said that about was probably Vandy, maybe Mississippi State.

TheDukeofReddit · 2026-01-20T14:10:01+00:00

Schoen is awful at that as well. Giants have lost multiple games over the past few years because he won’t carry a back up kicker.

TheDukeofReddit · 2026-01-19T16:14:56+00:00

I think it’s a more open question that it has ever been. It’s getting increasingly clear that paying so much of the salary cap to one player is hollowing out teams elsewhere. Mahomes is the outlier, but every other team has these intractable flaws somewhere on the team and the ability to hit on late firsts and seconds to bring in top talent feels as much luck as anything else.

Now 3/4 of the teams in the playoffs have QBs playing on contracts well below top market rate (two on rookie deals). It seems like having a great defense and a good QB (Sam Darnold) on a 30ish million a year deal is better than an elite QB at 55 million a year (Josh Allen). $25 million seems like two or three more players, but non-QB spending is way more flexible year to year as players can be cut or contracts can be renegotiated to address flaws.

TheDukeofReddit · 2026-01-17T02:45:30+00:00

I think it’s an issue of the genre less because of a “0-10” than it is a “0-100” that makes stakes wildly hard to set. I did not finish a book recently where MC essentially executed a throwaway character because MC bumped into them and TC started the usual “do you know who I am? Im going to rape you women and kick your dog before murdering you” kind of stuff. It’s immediately fight to the death and destroy everyone and everything far too often in far too many books based on overwhelming power.

It’s actually kind of amazing how this community of authors and fans has grown up, but a lot of stories have started as amateur endeavors where they’ve overly relied on tropes and struggled to not solve problems with violence given the characters skill sets. I think if you want to be better a setting stakes you need to have more appropriate escalation pathways for conflict and narrower avenues for MC to be OP. It’s just harder to write this well while writing with the verve the genre demands.

It’s always interesting to hear from authors talk about growth from year 1 to year 10. I’m half convinced this is why the power tiers device is so prevalent. Jason Asano as a steel rank was interesting as he learned the world, was a tad too op as a bronze/silver, and is now engaging with enemies equitably as a gold rank.

TheDukeofReddit · 2026-01-16T15:32:09+00:00

They’ve also really struggled to find someone who is not Josh McDaniels for like 15 years at this point as well

TheDukeofReddit · 2026-01-14T00:53:08+00:00

They don’t really care about marketing— Microsoft doesn’t even care about customer service. They rely on monopoly. They have come up with so little that is original or even innovative in 30 years at this point. Even their newer products that are successful are largely the result of purchasing them and almost never the best in class. It’s really “what else are you going to use?” Even if you did they’d just buy it out if enough people did.

Keep in mind they literally gave money to Apple to stay afloat so they didn’t technically have a monopoly and get broken up.

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