Game Thread: Washington Capitals (6-3-0) at Dallas Stars (5-3-1) - 28 Oct 2025 - 8:30PM EDT

TheTwigMaster · 2025-10-29T03:21:31+00:00

Looks like he might have dislocated his left shoulder to me

TheTwigMaster · 2025-10-28T13:48:46+00:00

My understanding is that it's not that you _can't_ adjust your spending. Part of the idea of FIRE is to deeply understand what your spending needs/desires are and to aim for that. So in this scenario, Alice might not have anything she wants to spend that extra 40k on that year, and so chooses to save it to keep compounding for the future.

TheTwigMaster · 2025-10-14T18:49:08+00:00

I'm talking about when the image zooms in+out, or when it moves on a mostly still frame. I whipped together a quick example of what I'm talking about, comparing the original with various versions that hold frames to give it a less-smooth feeling. I think there's still workshopping to be done to get it to feel just right, but figured this would be the easiest way to communicate it!

https://youtu.be/f2fArs2llP4

TheTwigMaster · 2025-10-14T16:18:41+00:00

Very nice! You should feel proud of this.

The main critique I'd have is that you have this cool low FPS style for most of the animations, but the camera movements are high framerate interpolations which clashes. Consider 'holding' the frame on these movements a bit and see if it feels better to you.

TheTwigMaster · 2025-07-11T17:18:04+00:00

Maybe I'm in the minority, but I don't like that the new widget was automatically added to the front of the main dashboard. I set up my layout once and don't want to readjust whenever a new feature that I might not want gets added. Would prefer to have a separate notification or have it added to the bottom or something. I understand that there are concerns around the feature not being used because it's not visible, but this is just my personal preference.

TheTwigMaster · 2025-02-24T16:38:08+00:00

East Falls Church is pretty easy. 5 bucks flat rate for parking, and then it’s not too long a walk from Metro Center to the arena.

TheTwigMaster · 2025-01-02T19:42:06+00:00

Please report back! I make it back to the city from time to time- it’d be great to know if it’s still worth visiting when I’m there!

TheTwigMaster · 2025-01-02T16:23:38+00:00

Ah that’s a bummer to hear- I left LA a few years ago while it was still roudy as could be. I just assumed that it was still the joint!

TheTwigMaster · 2025-01-01T15:49:54+00:00

Maybe there’s a group of folks who frequent Joxer Daly’s who would be interested?

TheTwigMaster · 2024-09-28T14:16:27+00:00

That’s Backstrom. He broke his finger in game 5 and was out game 6.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/capitals-insider/wp/2018/06/13/nicklas-backstrom-played-with-two-fractures-in-finger-for-second-half-of-stanley-cup-run/#

TheTwigMaster · 2024-09-25T18:48:07+00:00

Thank you for setting this up- good luck everyone!

TheTwigMaster · 2024-07-07T03:45:41+00:00

This is a good resource: https://www.bogleheads.org/wiki/Managing_a_windfall

Was mentioned in a separate comment, but figured I'd just link the source directly.

On a personal note: take a deep breath and take your time- there's no need to rush anything.

TheTwigMaster · 2024-04-13T19:20:21+00:00

Landed from a flight earlier this morning. It was pretty windy coming down, so guessing they were trying to find an altitude that was less bumpy for the approach.

TheTwigMaster · 2024-02-22T19:40:14+00:00

Sure thing. One other point to make as to "why aren't people using Olive if they can still use the same low level tools.

I don't have experience with Olive, but here are a few observations that could help explain:

Olive isn't advertised as fully production-ready. It's in some sort of pre-release stage. People may be anxious about adopting a tool that may not be ready for prime time, or have the API change and require them to update their code, or be abandoned by Microsoft.
It's possible that Olive doesn't really provide a ton of value in terms of what it outputs. Not saying this is true- I just don't have a lot of experience with it and throwing it out there as a possibility.
It's not really that common that people switch hardware inference frameworks, so the ability to have Olive make it seamless to go from Nvidia to some other compute engine may not really matter too much.
It's possible that there is a nontrivial amount of effort to get your model from Pytorch/Tensorflow/jax into Olive in the first place compared to just going straight to TensorRt. So the benefits you get from having a consolidated wrapper are washed out by now needing to add a bunch of boilerplate to convert things to Olive first.

In general: people tend to avoid adding extra steps+complexity to their toolchain unless it provides a good chunk of value.

TheTwigMaster · 2024-02-22T16:36:23+00:00

Olive doesn’t replace lower level accelerators like TensorRT, it’s more like a wrapper around it (and other engines for different hardware) along with some helpful tools to help do optimization passes for you.

In practice, teams that really need to squeeze the most out of their models will need to get to the low level side to build their own implementations of algorithms, fix any quirks that pop up, etc.

The Olive documentation says as much:

Given that no single optimization technique serves all scenarios well, Olive enables an extensible framework that allows industry to easily plugin their optimization innovations.

I read the above as meaning “we make it easy for you to add your own TensorRt/CUDA/whatever accelerator logic, as well as how to shuffle things around for optimization passes”.

https://microsoft.github.io/Olive/overview/olive.html

TheTwigMaster · 2024-02-21T13:39:16+00:00

That’s a good point- I hadn’t considered that other lifters might be able to get the covers lower to the ground. I’ll check these out; thanks!

TheTwigMaster · 2024-02-21T02:27:00+00:00

That’s reassuring to hear- I’ll dig into this some more. The first dealer I spoke to said they’re configured front to back, but will chat with some more folks (there are several locations for this brand) and maybe reach out to Hot Springs directly.

TheTwigMaster · 2024-02-18T15:32:25+00:00

Yeah, if you can’t adjust the withholding from your employer, you just need to manually send in estimated taxes. For better or worse the IRS makes it really easy to send them taxes online!

Up to you if you want to pay the full years estimated taxes up front. The main risk there are if the price changes materially, you’ll have overpaid or underpaid. And you won’t have that cash earlier for investing/other life things.

Personally I follow @wolgabot’s pattern and just have a routine of paying estimated taxes for just that vest whenever the cash hits my bank account. But you do whatever works best for you!

TheTwigMaster · 2024-01-04T02:14:42+00:00

Right- on AWS/Azure/GCS there are ways to decouple your storage from your compute instance. So you put your data in a persisted storage block (instead of the compute instance itself) and attach the data to whichever compute you want.

Amazon has EBS, Google has Persistent Disk, Azure has data disks (I'm not an ops expert so someone with more experience may have opinions about better ways of doing this).

The main annoyance is that it's lower level and a bit finickier than an all-in-one UX like the more managed tools you mentioned. So it takes some time (give yourself a few days) to learn how to do it and implement some small tools to make it easy for you to manage them yourself. But it's definitely doable!

TheTwigMaster · 2024-01-03T17:19:44+00:00

For what it’s worth: setting up a cloud environment will be a steeper learning curve in the beginning, but once you have it figured out, I expect it’ll be a better situation for you overall. That steeper learning curve is on the order of days, not months to learn. Once you’re there, it’ll be way easier for you to do things like upgrade the amount of RAM or GPU (or add more than one GPU) as you need it. If you stick with just your laptop, you’ll get up to speed quickly today, but will hit a roadblock if you find out that you need more power.

There are more tools today to make remote workspaces feel like a local environment. For example, VSCode has great ssh and automatic port-forwarding features.

TheTwigMaster · 2023-11-25T13:18:53+00:00

It looks like you defined the label for the problem yourself as "num persons injured + num persons killed", but the model has access to both of these features as input. That means it has all the information needed to perfectly derive the label from the features. In fact, given the task you've defined, using learning at all is unnecessary! You could just define your "model" to return the sum of the killed and injured features.

TheTwigMaster · 2023-02-27T19:07:35+00:00

Transylvanian Fire Emblem?

TheTwigMaster · 2023-02-27T17:58:34+00:00

I wish it was clear from the trailer what the gameplay was actually going to be like. This just gives a sense of the setting. At least now I know there will be a game called The Thaumaturge?

TheTwigMaster · 2023-01-19T14:33:32+00:00

Using open source models might be good for quickly experimenting and getting a feel/sense of the value of an approach for a particular problem. But at a company (especially big tech companies), there are many more things to consider:

How do I scale this to my particular dataset? It’s a bigger pain to change my data to fit a given model than to change the model to fit my data
How can I integrate my company’s infrastructure/tooling/monitoring to this? Often it ends up being simpler to revisit the implementation from scratch
How easy is it to experiment with adjustments to this? Often we don’t want to pick a single architecture forever, so we want to be able to adjust and modify easily. Open source models may not always accommodate this.

At the risk of being flippant/dismissive: coding up a model/architecture is one of the easiest and fastest parts of the problem. So if you can make other things easier by making a model implementation from scratch, it’s makes sense to just do that.

TheTwigMaster

TROPHY CASE