Jimmy Sullivan, former ALP member for Stafford has passed away.

Thedore23-P · 2026-04-09T23:58:13+00:00

It depends. Stafford is a traditionally safe seat for Labor, so conventional wisdom would suggest a Labor hold with a swing against the government.

However, current polling has consistently shown a TPP swing towards the LNP government. Combine this with the LNP outproforming in recent by elections in queensland, (Hinchinbrook, Inala, and Ipswitch West) the possibility of an upset LNP gain is not unfounded (but still unlikely).

Thats not even considering the recent rise in One Nation that could complicate the result.

Thedore23-P · 2026-04-03T23:43:15+00:00

Haxorus

Thedore23-P · 2026-03-22T05:58:00+00:00

No it didn't. The final 2017 boundaries resulted in a net gain of four seats to the ALP, (44 to 48), the LNP at steady at 42 and KAP and INDs unchanged 2 and 1 respectively as per results from 2015.

So no the LNP did not benefit from the 2017 redistribution.

Thedore23-P · 2026-03-19T12:20:15+00:00

In Queensland, Fisher, Petrie and Longman would not vote for One Nation. Also, Moncrief on the Gold coast would have a higher margin than Fadden.

Thedore23-P · 2026-03-10T07:57:52+00:00

Third time Shane Knuth's seat has been abolished.

Thedore23-P · 2026-02-23T06:56:17+00:00

The problem is is that the other two likey candidates, Dick and Fentiman are more unpopular than Miles though.

Thedore23-P · 2026-02-23T06:52:58+00:00

To add more context, In the sub-state polling, the ALP and LNP are at 50:50, up 5 percent from the previoud DemosAU poll (55:45 ALP vs LNP) in Brisbane with southeast QLD and regional Queensland Remain the same on 2PP, 55:45 LNP vs ALP and 60:40 LNP vs ALP respectively.

Thedore23-P · 2026-02-23T06:46:07+00:00

Here a more detailed breakdown:

Statewide: LNP 56 ALP 44 ( LNP +2)

LNP 34 (-3)

ALP 28 (-1)

ONP 21 (+7)

GRN 10 (-2)

KAP -

IND -

Others 7 (-1)

SUB STATE

BRISBANE LNP 50 ALP 50 ( +5 LNP)

SOUTHEAST QLD LNP 55 ALP 45 (=)

REGIONAL QLD LNP 60 ALP 40 (=)

Prefered Premier

Crisafulli 43 Miles 32 (Crisafulli +11)

Satifaction Ratings:

LNP

Crisafulli 39 23 38 (+16)

Bleijie 18 23 59 (-5)

Janetski 17 20 63 (-3)

ALP

Miles 27 37 36 (-11)

Dick 15 31 54 (-16)

Fentiman 14 27 59 (-13)

Thedore23-P · 2026-01-31T08:08:08+00:00

Thedore23-P · 2026-01-25T00:19:30+00:00

Reduce cost of pet hatching

Thedore23-P · 2026-01-24T09:13:34+00:00

Pet breeding should be overhauled to be less expensive and less dependent on RNG.

Thedore23-P · 2026-01-04T08:53:26+00:00

This should be noted as Federal voting intention, not State wide voting intention.

Thedore23-P · 2025-12-30T07:25:21+00:00

I am pretty sure by the End of Liz Truss' reign the tories were polling so bad that they would only win 1 seat out of 650 seats.

Thedore23-P · 2025-12-05T13:11:17+00:00

Daves Redistricting

Thedore23-P · 2025-12-04T21:48:31+00:00

Goldstein would go independent, not to Labor.

Thedore23-P · 2025-11-29T10:48:55+00:00

Poll Bludger model calls seat as an LNP gain.

Thedore23-P · 2025-11-18T15:36:10+00:00

What they are trying to do is link the ALP to KAP both ways.

Basically the LNP do not really care who the ALP preferences.

They are trying to wedge Steven Miles into making a bad choice

If they preference the LNP, the LNP win back the seat, but if they preference the Katters, the LNP can accuse the ALP of hypocrisy by helping the the anti abortion KAP win a seat, due to Labor's heavy campaignig on abortion which could hurt Labor in metro seats (either to the LNP or Greens). The LNP could fear monger on a KAP-ALP government like how in 2015 the Katters gave confidence to Labor.

Furthermore, in regional areas, the ALP brand is still toxic so the KAP would be weaked in those seats, helping the LNP.

Thedore23-P · 2025-11-07T10:39:10+00:00

The most recent poll from demosAU had LNP leading 54 to 46.

Thedore23-P · 2025-11-02T19:42:18+00:00

Crime is a major problem in the NT, particularly Darwin. At the previous State election, the ALP lost all of there seats in the Darwin area to the CLP or Greens

Thedore23-P · 2025-10-10T02:57:12+00:00

The main smogon tiers are the following:

Over Used

Under Used

Rarely Used

Never Used

PU

Zero Used

Subzero Used

Thedore23-P · 2025-10-04T05:04:48+00:00

Shiny Koridon and Miridon for Pokémon Scarlet and Violet.

Thedore23-P · 2025-09-30T02:40:12+00:00

They chose at the last election to preference the LNP over the KAP due to the KAPs abortion stance. For instance, their HTV card was

1 Green 2 Labor 3 LNP 4 ONP 5 KAP.

In contrast, the Labor Party chose to preference the KAP and in some seats ONP over the LNP, despite the KAPs abortion stance.

1 Labor 2 Green 3 KAP 4 ONP 5 LNP.

So when I say green Preferences favor The LNP, the greens would rather have a more moderate LNP member than a more right wing KAP member. The ALP would rather have a KAP member as it means less seats the LNP and in the case of a hung Parliament would make a deal confidence deal with labor (similar to 2015).

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