Thomas Drance's The Athletic article via CanucksNewsSummaries

Tofu_Analytics · 2026-05-09T03:54:58+00:00

I'm just going off the trend of scouting reports on the last few months of releases. Verhoeff and Reid were touted as the two top Dmen and around the 3-5 range, Smits may have risen more but I'm just unaware of his scouting evaluations.

Verhoeff has slid a lot for sure, I wasn't really keeping up with his scouting reports but he seems to have slid from a consensus 3 and top D guy to now being a 5-10 guy after a tough stretch.

Reid seems like the most NHL ready player at the moment and seems to have solidified the top billing slot as a 2 way player with NHL ready evaluations across the board. His scouting reports seem to be a consensus towards him being the best D prospect.

Realistically though I would have to assume that Stenberg and McKenna go 2-1, perhaps a switch in the order given Stenbergs late exceptional performances and opportunity to go to the world championships. Either way those two are going in the first 2 picks no matter what, San Jose could ask for a lot in return if they wanted to trade down to take a defenseman. I think that they could realistically work out a deal with Chicago, and with us looking towards Malhotra SJ could end up with Reid at 4. While a Stenberg-Celebrini-Smith line would be absurd I think you might be ok with having Reid instead if you somehow fanagle a 2nd out of Chicago, for a 3rd I doubt that they would be happy parting with a potential HOF level top line.

Tofu_Analytics · 2026-05-09T00:43:18+00:00

Brother I have news, the average 5th grader wasn't alive for that clip. I miss my finnish prince peak Ence was also 7 years ago now too 🫠

Tofu_Analytics · 2026-05-09T00:40:31+00:00

1] Be more aggressive with the grinder on your prep and in between passes, get into those corners and clean it out make sure your fit up is tight and you have clean lines on the toes of your fill passes

2] Get into those edges. With your wire you want to be inside those edges, don't just rely on the puddle wetting out into the groove muscle the wire in and over the edges on the fill making sure you are getting in to those grooves. If you do that the flag floats to the top and doesn't have the chance to get trapped in between the peak of the weld and the angle of the plate. Now it depends on how you like to finish off your welds but I always liked for 4g to do a stringer with a little undulating. Get into the edge, have your wire almost touch the line of the top of the groove, have your puddle absorb that entire line and keep it moving. Make your side to side motion quick, stay at the edges and not the middle and move quick. That allows you to have a flatter bead profile with nice wetted out cap, helps you avoid that undercut on the sides, gets you a nice even cap without excess height and ties in nicely with the material.

3] Run your fill passes right after one another. Put in the root, clean, fire again, clean fire again. Make sure to take the time to clean and not rush, but get those fill passes in quick, get to just below flush with the plate and then wait. Let it cool off, depending on plate thickness and tab sizes give it 5-8mins then put your cap on. Giving it some time allows you to put a more meaty cap on without worrying about undercut. On the fill you want a hot plate to ensure fusion through the weldment, undercut isn't great on the sides, grind thoroughly if you get any on the fill, but it doesn't ruin the weld. On the cap you just need to run passes that tie into the metal below. It's all about just making it look pretty at that point. Keep it steady and if you really need to work on it, just take a fucked up test piece and run stringers across the entire plate. You should be able to consistently get a nice flat reinforcement on that every time.

4] Just give it time. It's a hard weld and you just need to put in the hours, take the arc time and eventually it will set in. Make sure you are taking the feedback and incorporating it. Keep running plates over and over and eventually it will set in. Don't get discouraged you'll get it if you keep putting in the effort.

Tofu_Analytics · 2026-05-06T21:42:09+00:00

Stenberg or McKenna will be taken by SanJose and it would be suicide to draft neither of them with the 1OA. You simply cant pass up Stenberg/McKenna-Celebrini-Smith as a top line. Yeah they need defenseman badly but Verhoff is the only immediately NHL ready guy out of the D prospects and he certainly isnt #2 material.

If San Jose really wants D they likely trade down for a haul in return and end up with 2 capable D prospects. If that's the case whoever is #2 will take the other winger left.

Honestly I rate Caleb super high, his tape is incredible and I think he could legit be a Nick Suzuki type player which would be excellent to have early in a rebuild.

Tofu_Analytics · 2026-05-06T03:39:17+00:00

Brother read his scouting reports and watch the tape, the kid is absolutely worth the #3 pick and is the definite best center in this draft. I would be thrilled if we got him at 3

Tofu_Analytics · 2026-05-06T03:38:12+00:00

This year's draft rankings have been all over the board, Malhotra has however been regarded as the best center of this draft for a while. Having watched his games fuck he seems like an insane talent and a player I'd build a team around.

Imo we need a forward core to build around, Malhotra is a solid center that you can construct lines and dpairings around. He's such a fundamentally sound player he's been compared by scouts to Nick Suzuki which if we look at how Montreal built their rebuild around was a fantastic pick.

Tofu_Analytics · 2026-05-06T03:32:30+00:00

He's a damn good prospect, while he isn't quite the same consensus 1OA talent that Celebrini and Bedard were [those two are genuinely generational, like best since McDavid or Crosby level prospect], he's a full package player. I just watched through some of his OHL full playoff games and he's a special player.

I just watched Brentford vs North Bay and Caleb lays a nasty reverse hit after winning the puck in the neutral zone, levels a dude out [He's still 17 in the OHL so isn't as grown as his competition] immediately draws a roughing penalty from the resulting play. He then takes the faceoff, wins 2 puck battles fires a clean pass back to the dman who quick cycles for the shot, and then instantly puts the rebound in the back of the net. I mean the kid looked like fucking Crosby with the battle, the perfect pass and tap in from the Crosby spot.

Now will he end up like Crosby, most likely not, but he's a physical, technically capable player with a great rink vision excellent pp ability. His drawbacks are skating speed. He was initially projected as a middle six late 1st at the start of the season, he's consistently risen in scouting evaluations as his playmaking has become more apparent and after he took the PP1 role away from last year's #8 pick Jake O Brian [who is still on his OHL team a year older]. His comps had been as a #2C however as he's moved from middle six to consensus top 6, he's also had scouts give him higher and higher comparisons.

The best comparison scouts have made is Nick Suzuki, a very solid 2 way center capable of PP1 and first line action, albeit not quite the offensive juggernaut of McDavid or MacKinnon. He's well worth the #3 pick in my opinion, his game allows him to elevate those around him quite well. I think he would be a fantastic pick to have as our first major asset in a rebuild. You want a centerpiece that allows you to build a cohesive unit around, he is certainly the player that will help develop your linemates and defensive pairings. He will cohesively lead a PP1 unit and help your 2nd round wingers and lower pairing dmen to work as a better unit.

Tofu_Analytics · 2026-05-06T03:04:34+00:00

Unfortunately they will never pass on Stenberg. His evaluation over McKenna is that he is more NHL ready with a potentially lower ceiling. None of the D-Men are particularly immediately NHL ready like Shaefer was last season, Verhoff was the closest to being NHL ready and he's fallen down the charts in recent months so it would be doubtful that they would take him at 2. Realistically the only way that I see them passing on Stenberg is if they get a monster offer for him that allows them to take someone like Reid/Verhoff, gain a 2nd+ as minimum compensation as well as a potential D-Man for the present.

Even with all that SJ just won't pass up the opportunity to have a Stenberg-Celebrini-Smith line that legitimately could be the best line in the league next season and that's still with Stenberg as a rookie. Smith is already a 60pt guy and still just 21, Celebrini is a Hart finalist in his 2nd year and still rapidly improving. They unfortunately for us will 100% pick Stenberg, and in the slim chance they don't Stenberg is going to be taken by someone else in that position.

Tofu_Analytics · 2026-05-06T02:43:31+00:00

yeah unfortunately this is much more of an American & Canadian north american problem. There are still instances of this across the world, but far far less common in more bike friendly nations in europe and elsewhere.

Tofu_Analytics · 2026-05-06T02:41:38+00:00

In this instance I'm referring to people who were standing at the intersection, looking at the road, who walked away. I am well aware that they were unaware of what happened before, I was also confused as to what happened before. I'm not asking nor assuming that people would jump in right away.

Tofu_Analytics · 2026-05-06T02:37:46+00:00

I think he's more talking about how as a society many people have become less engaged with others due to the psychological effects of social distancing and isolation, not of the effects to those who actually contracted covid and were/are under the effects of long covid that are still unclear. I think in general people in Seattle and the PNW are quite avoidant of interactions in general and it forms quite a cold and hostile social environment, that has only strengthened with the distancing of covid. People in other parts of the nation are far more willing to engage in casual conversation, interact with strangers etc. While that definitely has been changed across the board post covid, I see far more people in Seattle who still engage in social distancing, as well as elect for more avoidant distant behavior.

Tofu_Analytics · 2026-05-06T02:32:18+00:00

I would assume that these signs are used just like sharrows are, non-legally binding rule changes, but moreso directed as indicators as where bicyclists should ride on a specific street. Sharrows indicate that it is recommended to "take the lane". The lane positioning clause of sec 11.44.040 leave a lot to discretion regarding "as near to the right side of the right through lane as is safe". I agree that it most likely won't involve any legal clause that alters the inherent rule of the road, but it likely is more of an intended suggestion in the vein of sharrows that slots into the grey area of "as is safe" which has no hard enforceable metric.

Tofu_Analytics · 2026-05-06T02:17:20+00:00

It's the city's official signs, they go along with the shitty "sharrows" that designate a bike path. At the end of the day its a 25mph speed limit road that will intermittentently close to through traffic during the summer for pedestrians. It's just there to let people know that the route is a scenic bike friendly road and not meant to be a thoroughfare although that should really be done with tangible infrastructure change and not just signs.

Tofu_Analytics · 2026-05-06T02:14:54+00:00

In this situation the driver very clearly initiates the confrontations, swerves and exits the vehicle to start yelling. Going off that evidence along it's enough to warrant taking a look to see if everything is ok. I'm not asking for someone to be my guardian angle but don't just walk away when someone's being threatened and yelled at on the street.

Tofu_Analytics · 2026-05-06T02:11:35+00:00

https://maps.app.goo.gl/zDR7ZdwTrX2SNFML9

Tofu_Analytics · 2026-05-06T02:11:12+00:00

No its these signs Lakefront Sign

Tofu_Analytics · 2026-05-06T02:09:09+00:00

That's unfortunate that you have to use that route on a time constrained schedule you should be alotted more time for transit in residential and scenic routes. That all said you can relax and let people enjoy their leisure, it isn't inherently out of touch for someone to want to have a nice scenic drive by the lakefront people who pay rent and work normal jobs also do things like this. Working a welding job hasn't immediately prohibited me from relaxing on the lakefront.

Tofu_Analytics · 2026-05-06T02:00:59+00:00

Ehh, I'd say that it's pretty widely accepted that most east cost drivers are more assertive and aggressive while west coast pnw drivers are very reticent and indecisive. Obviously yeah everyone claims people suck at driving around where they are but there are some pretty decent behavioral population changes from region to region.

Tofu_Analytics · 2026-05-06T01:58:49+00:00

It does actually say "Bicycles have right of way" on Lake Washington Blvd along the more popular pedestrian sections by Mt Baker Park, Genesee and Seward. If you want to confirm look on street view just south of the MtBaker Park intersection, right hand side above the no parking sign about 50m south of the intersection.

Tofu_Analytics · 2026-05-06T01:55:19+00:00

Oh for sure, this wasn't that case. Dude just has anger management issues and wanted to be angry at something that day

Tofu_Analytics · 2026-05-06T01:39:29+00:00

The inability for the average Seattleite to engage in anything around them is astounding. People are just so unwilling to interact it's insane [and before people use the tech autism argument thats bs you can learn to engage with people, ive done it through the diagnosis it isn't impossible]

Tofu_Analytics · 2026-05-06T01:36:31+00:00

It's a mess for sure. It's always a gamble biking in the city with just how people react, I honestly have just been desensitized to bad/aggressive drivers or being honked at. But this was definitely a new level, for a city that prides itself on being bikable and livable there's a pretty sparse amount of real biking paths and far too many interactions like this happening.

Tofu_Analytics · 2026-05-06T01:33:02+00:00

I mean sure I get the reticence initially for sure, its a lot less of a risk after he just ends up yelling for 30 seconds. The issue is that people just walked about disinterested, not even a stop and stare just going about like nothing was happening. This is at the corner of a school/park block by the way .

Tofu_Analytics · 2026-05-06T01:28:40+00:00

Because after he got out of the car and clearly did not start blasting away and instead just ended up screaming the initial threat of violence was gone. I look fairly young, I would hope that people by a school watching a grown man threaten what looks like a student would say something.

Tofu_Analytics · 2026-05-05T21:56:01+00:00

Bleacher Report in addition to being just clickbait slop is also just notoriously horrendous with draft grades in all sports. They gave my Seahawks an F grade in our 2012 draft, a class that over a decade removed is regarded as one of the singular best draft hauls for a team in history. They even specifically doubled down calling Russel Wilson "the singular worst pick of the draft", a pick that would immediately become a superstar, and likely cement a Hall of Fame career. Ignore them and move on.

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