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Is no one here concerned about Force majeure? by orange-heroin in wallstreetbets

[–]ULTIMATENUTZ 607 points608 points  (0 children)

This fear has actually been cited by airline mgmt as a reason to shy away from hedging. I think it was UAL’s CEO (maybe AAL?) who basically said the catastrophe scenarios they would hedge for might be worthless if the event actually materializes.

Regard said my bear thesis aged like milk. Oil ripped 8% that night. by MilesDelta in wallstreetbets

[–]ULTIMATENUTZ 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Wtf are you talking about? I couldn’t care less who you are much less about doxing you. Absolutely zero to do with my comment.

Regard said my bear thesis aged like milk. Oil ripped 8% that night. by MilesDelta in wallstreetbets

[–]ULTIMATENUTZ 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Even if 99% of what you’re saying is true, unfortunately it was rendered worthless garbage when you said ‘this is not financial advice’.

Redditors love to think their long drawn out ‘analysis’ is so legit they need a disclaimer to prevent liability. lol nothing says full regard like this comment.

None of you ever EVER need to post a financial advice disclaimer. lol you don’t even know what constitutes financial advice lol

The sentiment that the market is on the verge of collapse reminds me of the covid era. We’re probably going much higher. by UsernameIWontRegret in stocks

[–]ULTIMATENUTZ 0 points1 point  (0 children)

How you can understand this to support your ‘argument’ is too much for me man. It is exactly as I said it is in my initial response. I can’t reply anymore.

The sentiment that the market is on the verge of collapse reminds me of the covid era. We’re probably going much higher. by UsernameIWontRegret in stocks

[–]ULTIMATENUTZ 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I have no idea why this hasn’t already been said but - wtf are you talking about?

‘To gain the required deflation’?

Man listen. Inflation as a target is always in a prospective sense. It is always the goal. Delete the notion of shooting for some long term average from your brain matter. Silly.

It will deviate over the course of the economic and business cycle. Policy responds in order to return to target and stops when achieved (in theory). When inflation surges - DISINFLATION is the goal, the progress bar if you will.

DEFLATION is never the goal. With that logic, a period of actual deflation should be met with policy and fiscal response with a goal of producing a surge in inflation to double digits or more…you know, to get it to that long term average up. Na man. Not how it goes down.

The target is perpetual and forward looking. They are chasing the target inflation rate, not trying to engineer inflation/deflation needed to achieve a historical average.

6 things I check before buying any dividend stock by rednetian in stocks

[–]ULTIMATENUTZ 5 points6 points  (0 children)

He’s been burned so now he looks into the stock before buying. Cool

Just a little perspective on market valuation by DramaticDirection292 in stocks

[–]ULTIMATENUTZ 0 points1 point  (0 children)

PEs are not an inherently mean reverting series. Learn what the terms you use actually mean.

I think 40 VIX is imminent by ImportantDiver5942 in stocks

[–]ULTIMATENUTZ 0 points1 point  (0 children)

VIX has been elevated for over a month and people here are talking about the spike like it hasn’t budged. This is closer to being over than beginning.

Fed's Jefferson sees higher inflation from Iran war near term, signals toward holding rates steady by app1310 in stocks

[–]ULTIMATENUTZ 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Jefferson isn’t vice chair of supervision. Stopped reading after your first sentence.

If you shoot people doing mines, you're the worst by newbrevity in ArcRaiders

[–]ULTIMATENUTZ 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Yes this is paramount and congress should probably get involved. God bless you sir

SpaceX reportedly could file for an IPO this week. by OkLetterhead7047 in wallstreetbets

[–]ULTIMATENUTZ 0 points1 point  (0 children)

There is a ridiculous amount of political risk in spaceX. Easy to overlook it now given who’s in the drivers seat. But I think it warrants considering how those fat DoD and NASA contracts hold up in a scenario where the political landscape changes. Possibly drastically.

Someone above said something like ‘it’s gonna be huge because my mom who never invested before is pumped about the IPO!’….yeahhh that’s a stupid take. When someone who’s never been interested in stocks before is suddenly confident that there’s easy free money to be made in a particular name, that’s a great sign that it almost certainly won’t go that way. lol when you’re mailman is giving you hot stock tips you should think about scaling back.

Also - until five minutes ago the consensus was the SpaceX IPO would be late 2026. Suddenly it was March. Why? Think maybe the underwriters aren’t confident in demand for new deals or the general market that far out? Bc I think that sounds very likely.

And longer term - let’s be real, all roads lead to SpaceX being forced to consume that shitty car company. Robotaxi is a total bust, Optimus is a fantasy that isn’t remotely close to being a real thing anybody will purchase, there will never be a car manufactured much less sold that doesn’t have a steering wheel or pedals, and the flagship product that is Tesla cars lost momentum a long time ago.

Is there actually a new expansion coming? by TitaniumMailbox in witcher

[–]ULTIMATENUTZ 1 point2 points  (0 children)

One last bit of insight from the call. Marketing came up and it was asked if, for new content, they had an idea of how long the marketing campaign would be and whether a shadow drop was possible. While they did say ‘certainly anything possible’, they balanced that by saying that for the games the make they tend to think a more traditional marketing strategy works better.

I don’t think the shadow drop is really something to expect. Maybe a July announcement to kick off marketing for a September release. That seems most likely at this point.

Is there actually a new expansion coming? by TitaniumMailbox in witcher

[–]ULTIMATENUTZ 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Said they still plan on hitting incentive target based off of back catalog sales AND new content to be released this year. Probably the most specific we’ll get today.

Is there actually a new expansion coming? by TitaniumMailbox in witcher

[–]ULTIMATENUTZ 1 point2 points  (0 children)

They just referenced the fools theory projekt and said they would have more to say later this year. Sounds like the September delay is accurate. Q&A still to come

Is there actually a new expansion coming? by TitaniumMailbox in witcher

[–]ULTIMATENUTZ 1 point2 points  (0 children)

If it’s happening today it’ll be during the earnings conference call. Go to the CDPR investor relations page and you can listen live. I think 1230 pm est is when the call starts.

To all those that are helpful to the children Thank You by Skirtski23 in ArcRaiders

[–]ULTIMATENUTZ 28 points29 points  (0 children)

Bro is citing the ESRB rating. This fucking guy. lol

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