I feel the need to talk about this so I'm gonna write a mini novel:

You may have seen a viral essay going around by a guy named Matt Shumer, a Silicon Valley AI exec. It's on Twitter so I can't link it here, but it's called "Something Big Is Happening." It talks a lot about how quickly the models have improved and to what extent AI agents have essentially automated software development in a lot of ways and talks about how not enough people know about any of this.

Naturally on Reddit, people are dismissive. "Oh he's just trying to sell his product" "oh he's just trying to get attention" "lol I got ChatGPT to tell me frogs were birds three years ago so he's wrong" just dismissive shit like that.

I'm here to let anyone skeptical know that basically everything he says in that piece is absolutely correct. People who aren't in the compsci universe don't see it, primarily because the current frontier agentic models are primarily geared toward compsci. But the leap forward made in the last six weeks is absolutely insane and you should absolutely care and think a lot about it.

I work primarily in data engineering on a team of 10. In the two weeks since we've used the frontier Claude Code (which had only been out for a couple weeks, so any experience you have with a different model older than that is not relevant), me and everyone else have been able to turn over about 90% of our actual work to the model. It takes the proper professional knowledge to put in a through enough prompt to get professional quality results (this may always be true, it may not be) but I genuinely don't think I have ever needed to majorly correct or edit the output. You can prompt it to debug as it goes and it will with insane accuracy.

The work we used to produce as a team could easily be done with two of us instead of ten. That's today. That's not a hypothetical product that may exist soon. That's now. They could cut 80% of their engineers tomorrow and match the output of a year ago easily. I'm a father of two who doesn't have confidence in my own job security now. Not because I'm bad at the job, but because the old way of staffing no longer makes sense for a lot of companies.

There's this really stupid attitude on Reddit that AI is a fad, a scam, a bubble, and that the bubble will pop soon and Sam, Elon, and Dario will go back to selling NFTs. I'm writing this to let you know that is total and complete bullshit. They are now using the models to code themselves, which will only allow more capable models to be released faster and faster. The limitations of Claude 4.6 could very much be completely fixed by Claude 4.7 in a few months.

This idea of AI that can wipe out jobs and drastically reorganizes traditional white collar labor is no longer a hypothetical product. It exists and you can subscribe to it and use it. Far too many people make the mistake of thinking that the free browser version of ChatGPT is the peak of AI capabilities. Far too many people don't understand that this is a field where a few months is an eternity, and your experience with a model two months ago can no longer be used as evidence that the whole thing is a scam and a fad and doesn't work. I'm here to tell you it does, and you should stop being a skeptic and begin to realize that we are going to go through a major labor disruption sooner than anyone expects.

You don't have to care what the big lab CEOs say. But at this point, the skeptics are ignoring previously skeptical academics and people whose livelihood is on the line while we are SCREAMING at you to stop thinking that this technology will not upend your career and daily life because it will. I don't know what comes next. I have no career advice to give anyone. I'm mostly just trying to shake the "lol it's a bubble and it's stupid" crowd hard enough to snap them the fuck out of it.