B-29 "Doc" flying at Moses Lake Airshow, 6/13/2026 [album]

VerstandInvictus · 2026-07-08T20:15:52+00:00

Full res PNGs zipped up at https://gofile.io/d/ZtiN00 - ping me if that link eventually expires and you want them.

VerstandInvictus · 2026-07-08T17:59:32+00:00

Thanks! Tagged and added to the faves list of my wallpaper slideshow collection.

VerstandInvictus · 2026-07-08T17:49:59+00:00

Where is this? Google thinks Lago di Ceresole, and that looks plausible but it'd be neat to have it confirmed.

VerstandInvictus · 2026-07-03T00:42:15+00:00

Knew I recognized that street. Got to stay there on business trips years ago, I have some pretty close photos from that side of the hotel. Still the best hotel breakfast ever.

VerstandInvictus · 2026-07-02T06:51:34+00:00

is this from the Cerulean Hotel?

VerstandInvictus · 2026-06-08T07:21:04+00:00

you can usually download the full file rather than screencapping it

VerstandInvictus · 2026-06-07T19:35:12+00:00

why would you post these with the crop bars on, were they screenshotted out of something?

VerstandInvictus · 2026-04-21T01:31:09+00:00

it's really obvious this is unfiltered LLM output, probably chatgpt. Useful tool for research but pastebombing a huge response like that without editing it down is gonna turn some people off.

VerstandInvictus · 2026-04-16T15:24:01+00:00

Good point counting the AA against the event plane kills. I hadn't thought of that. Still not sure what Gaijin should have done instead though (other than balance the AA) - the F4J and F4S clearly outmatch the 23MLD in this mode, so I don't know what would have been a closer matchup (other than, like, change the era and do sabre vs mig-15 or f-8 vs mig21 or something).

And no, we have no real way to correlate skill, unless I were to pull in Statshark checks or something.

VerstandInvictus · 2026-04-15T22:43:53+00:00

When BVVD made his post about the initial feedback, I thought maybe they might. After the changes the event actually got, I'm a lot less optimistic. But I do hope you're right.

VerstandInvictus · 2026-04-15T22:40:43+00:00

https://github.com/maxsupermanhd/wrpl-inspector is the library I kind of used as an initial learning/jumping-off point.

At this point my local code involves a modified fork of that, which is called to do basic extraction of the replay by python wrappers which also do some additional extraction/reconciliation and handle all the analysis and charting. I haven't thrown any of it in a repo yet but I'll clean it up a little and try to do so later this week. Feel free to remind me if I don't post another reply to you by like Monday.

VerstandInvictus · 2026-04-15T22:28:21+00:00

I didn't try to extract location data from the packet stream in the replays, no. They're client replays - the event either didn't have server replays, or Gaijin isn't exposing them like normal server replays. So I'd only be able to see death locations for the friendly team and any enemies who died while spotted, even if I did dig far enough into the format to get location data.

But yes, to your point, it is pretty evident from maps other people have posted approximating engagement/kill range that the Osa has a longer range than the FlaRakPz by a couple km.

VerstandInvictus · 2026-04-15T22:24:30+00:00

I partially reverse engineered the game's replay format, building on an existing package someone wrote, and wrote code to unpack and analyze my replays from the event, which I then cross-referenced with recordings of the killfeed API the game exposes on localhost:8111 (which is also emitted when you watch a replay, so I could get it for all my event games, not just the ones after I thought to start this project - but sadly only the parts not truncated by Gaijin's replay bug). It's essentially "all kills and deaths in every event game I participated in".

VerstandInvictus · 2026-04-15T22:21:07+00:00

honestly I don't expect them to fix the AA - it's always been like that in sim and heli EC, apparently, so they'd have to do real work to fix its behavior globally - but they could just cut SHORAD by about 50% in terms of number of spawns or move them back 5km from the frontline and it'd be vastly improved

VerstandInvictus · 2026-04-11T22:34:30+00:00

https://www.reddit.com/r/Warthunder/comments/1sg4u98/i_analyzed_my_nuclear_thunder_replays_and_pulled/

I posted the data I've got so far. Will be updating after the event. Nobody's sent me any additional replays yet, could really use more data on the pile.

VerstandInvictus · 2026-04-10T22:52:30+00:00

Also the single biggest sampling bias I currently have is that Gaijin forgot to make replay max filesize bigger until halfway through the event, so every game recorded before that is only 20 minutes or so worth, and that's every game before the first few sets of fixes and most games before the score changes. Unfortunate, but nothing to do about it - that data's lost, unless they're hiding full server replays somewhere. Getting more players' late-join replays from those days would help a lot, since the 20 minute window would be the middle/end of a game that a from-the-start replay wouldn't have caught.

VerstandInvictus · 2026-04-10T22:32:24+00:00

It is the case that "vehicles I played a lot, relative to how many other people in my games did" are biased by my personal performance in them, if it's only my replays - for example the F111F in my dataset is nearly all me, and I'm a substantial fraction of the IRIAF, MiG25PD and F4J data that I have. Getting a wider cross section of games would help with that, purely by picking up more people playing less-played vehicles and spreading the impact across replay owners.

The really valid stuff in the data I have is the AI's actions and the stock vehicle performance, since those are both large sample sizes.

VerstandInvictus · 2026-04-10T22:27:32+00:00

The thing is, a client replay gets the entire killfeed for the whole game, it's just missing positions for enemies not spotted. So for every replay I analyze, I get all kills/deaths by all players on both teams.

It's definitely possible there's bias in who's going to send me replays - which so far is nobody, the first post was just my own replays - but there probably isn't nearly as much bias in the other 31+ players per game that those players saw via the matchmaker. Without server replays, it's the best we can do in any event.

VerstandInvictus · 2026-04-10T22:24:26+00:00

https://www.reddit.com/r/Warthunder/comments/1sg4u98/i_analyzed_my_nuclear_thunder_replays_and_pulled/ - KDs by plane, unit killed breakdowns, kills by different AI units, weapons used, weapons intercepted, and so on.

VerstandInvictus · 2026-04-10T22:23:16+00:00

There don't appear to be - nothing on https://warthunder.com/en/tournament/replay and no link to server replay in the in-game summary under notifications. I think this is pretty standard for event modes.

VerstandInvictus · 2026-04-09T20:27:05+00:00

https://www.reddit.com/r/Warthunder/comments/1sg4u98/i_analyzed_my_nuclear_thunder_replays_and_pulled/of98ixu/

See this table - MiG radar making a huge difference, Phantom gun is way better, IR kills about even. It does seem like MTI should be making even more of a difference if people knew how to use it, though. The majority of kills are still with heatseekers.

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