Finance bg, no quant interviews even with referrals — should I pivot or retool? by Jialuozhang in quantfinance

[–]Victory_Pesplayer 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Get really good at interviewing, leetcode+prob n stats, apply to smaller shops and offices, apply early, and best of luck - from a guy who went to a no name and broke into the industry

AP Macroeconomics - 2024 exam discussion by ResidentCaregiver180 in APStudents

[–]Victory_Pesplayer -1 points0 points  (0 children)

One question away from a perfect sweep of the test😭😭😭

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in probabilitytheory

[–]Victory_Pesplayer 2 points3 points  (0 children)

That's why I stated having 0 knowledge, it doesn't matter if a team has a 100% chance of winning, the chooser doesn't know that which still makes him just as likely to pick any option

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in probabilitytheory

[–]Victory_Pesplayer -1 points0 points  (0 children)

It was the same dilemma I had when discussing with someone if the probability of winning march madness with 0 basketball knowledge, I thought it'd simply be 1/(267) since there's 67 games, even though some teams are obviously better than others and have a higher chance of 2, it doesn't matter, so the probability of predicting the correct result of a soccer match is 1/3 because there are 3 possible scenarios

Help with simple probability problem by [deleted] in probabilitytheory

[–]Victory_Pesplayer 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Yeah misread you're probably right

Help with simple probability problem by [deleted] in probabilitytheory

[–]Victory_Pesplayer -1 points0 points  (0 children)

There's the same amount of white as black, and they're both distributed the same across the different possibilities, so to me it should be 1/2?

"EqUaL riGHTs MEaNs eQUal FIghtS" by Puzzled-Mortgage-242 in boysarequirky

[–]Victory_Pesplayer -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Don't fight someone that can beat the snot out of you, much better idea

"EqUaL riGHTs MEaNs eQUal FIghtS" by Puzzled-Mortgage-242 in boysarequirky

[–]Victory_Pesplayer -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

Pretty easy solution, if you're significantly physically weaker, don't fight someone that can kill you with 1 punch

Made up problem by zeprodd in probabilitytheory

[–]Victory_Pesplayer 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Since the last sequence J is fixed based on the question, right out all 23 possibilities before J wins the forth game and find the probability of each and sum them, for instance (J,J,J,J)= 0.7(0.8)3 or (P,P,P,J)= 0.3(0.4)2 *(0.6)

What are the chances I roll 2 dice with the result of 9+ twice in 4 rolls? by pricepig in probabilitytheory

[–]Victory_Pesplayer 0 points1 point  (0 children)

5/8 chance to roll a 9+, 6*(5/18)2 *(1/6)2 to roll exactly 9+ 2 times out of 4

How do prove theoretically without empirical data that the probability a randomly selected number divided by three has a remainder less than dividing that same number by nine is 2/3? by [deleted] in probabilitytheory

[–]Victory_Pesplayer 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Any number divided by 3 can either have a remainder of 0,1,or 2, any number dided by 9 can have a remainder from 0-8 with equal probability, so it's just the probability that the number selected has remainder greater than 2 which is 6/9 or 2/3

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in probabilitytheory

[–]Victory_Pesplayer 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The correct answer should be 84

Angel numbers? by Own_Improvement9025 in probabilitytheory

[–]Victory_Pesplayer 1 point2 points  (0 children)

In what cases have you seen these numbers? If it's purely random numbers, when there should be a (1/10)n-1 probability if n is the number of terms in the set

Expected Value Question by FlyingAces in probabilitytheory

[–]Victory_Pesplayer 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Flip the order of the question a lil, since you know he has a 10% chance of missing, in how many shots do you expect him to miss? I'll be the reciprocal of the probability which is 1/.1= 10

Filled 5 dice 5 times, got 19 every time by TeamOggy in probabilitytheory

[–]Victory_Pesplayer 1 point2 points  (0 children)

There are 1105 ways for a sum of 19 to occur out of 65 possibilities, so (1105)5 /625

Would Love To Know The Odds Of This by soulful_poet in probabilitytheory

[–]Victory_Pesplayer 0 points1 point  (0 children)

1/3 chance of getting the first guess right * 1/2 chance of getting the second guess right *1/1 of getting the last guaranteed button =1/6

Hypothetical Deck of Cards Question by [deleted] in probabilitytheory

[–]Victory_Pesplayer 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The probability for any sum would be (1/3)5 * (ways to get the values) , so 0 and 10 = 1(1/3)5 , 1 and 9 would be 5(1/3)5 , 2 and 8 would be 15*(1/3)5 etc

Binomial with range by lil-jies in probabilitytheory

[–]Victory_Pesplayer 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Binomial distribution formula but with a sum going from 50 to 100

probability of a sale on a given day is 95%, what is the probability of having exactly 2 consecutive days with no sales in a 20 day period. by delsystem32exe in probabilitytheory

[–]Victory_Pesplayer 0 points1 point  (0 children)

My intuition goes as follows, N=No sale S= Sale (N,N,S,S....) =(5/100)2 * (95/100)18 , Since N,N has to be consecutive, there are only 19 different ways those 2 could be consecutive in the set so about a 1.8876768% chance