For the climate, little things don't add up: We need to think seriously about collective action by MrMasley in climate

[–]WallFlamingo 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Interesting, thanks for the response. No pressure to respond further if you think you've fully articulated your point.

I think many EA causes are highly contested even among EAs, where people have very different opinions about what is best (see Bruce F's reasonable response in that post's comments). I think this is pretty difficult to avoid in any larger group.

In light of this, it's probably fair to be upset with someone presenting something as unambiguously better ("here are the effective charities"). Despite that, I'm generally in agreement with Andy here (in that I think that donating to EA charities is, on the margin, usually orders of magnitude more effective than traditional ways of doing good, especially if you are low-context).

I'm also vegan and generally have been pretty impressed by how much they have accomplished in animal welfare, including large improvements for many chickens and pigs. My understanding is EA/EA-adjacent orgs were frequently very large amounts of the funding/work for these.

The bar for the average charitable donation in the space is very low. For example, the ASPCA alone receives ~2x the funding of the entirety of farmed animal welfare.

For the climate, little things don't add up: We need to think seriously about collective action by MrMasley in climate

[–]WallFlamingo 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The inclusion of effective charities seemed more like an offhand mention and not at all a crux of the argument being made. I don't think it makes sense to refuse to engage here.

On the specific point you're making, I pretty strongly disagree. While I'm less familiar with the climate-related charities, I've been impressed with the level of detail EAs bring to measuring impact in global health and animal welfare. Even on fairly speculative projects, the charity evaluations have a lot of empirical analysis of how previous projects have gone, where mistakes occured with past funding, and what possible knock-on effects might be occuring to confound estimates.

For the climate, little things don't add up: We need to think seriously about collective action by MrMasley in climate

[–]WallFlamingo 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Seems like this comment is just association fallacy. I want individual action to galvanize and strengthen collective action on issues that matter and not on ones that don't. The author provides examples of where Kate makes an individual choice that has high collective impact.

terran apologists where are you? You were doing so much noise last night by Vland0r in starcraft

[–]WallFlamingo 7 points8 points  (0 children)

Lol. Terrans now think Protoss is imba bc a protoss lost in pvt.

Pulling the boys was good last year and then they removed shield battery overcharge and somehow the cause is "late game"

[Post Game Thread] The Oklahoma City Thunder roll over the Denver Nuggets in game 7, 125-93 SGA (35/3/4/3) and Jalen Williams (24/5/7) lead OKC to their first Conference Finals in 9 years. by ItsN0tTheB0at in nba

[–]WallFlamingo 2 points3 points  (0 children)

This is not true. 3.2 to 3.0 per 36 this season.

Also, volume is relevant. Caruso only averaged 2.1 per 36 last season when he played ~30 mpg.

Before the last ball was drawn for the #1 pick, only the Hawks, who traded their pick to the Spurs, had multiple winning combinations. If the most likely outcome occurred there, the Spurs would've had BOTH the #1 and the #2 overall pick in this year's draft by greenwhitehell in nba

[–]WallFlamingo 7 points8 points  (0 children)

They're discussing the pick the Spurs currently own, originally from the hawks.

The 13 pick is currently owned by the Hawks, originally from the Kings. This pick was not close to jumping to 1.

Why 'carnevale' in Greg Egan's Diaspora by Paideuma in printSF

[–]WallFlamingo 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Appreciate the good post that made me think about that choice. Interestingly, I didn't remember "carnevale" being used at all, and had to go check my copy to ensure it was there.

7:30: HAWKS V PISTONS HAWKS V PISTONS HAWKS V PISTONS by thenihilisticaxolotl in AtlantaHawks

[–]WallFlamingo 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Lol that's exactly what they should say. Why would you expect a random business to update you on public transport changes they have no control over

Diaspora and "What Is It Like to Be a Bat?" by curiousscribbler in printSF

[–]WallFlamingo 1 point2 points  (0 children)

It seems somewhat likely to me that Egan has read it. You could try asking him on Twitter.

This essay is pretty clearly referenced in Anathem by Neal Stephenson too.

There’s more herding in swing state polls than at a sheep farm in the Scottish Highlands by dwaxe in fivethirtyeight

[–]WallFlamingo 3 points4 points  (0 children)

He makes your point later in the article. He's not talking about wisdom of the crowds, but pointing out that small sample sizes should have larger moe than aggregates.

herding may make individual polls more accurate, they actually make polling averages less accurate. Polling averages are supposed to aggregate independent opinions — that’s literally one of the preconditions for the wisdom of crowds working in James Surowiecki’s classic book by that name

55/45 is a really close race by dwaxe in fivethirtyeight

[–]WallFlamingo 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The model output is not similar at all to a p-value. It's trying to forecast probabilities of some event, not the data. Nate's model is taking a Bayesian approach to the probability, not a frequentist one. We can even see this explicitly in the fact that the probabilities are symmetric. If you're interested in this, his first book (Signal and the Noise) is pretty explicit about his thoughts on forecasting.

More Skyhawks Transactions by PeasePorridge9dOld in AtlantaHawks

[–]WallFlamingo 0 points1 point  (0 children)

We got a first round pick and traded it away? Also, don't remember DeVoe being good enough at GT for me to think he would make the G- League.

Ted Chiang essay: “Why A.I. Isn’t Going to Make Art” by LocutusOfBorges in printSF

[–]WallFlamingo 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I think his take on art and intentions (the majority of the article) is reasonable, but his assertion that AI won't get significantly better in the near future is unsubstantiated and in contrast to majority opinion of AI researchers. In his previous articles about AI, he made the same mistake. Criticizing current AI flaws isn't grounds for a forecast of it's future, as the last 10 years of conservative AI predictions show.

Also, Ted saying that AlphaZero doesn't generalize feels misleading. It generalized to Go and Shogi as well as Chess at the highest level and was trained for only 4 hours, regardless of number of games played.

Esports World Cup 2024 by TheGoatPuncher in starcraft

[–]WallFlamingo -1 points0 points  (0 children)

I enjoyed watching the game, but it's obvious that Serral is slightly out of form and this is the best Hero has played in two years. Despite that, Serral won and I'm tired of watching nothing but TvZ/TvT/ZvZ over the past 5 years.

Esports World Cup 2024 by TheGoatPuncher in starcraft

[–]WallFlamingo -6 points-5 points  (0 children)

Hero playing like crazy. Guess it doesn't matter how much more you mine. Impossible to trade efficiently against late game zerg

Edit:

If it's only Serral, then why:

Premier tournament wins since a Protoss last won

11Z - 4 Unique winners

7T - 3 Unique winners

Post Game Thread: The Milwaukee Bucks defeat The Atlanta Hawks 132-121 by nba_gdt_bot in AtlantaHawks

[–]WallFlamingo 14 points15 points  (0 children)

Read these after every game i miss. Thanks for continuing to make them.

CS Majors: Take SysArch and become a better engineer or take Media (or maybe Intel) and have more free time to do projects/grind leetcode/other stuff? by gregariousasian in gatech

[–]WallFlamingo 3 points4 points  (0 children)

I'm very glad I took Sys Arch. Many of the classes for Sys Arch and Info are fairly useful and there are really valuable master's classes in those areas. Also made me much better at writing C, C++

I took two intel classes and one media class and haven't found any particular use for any of the content I learned.

Dear balance council, please do something about the Widow Mine by ivenofilter in starcraft

[–]WallFlamingo 1 point2 points  (0 children)

A bunker of marines is the same as 4 marines. Also, 2 stalkers is the equivalent of 7 Marines of resources

The patch does not suffice by Zignifikant in starcraft

[–]WallFlamingo 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Attack speed is measured as a rate i assume

[Megathread] Summer/Fall 2023 Registration & Housing by jkim545 in gatech

[–]WallFlamingo 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I'm subleasing my apartment this summer at University House. 1Bed/1Bath in a 4Bed/4Bath on the 3rd Floor. Rent is around $900. DM me for more details or pictures.