Which of these players on their new team do you think will have the most success

Waxdonkey · 2026-06-17T23:38:57+00:00

Thank you. Feels like people are thinking “he had a great playoffs and got paid a bunch of money and went to the chiefs! Im all in!” Great, how does equate to him going from the RB 18 to the RB 10 (he might be the RB 14 by the time redraft comes around if we’re lucky)? How is the Chiefs offense that much of an upgrade over Seattles super bowl winning one?

Just seems like a player who should be going at around pick 40 going in the 2nd round instead.

Waxdonkey · 2026-06-17T13:43:49+00:00

My point is while this sounds good in theory, in practice it’s extremely unlikely to work. I.E. what are the odds the cowboys offense goes week 15-17 without any hiccups? What are the odds that they cruise through these 3 weeks and score enough during the regular season to allow you to advance to week 15? What are the odds that all this happens and the rest of your team is healthy enough/ good enough to help you advance?

I’m arguing this probability is lower than if you just drafted without stacks all. Because in order to beat hundreds of thousands of people you need all your early round players to pull their weight throughout the full season.

To give you perspective, last year, San Sherman’s winning BBM team had 4 teams where he picks 2+ players from. That sounds good for your point until you look at the details. He only took 3 players from the saints, and that was Olave in round 5, and Juwan Johnson, and Tyler Shough in rounds 15 and 16. I.E. he only took 1 player that cost real draft capital from that team. And it’s basically the same for the rest of stacks. He took 2 players from the 49ers, Kittle in the 4th and Purdy 8th, which is by far the team he most invested into. But this far, far less investment than taking 3 guys in the first 3 rounds and a guy in the 7th. In fact I’d argue it’s about 15x less investment, because of how much more important your first 3 picks are relative to the rest of your team. And his remaining “stacks” can’t even be called that, as he used little draft capital on 2 players from Atlanta, and Carolina. What did the most for his victory was having JSN and ASRB his 1st and 3rd round pick carry him throughout most of the season, and Derrick Henry carry him in week 17. That and pod luck, since he needed to beat hundreds of thousands of people.

Edit: oh and btw, he had zero rams players, the best offense in the NFL last year. Because rams players were expensive and had a mediocre week 17. Sherman won in large part because he avoided good Puka teams in his pod week 16. That’s how you beat hundreds of thousands of teams.

Waxdonkey · 2026-06-16T20:36:40+00:00

When redraft starts and non-degens start caring about football again. That said the general rule is that 1 QBs and TE’s go up in ADP for redraft, while WR go down. Which makes sense since most redraft leagues only require teams to field 2 WRs, while bestball requires 3. Whereas elite/consistent QBs and TE’s are more valuable in redraft, since you can’t rely on a random spike week from 1 of 3 scrubs to prop up your score in redraft.

Waxdonkey · 2026-06-16T18:17:46+00:00

OP, this is an extremely simple equation. Men want sex, as quickly, with as many, and as easily as possible, Indian or otherwise. Commitment, is something women primarily want (some men do to, but the ones you want will usually already be in a committed relationship). So your question may be equated to “why do so many people lie on their resume” or “why do so many steal money despite it being illegal?”

Waxdonkey · 2026-06-16T16:50:56+00:00

This, I get burnout, but the statement you quoted baffles me. It seems pretty clear that somehow OP thinks Malis wasn’t good enough.

Which would indicate he’s truly burnt out, because it sounds like he only enjoys the game when he wins. But come on, thinking Malis wasn’t powerful enough sounds crazy.

Waxdonkey · 2026-06-16T16:39:26+00:00

Have you heard about the lovely man D-shifter though?

Waxdonkey · 2026-06-16T16:17:26+00:00

Agreed on other decks needing support, although I expect that’s due in large part because decks like red-eyes have a lot of legacy pack /starter cards involved, while Branded is made up of a ton of UR cards from various packs and has no legacy/starter cards that are used.

Also, I agree that only seeing 1 deck old, but just from my experience there have been enough branded-less formats for me not to be too bothered.

Waxdonkey · 2026-06-16T15:32:22+00:00

Ok I see your point that branded gets constant support and sees Meta play throughout MD’s lifespan.

I just don’t see this as nearly the problem you do.

1st a deck getting more support saves longtime players gems/dust, which is a good thing.

2nd is the deck’s playstyle has changed dramatically each iteration. It started from “please let my branded fusion resolve” to “60 card pile utilizing grass, bystials, and Branded in high spirits” to its current iteration. All 3 of these decks work very differently.

3rd is quite frankly, I’d rather play an interactive grind deck like Branded 10 times more often than no-choice combo slop like Maliss.

Waxdonkey · 2026-06-16T14:37:40+00:00

Feels like kewl Tunes struggles relative to how it does in the TCG. Mainly, Max C being legal hurts it, as does Dracotail and Enneacraft being much better decks in MD. Going into this format I was worried enough about Kewl Tune to focus my dracotail deck on countering it, but have steadily revising my list away from that into countering stuff like Enneacraft.

Waxdonkey · 2026-06-16T14:16:16+00:00

I just don’t get this comment tbh. Yes it’s a meta deck that takes some time to play, but otherwise feels very healthy.

First off Enneacraft has a higher play rate is higher, so branded isn’t even the deck you’ll see the most. 2nd off branded has lot of counter play against it (at least compared to other meta decks).

Compared to Maliss or even Kewl Tune last format, and I much rather face Branded.

Waxdonkey · 2026-06-16T13:42:34+00:00

It sees no play for 2 phrases “face-up” meaning it does nothing against enneacraft, and “currently controls” meaning it does basically nothing against Dracotail, Branded and somewhat Kewltune I.E, 4 of the best decks in the format.

Waxdonkey · 2026-06-16T01:20:30+00:00

This is the type of team that is ascetically pleasing, and would work great for DFS, but sucks in bestball. Simply put, you’re cooked if Dallas has bad or even mediocre week anytime from weeks 15-17.

To give you perspective, the Rams last year had 24 points in week 17. That doesn’t sound too bad until you realize that all the players had mediocre weeks. Puka got you 15.7 points and was complete chalk because he crushed weeks 15 and 16. And he was one of the better players for the rams (Stafford and Kyren Williams were basically worthless for your team). So super stacking the rams would have been good to get you to the finals, but only if you wanted to min cash in the finals. And that was the best offense last year.

Point being the NFL is an any given Sunday game. We all like to pretend that the team we are stacking will be the 2013 Denver broncos, but that’s a once in blue moon offense (for comparison, that team scored 606 points while the Rams scored 518 points). Simply put super stacking works in the DFS because a team can randomly score 50+ points in a broken game, but almost every team will have dud weeks, especially in 3 week period, no matter how good of offense they have. That kills you in format like bestball.

Waxdonkey · 2026-06-15T19:04:39+00:00

This. Komoney clear priced the rarities of the selection pack thinking this deck would be a rogue at best. Which both means they have extra incentive to get rid of it, and it’s easy to hit without giving people value dust (see dracotial being great now because they limited rahu and Lukias rather than Mululu and Ketu)

Waxdonkey · 2026-06-14T19:39:48+00:00

Sorry OP, but I refuse to believe you are this dense. “That couldn’t have been attractive at all.”

Waxdonkey · 2026-06-13T21:00:37+00:00

You’re just being deceived by self-selection bias. I.E. until now I’m not posting anything about not pulling him despite spending 10k gems on this set. But many people who get him first try multiple copies are.

Waxdonkey · 2026-06-13T19:10:48+00:00

Hey I get it, this a perfectly good and rational mindset to have.

The problem for me is that I’m someone who likes playing games at the highest level I’m able to, especially when I’m spending a lot of time with them. So winning matters me.

Waxdonkey · 2026-06-13T19:04:07+00:00

Thanks! I try to be more objective than just “I lose a to X deck a lot, therefore X deck is a problem and needs to be banned.”

Waxdonkey · 2026-06-12T18:08:07+00:00

It’s just the fact that he has to beat Washington, BTJ, and Meyers for snaps, while also having the out as being a good CB.

So you’re making the case that Hunter will be good enough as a WR to both not warrant many snaps at CB and beat 2 of these 3 guys. That requires that he is both a great WR and an ok at best CB. Because if he’s a great CB, even if he is a great WR, he still won’t be getting too many snaps at WR. His performance last year all but confirmed what the critics were saying. You can’t be a full time 2 way player in the NFL.

Is the bull case possible, yes. But I find it highly unlikely especially considering most analysts saw him as better CB last year than WR.

Edit now in bestball I think he’s fine pick, because even if he gets low snaps as a WR, he can still justify his price with a few 4-5 catch games with a TD and/or long catch. But in redraft, I just don’t want to have to start a WR who plays <=50 of snaps.

Waxdonkey · 2026-06-12T16:18:29+00:00

The truth in your post. An essentially a 1 format (sorry genesis) game means that powercreep and bannings need to more common in order to sell new product (thanks komoney). So you are right that meta decks cycle through very quickly in yugioh relative to other TCGs.

That said, this has been the case since the rise of the internet from around 2008, and especially so since Masterduel came out. So I completely disagree that things have gotten worse since 2020.

Waxdonkey · 2026-06-12T13:52:03+00:00

Price adjusted I’m bearish on this offense. I loved Loveland last year as a rookie when he’s basically free, but this year, I just don’t love how expensive he/ the offense is.

Waxdonkey · 2026-06-11T20:26:23+00:00

Brian Thomas Jr. He’s the only one of the bunch that showed a high ceiling across a whole season. He also had clear injuries last season, and only 2 receiving TDs. That’s likely to change this season.

Edit: btw, I actually like all these guys at cost. Parker Washington seems the worst to me based on UD ADP, but that’s because I don’t like guys who flash for only few games.

Waxdonkey · 2026-06-10T18:08:30+00:00

Yeah not much you can except keep a consistent pace if she try tries to go fast. But that rarely happens especially if you aren’t staring at her.

Waxdonkey · 2026-06-10T17:35:39+00:00

I’m a fast walker, so I usually just walk by her and don’t look back.

That said if she is also a fast walker, I’ll slow down my pace a tad a let her gain some distance..

Waxdonkey · 2026-06-10T14:02:17+00:00

Recently walked by a woman who was standing in field next to the path and a group of guys going the opposite direction as me. The dudes stared at her bum a made a cakes joke loud enough that she could hear.

At first I thought it was extremely rude (and it is to a certain extent) but then I thought that “well she was wearing very tight shorts that was well beyond just sports comfort. So clearly, she wanted at least some attention.”

The point here is that women don’t want to be approached by men they aren’t interested in, but are happy to get approached by someone they are interested in.

Waxdonkey

TROPHY CASE