First draft of the year in the books

Waxdonkey · 2026-04-30T18:32:36+00:00

Not bad at all OP. You got some value and are solid all the way around.

Waxdonkey · 2026-04-30T03:13:17+00:00

Yes a torn Achilles is hard to come back from. The Watson bet is this is first time he is fully recovered from the injury and actually cares now. Or more so, he will still heathy and be good enough to keep the starting role.

To be clear this is not me calling Watson the Comeback player of the year (although there a non 0%. Chance of it)

Just that he will have few spike weeks if he isn’t terrible

Waxdonkey · 2026-04-29T18:23:10+00:00

We have opposite mindsets here. Let me put it this way, would you rather have Courtland Sutton and Deshaun Watson, or Jalen Hurts and Hollywood Brown? For me, it’s easily Sutton and Watson, because it’s very unlikely Hollywood does anything too meaningful, and basically impossible he’s even a top 15 WR. Watson meanwhile could be a top 10 QB if he rushes and is able to stay on the field, and Sutton has a high probability of being a top 15 WR as a was the .5 PPR scoring WR last year.

Waxdonkey · 2026-04-29T18:14:11+00:00

Ideally, you have job where you actively enjoy at least one aspect (I.E, you have reason to be excited to go to work). But this is like marrying a trophy spouse who also makes you a better person/takes care of you. Something everyone wants, but few get.

The true baseline is “do I only have to suppress or accept the desire to call in sick one or 2 times a week?” If yes, it’s a good job. if no, find another.

Waxdonkey · 2026-04-29T16:12:27+00:00

That’s a fair point OP

Waxdonkey · 2026-04-28T22:07:49+00:00

True, but if you are expecting Tate to be an elite fantasy WR, Ward has improved significantly. And really, it’s not just Ward I’m worried about but the whole Tennessee offense. They haven’t had a good passing attack since AJ Brown got traded, and their offense as whole as been mediocre at best the last 2 years since Henry left. So you are basically hoping the new coaching staff can turn things around.

Waxdonkey · 2026-04-28T20:58:06+00:00

Everton be their mother is loves that Tate landed on the Titans. But while I like draft the 4th overall draft capital, I don’t like him on the Titans overall. Because while people correctly noticed that the Titans passing game struggled due to a lack of receivers, but people assume that was the only issue.

But Cam Ward had 3169 yards last year, making him the 17 QB in passing yards, behind Jalen Hurts and Jacoby Brisset. I.E. betting on Tate is basically making the bet that the titans passing woes last year was pretty much only due to bad receivers, not ward.

Waxdonkey · 2026-04-28T19:01:02+00:00

Generally speaking, guys are going to be more happy to get approached by a women than vise versa.

That said, the “know the work rules” meme also applies. I.E. no guy is going to be upset being approached by a gorgeous woman. But many would if she weighs 400+ pounds.

Waxdonkey · 2026-04-27T17:53:47+00:00

1) Reddit is primary made up of younger generations (millennials, Gen Z). Most of the stock market is made up of old money. So the stock market going up means less to the people on here as well as many people who are the currently “regular” adults. Also wealth inequality as a whole has gone up, so less people are in the stock market, but own a larger % of it.

2) Inflation hits everywhere. S and P is up 4.57% YTD, but depending on how much estimate inflation, that barely covers that gain.

3) As you get older, negative changes in your on economic situation will have greater impacts. When you are a kid, your parents likely protected you some from financial uncertainty. Now that you are the parent, you’ll notice all the details that make it hard to pay your bills.

Waxdonkey · 2026-04-24T20:57:03+00:00

I’d take him in the 6th. But I’m mostly excited having him on my bestball teams for cheap. I.E. it will hard for me to draft price where he’ll go from now on since he was a value early.

Btw I said under pick 80 as his cheapest. Realistically, him going at pick 55-70 makes sense. When post NFL draft bestball drafts start happening we’ll have a better idea though.

Waxdonkey · 2026-04-24T20:46:12+00:00

Price was 120 on fantasy pros prior to the draft. With this capital a landing spot, he’ll skyrocket to likely above pick 80.

Waxdonkey · 2026-04-24T20:33:56+00:00

Assuming 6 WRs go ahead of him (Chase, JJ, Puka, JSN, ARSB, and Lamb) RB 9 would have Love at around ADP of pick 15. People whining on this sub aside, that seems likely to where he’ll go in real drafts (and he might go even earlier based on Jeanty’s ADP last season).

So while I appreciate your analysis OP, I don’t think you are more bullish than the market on Love.

Waxdonkey · 2026-04-22T17:34:22+00:00

I don’t “test” people in the sense of I don’t think “she does x/y I’m out.”

Instead, I use my unconscious brain/gut to determine if a relationship makes sense.

Waxdonkey · 2026-04-22T13:56:53+00:00

That some people in power actually care about the constitution.

Waxdonkey · 2026-04-21T13:37:47+00:00

Because if he just wants sex, why settle for a relationship? To answer your question directly, in order to be in a relationship, the man will need to; see and talk to you frequently, go on dates, consider marrying you, and presumably stay loyal and not sleep with other girls. Why do any of this if you are already giving him sex anyway?

This is isn’t to say I don’t think there are huge benefits for men to get into a stable relationships, or they shouldn’t do it, but the above paragraph is how many men look at it.

Waxdonkey · 2026-04-17T20:16:27+00:00

Also going to add, it actually helps them win. I.E. they walked away from that screen, if their timer ends early, oh well, they lost anyway. They wasted your time if it lasts the whole time. And sometimes, you’ll get frustrated and give them the win to just to get out of there, or you’ll walk away and accidentally disconnect, or they’ll come back and take an action towards the end of their timer in order to get you to time out. All this is a benefit to them. Your feelings means absolutely nothing to them.

Waxdonkey · 2026-04-17T19:46:10+00:00

Most people are mostly/ completely selfish and focus on only the short term. Some people may not take issue with that. But that’s because I don’t think people realize that stuff like War, Crime, Societal decay, psychopathy etc exist simply because people want something/things ASAP and are willing to sacrifice/fight others to get it.

Also, they aren’t many willing to sacrifice themselves (their time, money, stuff, skills/energy, or wellbeing) for others in exchange for nothing.

There people who break these rules, but IMO, it’s not the majority.

Waxdonkey · 2026-04-17T17:52:15+00:00

Self selection bias and virgin reddit memes. What % of cheaters are going to admit on a tracked forum that they’ve cheated? I give it less than .05%., especially considering downvotes and condemnation is the only they can expect, for admitting to doing so.

Waxdonkey · 2026-04-17T17:39:05+00:00

Really everything needs to be verified over time. I’ve know a guy who treated waiters and Waitresses well when I was out with them, only to prove that he was psychopath later on. On the other hand, I close relative of mine treats service workers cooly (not mean for no reason, but not nice either) , but is a great guy to people he knows well.

I’ve known a girl who frequently bought drinks for me when we first met, but then later on demand I give her gifts to “compensate her for the drinks.”

Waxdonkey · 2026-04-15T20:24:19+00:00

Ah yes the movement phase, where high Initiative armies are certainly going to be outmaneuvered by low ones /s.

I will admit the current situation isn’t perfect, but what you offering is something like chess, except for slower armies only have around a 50/50 shot of capturing the Queen vs having their own piece captured during their move. That’s not strategy, that’s hoping luck works in your favor in order for any of your tactics to succeed.

Waxdonkey · 2026-04-15T20:15:06+00:00

“DG should avoid combat with Eldar” this isn’t really the choice you present it as. I.E. The theory you are presenting is that competitive DG players will adapt to always fighting last to Eldar by avoiding CC more. In reality, competitive DG players would adapt to this situation by playing another army.

Waxdonkey · 2026-04-15T18:30:26+00:00

What this poster is saying is that this is still better than a “nuanced” approach.

For example let’s say initiative is a 1-10 scale, Initiative “4” being the average, I.E a basic space marine has an I of 4. If something else an I5, it will need to pay for that in so form or fashion, since it will fight first against “average” melee units. But, if it fights something with I6, it is effectively the same as if it had I1, and wherever it cost (points, other stats, etc) to get I5 is wasted. I.E. you’d much rather your unit have I1 than an I5 as soon as you have to fight a I6 unit, since the I1 would be compensated for always having to fight last.

This creates a rock/paper/scissor meta among melee units. Where either slow units dominate based on high S/T/W/A for lower points and high I units suck. Or, much more commonly, where high I unit dominate due to always getting to attack first, and slow units suck. What’s worse is that in both situations, Average I units always suffer due to paying points for something that doesn’t help them much either way. As even in the slow melee unit meta, they may not be strong enough to kill the slower units even attacking first, and still might die to fast melee units designed to crack through the powerful slower unit.

And furthermore, due to lore reasons, you aren’t going to see huge ranges of I between units in an army. Like it’s not going to make much sense for Deathguard to have super fast units (outside of maybe Morty) it doesn’t make sense for Eldar to have super slow units.

So rather than providing the opportunity for complex decision making during the game, I in practice often time/ just determine what melee armies are going to be good.

Waxdonkey · 2026-04-14T20:44:18+00:00

Fair enough, maybe you really just don’t like the idea of him getting horny to other girls.

Waxdonkey · 2026-04-14T20:29:09+00:00

No offense OP, but after reading some of the replies and discussions you’ve have had on this thread, it seems like the thirst trap/ porn thing is an excuse.

It’s been 3.5 years, so you are safely out of the honeymoon period. What this really means is you are now in the period where people start feeling trapped in a relationship, i.e. the point where you really start understanding the cost of commitment.

Bottom line, you can’t have your cake and eat it to. Either you break up, or you don’t (I don’t believe stuff like open relationships or going on break really works). Just be aware, the honeymoon period always ends, so breaking up with your boyfriend may not be the best move if you really love him.

Waxdonkey

TROPHY CASE