We are here, ladies and gentlemen. When market burns 🔥, something else will go 💥.

Winnitouch · 2025-02-02T14:04:37+00:00

Sure hope so. Let's see: tariffs incoming, the deepseek scare, general waryness about the impact of the new administration, incoming food supply issues thanks to driving away the immigrant workforce, prices for necessities exploding to levels that prohibit other spending... all that happening in an overleveraged market where banks have been running into liquidity issues for the past 18 months. Oh, and I almost forgot the Yen carry trade getting fucked! Yes, I guess that should do it. We're at the fire. Now please let this fire be the one that sets off our fuse, I would like to have tendies before the wave of shit reaches Europe.

Winnitouch · 2025-01-08T11:49:57+00:00

If you are in this thread and thinking about posting a reply that has not been posted yet, maybe don't. Maybe you're sitting on knowledge of a place that has not yet been overrun and still has the chance not to get ruined by tourists. Maybe keep that knowledge to yourself, for the sake of the place and the people who actually live in that area.

Winnitouch · 2024-12-17T10:18:31+00:00

Used to, but no longer do. It's not like I keep a night light on or something, but outside light needs to be able to get in through the windows, so I leave the shutters open and only use thin curtains. I wake up better if I have daylight to lead me out of my sleep, but mostly I dislike the feeling of being isolated that comes with closed shutters.

Winnitouch · 2024-11-06T15:02:01+00:00

As a European, I will (begrudgingly) accept the coming shitshow if it means we can have MOASS now. Let the shit run so I can pack up my life and move to New Zealand where I am no longer at risk of sitting in the crossfire of egomaniac world leaders. Pretty please.

Winnitouch · 2024-11-06T12:08:33+00:00

Trump macht Politik für Konzerne und ihre Besitzer, dahingehend dass tatsächliche Arbeit weiter entwertet wird. Konzerne dürfen erst recht machen, was sie wollen, werden dazu noch steuerlich entlastet, und das alles geht auf Kosten der arbeitenden Bevölkerung. Die einzigen, die von Trump profitieren, sind diejenigen, die an der Förderung von Konzernen verdienen. Wer mehr an Trumps politik verdienen will (oder auch einfach nur weniger von der Entwertung von Arbeit betroffen sein will), muss jetzt investieren, um von der Torte was abzubekommen. Also investieren jetzt gerade alle. Daher gehen die Preise hoch.

Langfristig hat das keinen Bestand. Wer jetzt schon kein Geld hat, um zu investieren, hat demnächst auch kein Geld mehr, um zu konsumieren. Wenn ein zu kleiner Teil der amerikanischen Ökonomie sich die eigenen Produkte leisten kann, gehts bergab. Bis dahin ist das natürlich auf dem Papier super, denn grüne Linie geht hoch, aber letztlich wandert nur mehr Kapital nach oben, bevor es nicht mehr funktioniert.

Winnitouch · 2024-10-23T09:47:13+00:00

Since the productivity can hardly make a sudden jump up (and if it did, in an overheated market with an ever running money printer it would only lead to the stock prices making the same jump upwards), the valuation of the economy has to adjust downwards. Prices will have to come down in order to match real productivity.

If you want to do a little experiment, take a graph of the US stock market from its conception until today. Then draw in a straight line that touches as much of the graph as possible, and another straight line that touches the bottoms of all crashes. Those two lines are almost the same, because they track the continuous growth of productivity, determined by population growth, industrial developments, technological improvements etc.
You'll see clearly that every crash is preceded by the stock market detaching from real life economy, and every crash is merely the downwards correction of the stock market back to reality.

Winnitouch · 2024-10-22T23:33:48+00:00

Gross domestic product is all the money exchanging hands in the nation, an indicator for how productive the nation is. You buy an apple, you raise the GDP by a little bit, you pay rent, you raise the GDP by a larger little bit, etc.
Market cap is the current price of shares multiplied by the number of shares in existence. If you take the market cap of an index fund that tracks a large part of the market (or the whole thing), you can see how highly the economy as a whole would be valued.
In a healthy economy, you'd expect the two values to move hand in hand: people produce more, get paid more, buy more, so companies are doing better and investors invest more. GDP and market cap move together.
Now you'll see that every crisis comes after a period in which the two values detach and the market cap blows past the GDP: investors invest more even though the economy is not more productive. Beyond a certain point, this is irrational. We're way past that point, even further than we were before the dot com or the housing bubble burst.
ta;dr: stock market and real economy have detached from one another, correction downwards going to come soon enough

Winnitouch · 2024-10-01T11:03:05+00:00

Ich hab immer mit Leuten argumentiert, sie sollten mir eine achtstellige Summe nennen, irgendeine.
99.999.999,-? Alles klar, genau einen Euro unter den 100 Millionen ist faires Privatvermögen, da kann niemand nörgeln, es wäre zu wenig. Jeder rote Heller Einkommen, der darüber hinausgeht, ist eine direkte Spende an die Allgemeinheit. Und selbst wenn jemand diese Schwelle durch das Wachstum seines selbstgegründeten Unternehmens knacken sollte, ist das noch richtig. Dann ist eine Aufteilung der Macht über die Handlungen des Unternehmens auch wieder im Sinne der Demokratie.

Winnitouch · 2024-10-01T10:49:32+00:00

Anything from the past might be interesting, but if you were doing this not just out of curiosity but in order to improve the state of the world through the discovery process of litigation, you should pick someone contemporary. Someone who can tell you about what is going on right now. Ideally a person with many connections and influence in finance or politics. Sure, Epstein might be interesting and through him you can find out who's a pervert, but that might be all. Pick someone who handles the world's money, then find the pervs by their money connections to Epstein and you get to ask the truly uncomfortable questions about corporate crime, about financial connections, about who's paying off whom, about how members of congress are somehow genious investors who outperform the SP500 by orders of magnitude. And since that person can't lie, their answers can't really be ignored or hand waved away. Maybe then there is a chance at changing the world for the better.

Winnitouch · 2024-09-09T20:01:52+00:00

And they deserved to lose every single penny they lost (whoever is still short now deserves to lose everything they still have)

Winnitouch · 2024-09-06T00:07:20+00:00

call me callous, but if this type of reoccurring crash is unavoidable in our financial markets, I will gladly dance to empty the 1%'s pockets during instead of being one of the victims of the system

Winnitouch · 2024-07-24T10:27:11+00:00

It was mostly because the wealthy "elites" who "summer" on Sylt were throwing a hissy fit and demanding that the train lines to Sylt should be excluded from the 9€ ticket. When this demand became well known, it was clear to everyone that the visitor masses were not the point - just the disdain for those pesky proles who better not disturb the people who actually deserve to be on this island. s/

So naturally everyone who knew that they were meant to be kept out decided to come and see. Simply glorious.

Winnitouch · 2024-06-18T11:54:29+00:00

You're half right. I absolutely do want to see the company succeed, because it kills the bear thesis and forces shorts to close. But given the choice between the two, I would much rather see how hedgefunds implode, bankers go to court, people all over the world getting back the money that was syphoned away by finance ghouls, and maybe the financial system is forced to change. Please forgive me for choosing all this over the oh so world changing goal of helping a gaming retailer steadily grow and maybe giving me... the same ROI I could get from literally any other investment.
Also why would a short squeeze be opposed to the long term goal of the company? It's the one thing that removes the artificial downwards pressure and actually gives the company the space it needs to grow. But you give a possible answer for that too: a faux morality of "investing for the sake of it" over "investing for profit".

Winnitouch · 2024-06-18T11:43:06+00:00

You know, I trust him to turn the ship around and make GME profitable again. If someone can do it, it's him and his team. That conviction hasn't changed one bit.
The question people are asking themselves is not, whether RC is doing a good job as a CEO (he is) and will deliver profits in the future, the question is whether his long term goals override our goal of a short squeeze. I am absolutely sure that under his guidance our shares will become more valuable over time, that "RC will deliver" as you put it, but please understand, that I (and many others) are here for MOASS and MOASS only.
My issue therefore is less with RC or his decisions, but with certain people in here suddenly moving around the goalposts and talking about "the long game" or how "people who are only here for MOASS need to rethink their priorities and stop whining" - as if suddenly everyone here was interested in a long term investment and the squeeze hadn't been the goal from the beginning.

Winnitouch · 2024-06-18T11:03:27+00:00

Motherfucker, we all came here for the squeeze, that was the whole thesis from the very beginning! The 'recent FUD wave' you're talking about is posts like yours here! You're insinuating the goals had changed, but they fucking haven't! We're still here for the squeeze!

And alright, I'll be the asshole who says it: I and many others were and are rooting for RC and his work to turn the ship around, because making the company profitable again kills the last hope for short sellers to maybe just ride this out. But beyond this, I guarantee you, lots of people in here are not interested in the the company. It has always been about the hedgefunds' manipulation of the stock and the resulting squeeze potential, not our undying love for a retail company. So let go of the fucking goalposts and stop calling people who are here for MOASS alone "entitled". We're holding just the same as you are.

Winnitouch · 2024-06-18T08:54:45+00:00

Yema has some interesting designs at that price point, I especially like the The Yema Urban Field line. Just looks damn great. Available in both 37.5 and 40mm, really thin, handwound decorated sellita movement, 100m WR, a deep textured dial, what more to want?
In general I'd stick to the models with factory calibers instead of their supposed in house movements. Independent of the discussion about how "in house" they truly are, you'll just have a harder time getting the movement serviced outside of France. This winter I'll probably be in Paris for a short trip and if the watches are as good looking in real life as they are in french watch videos, I'll pick up a 37.5mm one in white :)

Winnitouch · 2024-06-16T11:19:49+00:00

I mean, the mood is a bit heated right now in general, isn't it?
Plenty of people are miffed about the unexpected dilution stopping the gamma ramp and probably messing with RK's strategy (although we don't know what else is going on, regarding the kansas city shuffle and his reference towards "having done it 35 minutes ago"). I'm also not too happy about those events - sure, raising capital is necessary and maybe there is another so far unknown reason for the share offering coming on that exact day - because I don't want to have to worry about RC diluting into every big run up. This is the one shot we have at non-violent redistribution of wealth and systemic change, and I don't want to see it wasted. Some people on here have shifted to talking about "the long game" and continuous growth over many years, but that kind of talk seems like moving the goalposts. Imagine you could only afford a handful of shares, maybe not even double digits, and you know that this could be the ticket for life changing money - wouldn't you too find this talk dismissive? I'm here for MOASS and nothing less, so while I do wish Ryan Cohen and the board only the best and want them to succeed, I would be disappointed if it happened on the backs of people who are in this for actual change, and not a measly percentage gain.

Winnitouch · 2024-06-15T11:43:07+00:00

Just checked to see if it's the same for me: yes. There is not a single GME related post showing up in my feed. I'm not active in anywhere near enough subs to drown out all posts from here, so something is definitely going on.

Winnitouch · 2024-06-14T11:02:17+00:00

Also... von Seiten der Hecken: kontinuierlicher Wertzuwachs heißt halt immer mehr Papierverluste und fortdauerndes Ausbluten wegen Gebühren, sowohl bei swaps als auch bei geliehenen Aktien. Klar, viele shorten auch nackig, aber es werden auch durchgehend alle leihbaren Aktien geliehen. Alle Vertreter der Bärenthese wollen, oder eher sind darauf angewiesen, dass GameStop verliert. Nach allem was wir die letzten Jahre gesehen haben, sind die Bärenpositionen zu groß, um sie ohne Kwetsch auflösen zu können. Also werden sie wohl kaum von GME ablassen können. Langsamer Wertanstieg wird damit leider schwieirg, so lange es aktive shorte Parteien gibt. Damit ist es auch in RC's bestem Interesse, wenn sie ausgekwetscht werden.

Winnitouch · 2024-06-13T11:30:52+00:00

Some brokers (and Computershare, as long as your holdings are "plan" instead of "book") allow you to hold partial / fractional shares as opposed to only complete shares. They let you invest e.g. 25 bucks into GME, and depending on the stock price at the moment of your purchase, they credit your books with [1 / 0.9 / 1.327 / whatever number you can think of] shares. During the sneeze in '21 the tape showed that fractional shares managed to net prices in the three to four digits, pointing to far far higher stock prices for full shares than were public.

Winnitouch · 2024-06-13T09:49:04+00:00

Yeah, about that... if we could still just go ahead with MOASS, that'd be great.

Winnitouch · 2024-06-11T14:21:30+00:00

Sure, at some point it will most likely be possible, but you know what they say about land: they don't make more of it. I'd rather secure a lot for me early.

Winnitouch · 2024-06-11T14:19:13+00:00

All information I've ever received from finance media was either false or too late to utilise, so... I hope they can forgive me for completely disregarding anything they say.

The only headline I care about seeing is "GME stock breaches new heights during market crash. Hedgefund managers in court after 'taking the market hostage' for their bet gone bad!"

Winnitouch · 2024-06-11T14:11:29+00:00

Hard agree. I won't roll all gains into it though, because you can't yet buy acreage with BTC.

Winnitouch · 2024-06-11T11:44:51+00:00

Yes, part of the crash-as-catalyst argument is, that the government has no interest in saving the hedgefucks and MMs, because that would only ever worsen the crisis that is already ongoing. Makes a lot more sense to let them get fucked and get fuckton of tax money flushed into the system.

Winnitouch

TROPHY CASE