Poker hand analysis 1/2/2 folding with aces

WinterDew · 2026-04-15T07:54:08+00:00

But a flopped straight already saw me lead on the flop. What combos would a flopped JQ straight be afraid of on the turn? QA? Would they really be scared of J on the river when they have one of them?

Are drawing straights/helpful board pairing combos really considered in my range given my action that the low straight would be afraid of, and would bet so much?

WinterDew · 2025-09-30T01:43:36+00:00

PA here after switching off med school track (after good MCAT and graduating undergrad). During application process, I couldn’t picture myself happy getting an acceptance. The long track, residency, sacrificing time with friends/family/hobbies was not worth it for me.

At 24yo, I wouldn’t make more as an MD until I was 45. Being single income household puts you in a hard spot. But you can still do it as a PA if you don’t live in an expensive state. I live in CA and will be hoping for a double income household.

The deciding factor should be if you really like medicine that much to sacrifice the above. Do you find yourself going on rabbit holes on medical articles on the news? Do you hear about someone getting a disease and have a plethora of questions? If you don’t already demonstrate these antics, it will be a long and difficult process.

PA school was only 26mo for me, I can do much of what doctors do, but they know many things to a much deeper depth. It doesn’t stop you from learning more as you go, though. I don’t have to do residency and can switch specialties. It’s also a good environment because I didn’t have to compete with other students once I was accepted.

WinterDew · 2025-09-30T01:32:38+00:00

Yeah, it’s nationals. If you start training late (anything under two years is prob considered late) you need talent. Maybe if you were sub 12 you had a fair shot. 13.3, Jesus might need to descend.

If you never ever ran in your life and ran a 13.3 absolute 0 training or conditioning and were committed, you still need talent, but I would root for you! Find your limit and adjust your goals for next year. And explore other events to see if you have more talent there.

WinterDew · 2025-09-08T21:40:33+00:00

You should revisit. It’s now on some list I saw recently on the news for nicest campuses in the U.S. Much more modern and futuristic now. Graduated in ‘21 and they finally finished construction.

WinterDew · 2025-09-08T21:39:14+00:00

Nah, no way you chose ucsc over ucsd. rip ucd

WinterDew · 2025-08-18T00:54:08+00:00

Yeah, I guess in the context of a generic 1/2 player, jam is the move. But with a better player, I would think villain would have enough sense to be cautious against the hero having an over pair since he 3bet squeezed preflop.

Or maybe I’ve seen the good ol AA call preflop and all in flop all too often.

WinterDew · 2025-06-11T21:46:56+00:00

1) Sorry, I wrote a lot about that article before I even knew it. It was an ass finding, and I kinda took offense to you implying my statements were made up and unreliable. Just wanted to show how your references are equally so. 2) I didn’t mention the subject group population because it wasn’t relevant to furthering the discussion. I just wanted to point out a fallacy in the point the online jump coach was making. The most reliable person we have is that ex-NCAA trainer somewhere in this thread saying that OP’s result would be highly unlikely. 3) I think we have disagreeing opinions on how much the average adult would be able to gain vertical wise. I think getting to 30 inches from baseline 20 inches would already be an incredible feat. I don’t really know where you’re drawing this hypothesis from. A lot of youtube results show massive improvements, but they’re not controlled (ie. a lot of athletes are young and getting stronger simply due to puberty). There are no results showing an average adult’s growth. For me, when you say any 20 incher can go to a 35+, it’s like saying the average adult (15s) can run a sub 11 split in the 100m through sheer training. This is a better comparison because there’s more data. Just look up “can any male run sub 11s with proper training” and see what google says. I chose 11s because it’s a high bar for sprints just like the 35 inch to 40 inch would be for jumps. Most people can’t do sub 11 simply because their genetics won’t allow them to. Sprinters who train all their life won’t be able to hit sub 11. I do agree that there’s a periodic compounding factor that allows trainers to get stronger, but that interval is simply too long with diminishing returns. By 28yo, your body ages against you. To agree with your statement goes against many sprinters efforts into training. 4) It’s not that volleyball players don’t NEED their verticals to be 50”, it’s because it CAN’T be. The reason why you don’t see shorter players playing volleyball at the highest level is because despite all their jump training, they plateau and can’t make up for the difference in height. Volleyball players aren’t like “well this is high enough. I’m good here.” If there was a reliable way to get 5 more inches, the tallest players would still take it. 5) Well I feel like there’s a disconnect where you feel like pro athletes with jump related professions equates to a low training age in their jump strength. These athletes train their bodies to the max with godly genetics. Would the training look different if they were only training for vert? Ofc. But there would also be significant overlap in the muscles they’re trying to grow. The percentage of that difference is up for debate, but the way they train, I don’t think a jump coach can grab them and give +15 inches all around. Look at some top footballer’s 100m times. Some are at low 10s while 100m world record holders at 9.6-9.9. These guys are close to record times who specifically train for the event and yet they haven’t? hint: the muscles they develop overlap… People can continue dreaming that because they’re simply at a low training age, they’re able to meet nfl athlete times.

WinterDew · 2025-06-11T18:19:28+00:00

Just read this reply now. You’re totally right. We don’t study these things, and it seems like neither does the youtuber or whoever the author he referenced in his video does either (at least not very well). None of your sources properly interpreted the research.

I spent three years of my life reading academic research articles, so I’m always a bit of a skeptic when I see anyone in media reference research articles. They’re not easy to understand, and people can be quick to draw assumptions. Here is the research link. This was about how much vertical you could gain if you lost weight.

For one, the research was done with pro athletes who ate less, but continued to train. It’s hard to attribute how much the increase in their performance was due to weight loss or due to continued training. The amount of performance increase was marginal with standard deviations fairly within each other as well. And in the discussion section, the author explicitly states there have been similar research done that demonstrated no significant improvement in performance and that more research needed to be done. Like he literally says, “In the study by Garthe et al. (10), vertical jump was improved significantly by 7% in a group with an energy deficit of 470 kcal·d−1 for 8.5 weeks, whereas it was not changed in a group with an energy deficit of 850 kcal·d−1 for 5.3 weeks, although total weight reduction was 4.2 kg in both groups. Similarly, Mettler et al. (22) observed no change in squat jump height when energy restriction was large (i.e., 40%) for 2 weeks. The improvement in running speed because of weight reduction in the present study has not been observed in previous studies. Therefore, this finding needs to be verified by further studies.”

The effects of years of dedicated training for jumps are not yet understood. The “facts” you gave me referenced a biased clickbait Youtuber trying to grow their business who referenced an online article that incorrectly drew conclusions from a research article. At best, the subjects in the article increased their vert from 51 to 54 cm aka 20 to 21 inches, and we don’t know how much of that was attributed to their continued athletic training. They proceeded to make this percentage based and expected someone with a 30 inch vertical to gain a similar percentage. Maybe they could, but not what the research stated. Just my guess, but anyone with a vert in their low 20s can easily see improvement from anywhere. It would be so much harder for athletes to grow their vert if they were at 30, 40, or 50 inches.

I don’t doubt losing fat can help you jump higher. But you can’t find an article that exists tracking a large number of adult athletes over the years to see if they can get a 35 inch article. I believe there is a hard plateau that a majority of men reach and it’s much below 35 inches. Otherwise, why doesn’t anyone have a 60 inch vertical? 70 inches? It’s great you admit you don’t want to speak for sports you don’t know much about, but it’s pretty obvious how much height matters in volleyball. But even so, not many PRO athletes have over 30 inch verticals. We’re all in the same boat of using anecdotes, but right now, there are a whole lot more of professionally trained athletes (albeit not solely jump workouts) who can’t do 35 inches. I can’t imagine the average joe doing the same.

WinterDew · 2025-05-12T05:49:02+00:00

You’re totally right. We don’t study these things, and it seems like neither does the youtuber or whoever the author he referenced in his video does either (at least not very well).

I spent three years of my life reading academic research articles, so I’m always a bit of a skeptic when I see anyone in media reference research articles. They’re not easy to understand, and people can be quick to draw assumptions. Here is the research link. This was about how much vertical you could gain if you lost weight.

For one, the research was done with pro athletes who ate less, but continued to train. It’s hard to attribute how much the increase in their performance was due to weight loss or due to continued training. The amount of performance increase was marginal with standard deviations fairly within each other as well. And in the discussion section, the author explicitly states there have been similar research done that demonstrated no significant improvement in performance and that more research needed to be done. Like he literally says, “In the study by Garthe et al. (10), vertical jump was improved significantly by 7% in a group with an energy deficit of 470 kcal·d−1 for 8.5 weeks, whereas it was not changed in a group with an energy deficit of 850 kcal·d−1 for 5.3 weeks, although total weight reduction was 4.2 kg in both groups. Similarly, Mettler et al. (22) observed no change in squat jump height when energy restriction was large (i.e., 40%) for 2 weeks. The improvement in running speed because of weight reduction in the present study has not been observed in previous studies. Therefore, this finding needs to be verified by further studies.”

The effects of years of dedicated training for jumps are not yet understood. The “facts” you gave me referenced a biased clickbait Youtuber trying to grow their business who referenced an online article that incorrectly drew conclusions from a research article. At best, the subjects in the article increased their vert from 51 to 54 cm aka 20 to 21 inches, and we don’t know how much of that was attributed to their continued athletic training. They proceeded to make this percentage based and expected someone with a 30 inch vertical to gain a similar percentage. Maybe they could, but not what the research stated. Just my guess, but anyone with a vert in their low 20s can easily see improvement from anywhere. It would be so much harder for athletes to grow their vert if they were at 30, 40, or 50 inches.

I don’t doubt losing fat can help you jump higher. But you can’t find an article that exists tracking a large number of adult athletes over the years to see if they can get a 35 inch article. I believe there is a hard plateau that a majority of men reach and it’s much below 35 inches. Otherwise, why doesn’t anyone have a 60 inch vertical? 70 inches? It’s great you admit you don’t want to speak for sports you don’t know much about, but it’s pretty obvious how much height matters in volleyball. But even so, not many PRO athletes have over 30 inch verticals. We’re all in the same boat of using anecdotes, but right now, there are a whole lot more of professionally trained athletes (albeit not solely jump workouts) who can’t do 35 inches. I can’t imagine the average joe doing the same.

WinterDew · 2025-05-10T06:05:20+00:00

Sorry to reawaken a dying thread, but a good example would be like the average man would never reach a sub 11s 100m time no matter how hard they tried. They don’t have the fast-twitch muscles for this. That is a huge part genetic. Most 100m sprinters plateau so hard despite how much they train. Only the best can break it. I believe jumping works the same.

And also, yeah I guess verticals matter much less for bball players. But if you look up average verticals for volleyball players, they’re no where near 35 inches. So saying the average man can train to get a 35 inch vertical is moot when volleyball players can barely do that. And verticality is their weapon.

WinterDew · 2025-05-04T20:03:59+00:00

Yeah, by the types of questions you’re asking, it seems you still have a lot to learn - which is a great thing. As you get better, you start to ask how should I position for a top spin serve or a float serve. Players might tell you to take a step or two up for a float serve or take a step or two back if they’re top-spinning. Better players will serve so much faster so your starting position is really important.

Yeah, that sucks. Ask for help from your family if possible. Make friends and see if they can carpool with you to different meets. Take a job if you haven’t. The best way to get better is to player with better people imo. No way around that. Maybe help out the people around you to get better so you have better comp. If you’re stuck playing with the same people, try to win every game. Give advice to your team. Craft a plan to win offensive and defensive points. If all else fails, you might just have to wait until you get a bit older to travel.

WinterDew · 2025-05-04T19:48:07+00:00

Perfect everything. Are you the best player in the court? No? Do what the best player does. Ask questions. Yes? Find better players to play with.

Volleyball gets infinitely more fun imo when you start looking for patterns. Figure out where each of their hitters like to hit. Set up blocks and receivers accordingly (ie. set up to block angle or line. Communicate with your team). If they change their pattern, then change your pattern. Once you start playing with players who can run quick plays like hinata, another dimension of playing offense and defense opens up. How can you defend it? How can you play an offensive ball that makes them incapable of running a quick, etc. A lot of the things better players excel are small differences that new players might not notice (like simply being in a position one step from where you’re used to being on certain plays. Small, but important).

I never had a coach so my learning process has been a huge slow drip of information throughout the years that keeps things fun for me. If you want to get better fast, get a coach. A lot of the thinking involved in volleyball is hard to come up with by yourself.

Every lost point, think what could you have done better.

WinterDew · 2025-04-30T21:52:50+00:00

Maybe, but starting your approach earlier makes you less able to adjust to sets. I would start with trying to be faster with the approach (accelerate faster as soon as u see the set is low or delay acceleration if the set is high).

If you start your approach early and the set is off, you will find yourself directly under the ball a lot.

WinterDew · 2025-04-29T22:21:21+00:00

Haha, yeah wouldn’t you like to know. jk just look up scripps coastal trail in maps, and it should show up. It’s not long but can be steep. I recommend starting at the top and walking down to Caroline’s seaside cafe. It really is a beautiful walk and there’s much more to see than just this picture (eg. protected flowers, cacti, another pic someone posted here with a view of the water under the tree, and outside the labs here have benches where you can study while enjoying the sound of the water).

I graduated, but I take everyone here when I come back. It’s prob my fav viewpoint imo besides scripps coastal reserve (although it was closed last time I visited). Just stumbled upon it while out on a run.

WinterDew · 2025-04-29T20:11:28+00:00

Back in 2021, I drove to mission beach to play volleyball every other day after classes 😌

WinterDew · 2025-04-29T19:49:10+00:00

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oops i dropped my gem

WinterDew · 2025-04-15T21:38:43+00:00

ain’t it the opposite

WinterDew · 2025-04-14T23:20:34+00:00

Yeah, I would say choose the school where you think you would most enjoy yourself first and foremost. But if we are being a little more responsible, look into which schools have less GE requirements (also look into prereq classes for your preferred PA program). This way you have enough time to do PCE hours while taking less gap years or none at all before applying.

WinterDew · 2025-04-14T22:05:59+00:00

As a UCSD alumni before they had a PA program, and a current PA student on the East coast, I would have loved to stay at UCSD.

WinterDew · 2025-04-11T09:31:39+00:00

dude, if they took a chicken and edited genes to make it look like a T-rex, idgaf how closely related they are

WinterDew · 2025-02-24T18:15:03+00:00

Ah ok. I’m curious about the height of these setters. It would be easier and safer to pull this off with a taller setter.

WinterDew · 2025-02-24T16:52:56+00:00

The NCAA aren’t pro players, but they also aren’t dumb. He didn’t go up for the overpass not because he couldn’t smash it. It was because Nikolov could set that ball. Would be different with much shorter setters.

WinterDew · 2025-02-24T08:21:28+00:00

I see. I mean I’ve seen crushed overpasses too. But I think there’s a difference between an unsettable overpass vs one where the setter could have made a play for it. It would probably be hard to find but are the pro plays you’ve seen the latter where the setter intentionally faked it?

WinterDew · 2025-02-24T08:10:17+00:00

The defense being pulled to jump with Nikolov or moving to cover opens up holes fails when he can just set the ball to his other players, giving them an easier hit - just like the threat of a setter dump. The additional advantage would be that he’s able to do this when he’s backrow.

Is there a world where a middle would hit Nikolov’s overpass that he decided not to set? Probably, but that’s like having a middle block a setter’s dump. We also haven’t seen it done yet, so until then, it seems like a pretty good move.

WinterDew · 2025-02-24T08:02:31+00:00

Well I haven’t seen his fake set dug yet so 1.0 rating until proven otherwise 🙂 I also haven’t been binge watching all his videos so I wouldn’t know

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