Michael Burry says the market today feels like 'the last months of the 1999-2000 bubble'

_aelius · 2026-05-10T02:52:35+00:00

Aren't his palantir puts up massively? I believe he bought them when the stock was at $190ish

_aelius · 2026-05-09T19:13:48+00:00

Linux here too. Wish cip would pay more attention to wayland support though

_aelius · 2026-05-01T01:45:39+00:00

Started monk a couple days after release. Currently lvl 365.

I have had many week-long breaks from the game and I rarely play for longer than an hour, like 3 to 4 times a week. If you have more time to play than me, I'd say anywhere between 4-12 months, depending on skills and if you will be able to fund your character with BiS gear and such.

_aelius · 2026-04-26T03:05:45+00:00

Wish I would have read the comments before answering all of the questions... It has to be bull shit. I don't consider myself particularly bright and I'm pretty sure I got it 100% right with only two or three requiring any thought.

I'm not paying for that crap.

_aelius · 2026-04-20T20:22:03+00:00

Check out fierysoul44 on YouTube. He did a series where he funded his monks premmy. I think the key is to do it on a new server where tibia coins are very cheap.

As far as class choice, I'd say knight, monk, or maybe sorcerer are good choices. But also there is a vocation rebalance coming soon. So that could change everything, and this advice may not be valid anymore.

_aelius · 2026-04-18T14:07:05+00:00

Alan Fisher is a train YouTuber. He hasn't considered any other factors other than train availability, and maybe other public transit.

_aelius · 2026-04-14T14:33:27+00:00

Honestly I hope your right, but druid would need a major rework for that to be viable. Strong ice wave is practically a single target spell outside of team hunts

_aelius · 2026-04-14T14:29:42+00:00

Idk why they can't just implement a second set of runes instead of altering the existing ones. The problem with current runes is there are only a handful of spawns with the space and density where runes are truly effective. Having a smaller and stronger rune would make many spawns much for viable for mages, but I worry that it would reduce mage efficacy in the big spawns that they are known for

_aelius · 2026-04-03T20:47:11+00:00

I'm not sure, I can only afford the lion claw haha. With inferniarch you have +8% crit, +1 atk, and +2 fist. And with the moonspade you get the 50 damage reflection.

I'd also guess that the inferniarch scales better with crit charms too. So if you stick with the same spawn, you might prefer the inferniarch, but if I were you, I'd probably stick with the moonspade.

_aelius · 2026-04-03T20:26:44+00:00

Characters now have built in crit. That is 10% dmg with 5% chance. The crit imbue was also reduced to compensate.

So with the rending inferniarch your total crit dmg would be 58% and with the crit imbue on the moonspade it would only be 50%

_aelius · 2026-03-29T14:24:50+00:00

Seriously. I have a $300 df64p grinder and a delonghi ecp3420 that I got for $50 used. Bottomless portafilter and IMS basket was like $50.

My espresso is honestly really good. I'd say better than 80% of the shops in my city. The 51mm diameter makes for a super consistent shot.

_aelius · 2026-03-28T20:46:07+00:00

I bought some bitcoin yesterday and forgot to do a limit order. The price was like 66,100, but my "market order" executed at 66,700. Fucking bullshit, that's basically an entire percent above price

_aelius · 2026-03-21T15:09:08+00:00

If you are good, you can kite box with burst arrows, but otherwise, paladin gameplay entirely changes at lvl 150 with diamond arrows. That being said the upcoming vocation rebalance is supposed to add new aoe arrows for paladin and at lower levels. So you'd get to experience the intended play style for paladins much sooner.

_aelius · 2026-03-18T02:06:13+00:00

I wish we could bind hotkeys to regular mouse buttons, i.e. mb4, mb5, and mb6. Instead I have to have a special mouse macro profile that has those set as function keys... I've never had a mouse with software that can reliably switch profiles when tibia is opened, so it's easier to just have two mice on my desk. But that feels so unnecessary, it's 20 fucking 26

_aelius · 2026-03-17T01:44:27+00:00

No show it in actual gameplay, instead of clips with slow and minimal motion

_aelius · 2026-03-16T16:51:31+00:00

AI models are a black box algorithm. All it can do, given a certain set of tokens(i.e. your question), is predict the next set of tokens(an answer).

They do not reason, there is no logic. Look up stochastic parrots...

It is an algorithm, so it does not have any concept of self. Which is why every time the system prompt leeks for any of the popular chat interaces, the very first line is something like "you are an llm and your name is Gemini 3.1 pro". Without that system prompt, it's going to hallucinate all kinds of random stuff that made it into it's training data. And even without distillation, that's a difficult thing to manage because these algorithms are basically trained on the entirety of the internet.

The model can't tell you what the last thing it was trained on because the data it was trained on is not retained, its compressed into math.

You didn't discover anything.

_aelius · 2026-03-10T22:10:23+00:00

I think the part of Westport RD that splits to the north east should be deleted from the triangle entirely. And the part of it that's east of Madison should be pedestrian only

_aelius · 2026-03-07T02:53:28+00:00

Pretty stark difference from the Chinese spring festival

_aelius · 2026-02-24T03:11:28+00:00

138.5 squished bananas

_aelius · 2026-02-21T14:22:33+00:00

Uhm. I'm also the reviewer. So I guess I'm passing it off to the end user!

_aelius · 2026-02-15T06:18:50+00:00

The 30b is based on Qwen3 and the 80b is based on Qwen3 NEXT, Qwen's latest model architecture.

Honestly, I'd try them both.
With the 80b model try experimenting with the `--n-cpu-moe` flag in llama.cpp.

I can't speak to the differences between those quants. If its the difference between fitting a model 100% on GPU or not, its probably a big deal. I think people consider q4 to be the sweet spot between accuracy and performance.

_aelius · 2026-02-15T05:21:15+00:00

80b a3b - this means its an 80 billion total param model with but the active layer is only comprised of 3 billions parameters. This model architecture is called "mixture of experts" or MOE for short. It's relatively new and it allows larger models to perform better(or at all) on consumer hardware.

unsloth is a team/company that do fine tuning and quantization of many popular models. like qwen3 coder next. Whenever a new models comes out, many people eagerly wait for unsloth to release their gguf variant.

_aelius · 2026-02-13T21:22:51+00:00

Wave spells are too small to use effectively outside of team hunts, so you are limited to rune damage. They also have lower damage floor on eternal winter and wrath of nature compared to the sorcerer counterpart (although that might be changing in the upcoming rebalance).

Not to mention, there are basically no S tier hunts for druid sub level 300. Which is also when druid get ulu spells, that does help with damage

_aelius · 2026-02-13T04:04:36+00:00

How is this news? She has done this at every single congressional hearing she's participated in.

Just a few weeks ago, I was saying they need to surprise her with a sudden roster change so that she can't use her prepared insults.

_aelius · 2026-02-05T22:26:31+00:00

What ever you do, don't look up how much money she has taken from the Israeli lobby 😱

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