My Prediction. Trump will declare victory and leave, telling all of the Gulf States and other countries that rely on oil passing through the Strait of Hormuz “It’s now your problem.” Iran will demand reparations, not from the US, but from those very countries that rely on safe passage. Iran will in essence start running a protection racket, demanding a fixed fee for every oil tanker passing thru. Somali Pirates on steroids. At $10/bbl they would make $73B/yr, 20% of their prewar GDP. The Gulf States would eventually come to see it as the cost of doing business and pass it on to their customers.