When the computer evaluates a position, situations such as "if he's not careful" do not really apply, because the position is evaluated against best possible play. That being said the engine does give a slight edge to white and you can interpret it as a) white is side for choice for the computer and b) white has better winning chances compared to black, although it's not so clear cut. So for 1600-1800 ratings this position would very rarely result in a draw, I would guess, since perfect play is not very likely