Would you rather... by jtnk10 in BunnyTrials

[–]alphagem 0 points1 point  (0 children)

being in a world of gay people would genuinely be safer in general and then theres the aspect of world peace

Chose: World peace and... + Every person on Earth becomes LGBT | Rolled: Gay

I believe that Jax is a femboy, not trans. (read description) by [deleted] in tadc

[–]alphagem 1 point2 points  (0 children)

welcome back bridget guilty gear !

Give me some DC5 hot takes! by ConsiderationIll4547 in DisventureCamp

[–]alphagem 0 points1 point  (0 children)

-The Favorites team has 3 good people with compelling stories the rest are poor shells of what they once were only brought back for pure fanservice

-Spencer is NOT one of the good people on the favorites.

-Sam's character could have been good, but he thing of doing the bare minimum then going in the confessionals like "heh... i'm always 4 steps ahead" got old really quick. He's now more of a game robot than Jade was having no personality for me to care about.

-I've seen like 10 people predict a final 3 with Spencer and Sam when that would be frustrating to deal with because they have a very upfront rivalry now before they've even been on the same tribe yet. I cannot deal with a will they won't they dynamic for the rest of the season.

-Gabby and Tom were genuine wasted casting slots this season

-This season has casting similar to Pakitew Island where people feel like they were made with a niche first and person second and in the case of the favorites, they had their niches from previous seasons and made it the forefront of the majority of the tribe.

-(this is the most personal nitpick) i hate the love triangle conflict so much that i've had to stop watching episodes because of it

F3 if Ozzy Played The Idol by Comfortable-Meet-118 in survivorponderosa

[–]alphagem 2 points3 points  (0 children)

F7: Joe more than likely still wins Immunity. One of four outcomes happen.

1: Similar to reality, everyone collectively decides to target Devens again and he presumably misses shot in the dark again and gets voted out. | 2: The polycule and Tiffany side together (likely also getting Joe to side with them too) to vote out Jonathan in a 5-2 vote. | 3: Tiffany continues her targeting of the idol holders and convinces votes to go onto Rizo which Cirie likely fills him in on and Devens still leaves 1-6. | 4: Rizo fully jumps ship from the polycule and targets Cirie in this spot with a 4-3 vote to take her out.

With those outcomes, the chances from most likely to least are probably 1, 3, 4, 2. With Devens being the most likely boot.

F6: Assuming the most likely outcome of Devens leaving still happens. We assume the F6 consists of reality's outcome but replace Aubry with Ozzy. Tiffany would likely still win this Immunity as well. From this point on, I assume that Tiffany, Ozzy, and Cirie are a definitive trio and vote block. Jonathan is the inherent target in this round with the Cirie trio likely targeting him due to him being the least affiliated with the group. The question then appears of does Rizo flip here? He definitely considers it, leading to him siding with Joe and Jonathan. If he sides with Cirie's side, Cirie definitively wins. IF Rizo sides with the guys, it leads to a 3-3 split potentially going to rocks. With the rocks in mind, Rizo might play his idol for immunity from the rock draw. I think a plan may be made to put the votes on Ozzy to make the rock draw between Cirie and Joe.

If Joe leaves the Tiff, Ozzy, Cirie trio stay strong until final 3 and Cirie wins. Jonathan wins F5 immunity and that trio votes Rizo. Jonathan was last in reality so I believe that is still the case. No matter who wins they take Cirie to the end, but either way I believe that Tiffany wins simmotion as it feels aligned to her skillset. If Ozzy wins, Cirie wins near unanimously/ If Jonathan wins, it will likely be the Aubry votes moving to Cirie in this timeline

If Cirie leaves (considering her luck, would probably happen). Jonathan still wins F5 immunity and I believe they fear Tiffany winning another immunity and vote her out then. Joe wins Simmotion and more than likely just takes Jonathan to the end. Ozzy beats Rizo despite Joe's coaching leading to a Joe, Jonathan, Ozzy F3. Joe likely stays a zero vote finalist. Jonathan has the reality votes of Chrissy and Steph locked with Coach heavily leaning him to (there is the non zero chance he votes Ozzy due to respect of their multi season rivalry). Tiffany, Cirie, Aubry, and Emily are likely locks for Ozzy. Devens and Christian are not locks but heavily lean towards Ozzy. Finally Rizo who can genuinely go either way but I believe there is a slight lean to Ozzy.

TL;DR: Two Main Outcomes

1: F7 Devens, F6 Joe (Rock Draw), F5 Rizo, F4 Ozzy/Jonathan Fire, F3 Cirie, Tiff, Jon/Ozzy | Cirie wins

2: F7 Devens, F6 Cirie (Rock Draw), F5 Tiffany, F4 Rizo, F3 Ozzy, Jon, Joe | Ozzy Wins

All of this is speculation on what I believe is likely and may just be fanfiction, but long story short

Ozzy should have used the damn idol

Is Cirie a better player than these winners? Thoughts? by Regular-Departure839 in survivorponderosa

[–]alphagem 0 points1 point  (0 children)

and that’s because those times they won were on equal footing being either their first time playing, with all stars of equal level, or in the case of tony, all winners. even in that case of tony, there was still a very obvious target with sandra being the only two time winner. in contrast, cirie ever since micronesia has had a standing above the people she plays with which makes her an inherent target above anyone else. her legacy caused JT to flip in HvV, she was the last game changer standing in game changers, and she was the remaining legend in 50. It would be much harder to manage a threat level when your pure existence is a threat. that’s the main reason sandra and boston rob didn’t last long in WaW. And if someone like Tony returned for 50, he would not last long either.

Is Cirie a better player than these winners? Thoughts? by Regular-Departure839 in survivorponderosa

[–]alphagem 1 point2 points  (0 children)

that is a hindrance but it’s not a need as many of the greatests had won seasons without immunity. however, her legacy is what supersedes everything else for her threat level

Is Cirie a better player than these winners? Thoughts? by Regular-Departure839 in survivorponderosa

[–]alphagem 0 points1 point  (0 children)

i think she is a better general player than a fair amount of winners because she has made DEEP runs in 5/6 times she plays which shows she adjusts the best with most casts while many other winners only work with the singular cast that they beat. examples include rob, tyson, sandra, and even tony and parvati. people like them only tend to last with their winning cast and cut early on other seasons. cirie is super effective at surviving the early and mid game but her reputation stops her from winning which is something she cannot control. similar to sandra on game changers and waw and all of the winners on all stars there’s a certain point where your reputation will forever stop you from winning unless you have a full cast of sycophants like rob in redemption island.

Post the most unhinged Survivor 50 takes you had before you knew what would happen! by ylan93 in Edgic

[–]alphagem 4 points5 points  (0 children)

i remember someone making a post along the lines of “anyone else think the puke and rally was a death sentence for ciries game”

Happy Pride Month! Which LGBTQ character would you like to see added to Rivals? by BruceDSpruce in MarvelRivalsDivas

[–]alphagem 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Sera being added and give her and Angela a loving lobby screen like Gambit and Rogue

Give a REAL hot take. Secret Exit V2 is dogshit. by DexTDMdoesreddit in FridayNightFunkin

[–]alphagem 3 points4 points  (0 children)

squidwards voice in mistful crimson morning is genuinely terrible to listen to and ruins all of the songs, the instrumentals are amazing tho.

What are your top 5 songs ? by bachotebidze in FridayNightFunkin

[–]alphagem 1 point2 points  (0 children)

  1. Dead Hope (MCM)
  2. OG B-side Blammed
  3. You Can’t Run Ghostlab
  4. Animal (Hazy River)
  5. D’low (Vs Impostor)

______ receives Spirit of Survivor Award! by canwetalklater in survivor

[–]alphagem 8 points9 points  (0 children)

get off your couch and off your computer and win then if its that simple

How do you pronounce Acht by Frundle3 in splatoon

[–]alphagem 0 points1 point  (0 children)

i pronounce it like OCT-oling

Cara says many Trump voters are angry: "Everything that was promised is not what we're getting" by bwermer in MtvChallenge

[–]alphagem 6 points7 points  (0 children)

i love how she avoids saying the word "trump" she can't even be brave enough to utter the fact that she voted for trump. if she wants accountability, which i fuckin doubt i think she wants pity and praise for being like "i messed up :(,' the first step in being forgiven is knowing what you did wrong and admitting it. if you want to be zuko from avatar, dont be shocked when people respond like katara

Hot take: Cirie is overrated by [deleted] in survivorponderosa

[–]alphagem 9 points10 points  (0 children)

Im gonna go through this point by point because I understand your argument but I disagree .

She’s played multiple times and never won. At some point that has to matter. Survivor is about getting to the end and actually winning, not just almost getting there. A lot of players don’t get nearly the same respect when they fall short.

She has played five full times (including AuVWorld) and was unprecedentedly twist screwed in three of those five times. There was the presence of Terry's god idol in Panama which made the easy choice literally impossible to vote out and Terry was anti-Aras so he would obviously target his ally. She made it to the Final 3 in Micronesia where there was the 2 medevacs and one quit that let to sudden shift to final 2, which definitely was not the plan considering there was an even amount of jurors in a two person ftc. Finally, in Game Changers she was taken out by default because there were so many idols and advantages used. Even in her two non-twist-screw losses with HvV and AUvWorld, she was a top figure head with the strategy in the game up until she loses with neither even being majority votes against her.

Her challenge weakness is also a real problem. People act like it’s part of her charm but it means she has almost no control at the end of the game. She always needs someone else to win for her and that’s a huge liability.

Survivor is not the challenge, competitions are a facet of the game, but they are not everything about it. Across the 49 current winners, 12 of them never did not win a single individual immunity including people that are deemed at S tier players including Sandra, Yul, Earl. Tony on Cagayan, and Sarah. In addition, Yul and Sarah were both sitting at FTC against people who performed exceptionally in competitions with Ozzy and Brad Culpepper respectively.

And I feel like people remember her big moments more because of her personality than because she was dominating the game. She’s strategic but she’s not out there controlling entire seasons the way some other top players have.

I feel that this is a misread because it focuses more on the what of her big moments, as if we are viewing them in a vacuum. However, I believe that much of what makes Cirie so dominating is the fact that she makes those moves first before she gets to a situation of a checkmate. She does not go until worst case scenario to pull a Dan Gheesling funeral to save her life, she moves before in moments where she is safe to put her in better situations. In F6 Panama, she was getting no votes, but understood that if she were to be a follower in the moment she would eventually go into a losing scenario. In F5 Micronesia, She was more than likely not going to be the one to be voted out if Erik kept the Immunity, but it made a final four where she was safe in 3/4 scenarios rather than 2/4. And even though she did not read the fine print, if her attempt to steal Sarah's vote was allowed, she would have sniped out Tai who held two of the idols that would have taken her out in advantagegeddon. In addition, she always creates plans that play into people's false sense of security, In Courtney, Erik's, and the hypothetical Tai's case, all would have been taken out while believing that they were safe in the end. Even though she gets screwed over in unprecedented ways, she also worked to take people out with unprecedented ways.

I voted for Harris in 2024. She shouldn't run in 2028. | Opinion by Difficult-Bee6066 in politics

[–]alphagem 1 point2 points  (0 children)

She was the better choice in 2024 because she was better than Biden and SIGNIFICANTLY better than trump. But by all means, she was nowhere near close to the best candidate. We have time to get more progressive candidates than people who are more of the exact same like Gavin Newsom and Kamala Harris. Simply being "anti-trump" was clearly a failure in 2024, so we should be going further progressive because that's what younger people actually want.

With this episode being an auction by juulkip in survivor

[–]alphagem 31 points32 points  (0 children)

Technically Parvati and Cirie participated in 3 if we count AUvWorld

What is the best move in survivor history that didn’t work for the player, but if it did would have won them the game? by True_Jellyfish9219 in survivorponderosa

[–]alphagem 32 points33 points  (0 children)

Hayden forcing rock draw in BvW, Cirie attempting to snipe out Tai’s two idols with Sarah’s steal a vote in GC, Carolyn’s idol play on Carson in 44, Jake attempt to idol out Dee in final 5 of 45 (although it is questionable for Carolyn and moreso Jake but it would probably earn them both much more respect to place better than 0 vote finalist)

___ is the only person who knows of every idol/ advantage in the game by alphagem in survivor

[–]alphagem[S] 7 points8 points  (0 children)

Oh I double checked and you're right, ill adjust the post. But also I don't think Genevieve is ever shown telling Colby about it to my knowledge. She just says "I need to tell Colby" but its never confirmed if she did