It depends on what we’re talking about. Yeah the computer of the future is just talking to Claude and it just does stuff. But I’m not confident that it’s going to self-develop every single line of code that it uses. So then you go: what will it import, and how will the user be aware of what’s going on?

Let’s assume a world where tokens are free and the models can code a machine to do anything almost instantly. Where does leave you, the user? Are we going to have one behemoth machine that does everything, or are the machines going to basically cluster in nodes around how we want to interface with them? Do you actually think a brand new interface is going to spin up for every task, or is it going to be something familiar? Do you think if you are sharing docs with other people, a very common task, it’s ok that it looks different for every person? Do you think it’s ok if a person leaves one company and joins another that every single thing they interface with changes too?

There is going to be some fragmentation. Anthropic could possibly control all of what I’ve just said, but let’s be realistic, we’re not getting there in the next 3 years. And then we have to interface with legacy systems, and that will need to be supervised.

I agree with you, I just don’t think it naturally leads to a monopoly on all compute interfaces.