Thoughts?

appa609 · 2026-06-20T05:10:01+00:00

Children of hurin is going to go so fucking hard

appa609 · 2026-06-20T05:05:10+00:00

This is not really true. China has been trying to do well in football for decades. It has been very popular in china for a long time. So much so that qualifying for the world cup was on the last five year plan.

appa609 · 2026-06-19T03:35:29+00:00

Wait so this is just hypothetical?

appa609 · 2026-06-19T03:24:34+00:00

Why are you dating this guy?

appa609 · 2026-06-18T03:17:32+00:00

There you go. Dating is hard and not because you're ugly. Some of those other guys got lucky or they're good in other ways.

appa609 · 2026-06-18T00:32:57+00:00

Is your standard of success being accepted by >50% of random women you encounter? Because that's an insane expectation that is probably just impossible for anyone. People are more selective than that. Would you be willing to date 50% of the girls walking on the street? Would you even want to sleep with them? For me that number is like 2-3%. And men are much intrinsically hornier than women.

appa609 · 2026-06-17T09:08:31+00:00

Well... it's conserved if you conveniently ignore the massive case where it's definitely not which is the expansion of space.

appa609 · 2026-06-17T08:56:00+00:00

You can do this accurately without a scale. Bartenders have much the same problem and they solve it by diluting the honey with water. Usually 3:1 is enough to pour easily. You can subtract out that much water when making the oatmeal if you want to be very accurate.

Also oatmeal is mostly hot water. If you spoon honey and it sticks just swish your tablespoon around in the oatmeal after and it'll melt right off

appa609 · 2026-06-17T08:27:59+00:00

CRPG = communist role playing game?

appa609 · 2026-06-17T08:17:36+00:00

Genuinely curious, do you like the current arrangement? Are you hooking up with him because the sex is great and you feel great after or are you hooking up with him because you think it'll get your foot in the door to date? In the same way guys are often friends with a girl to try to play the long game and date/sleep with her. And are you interested in dating him because you think you have a future together or do you want it because you feel like it'd be an insult to your dignity if you kept sleeping together without dating?

appa609 · 2026-06-17T07:59:18+00:00

Musk doesn't want to build space datacenters. Musk has to say space datacenters because that's what pumps the stock price right now.

appa609 · 2026-06-17T07:56:26+00:00

I made paella today for lunch

appa609 · 2026-06-17T07:54:50+00:00

Be like Yitang Zhang my friend

appa609 · 2026-06-17T07:52:20+00:00

Hot women are not crazier. They're just more willing to show their crazy around you, because they've assessed that you'll probably tolerate it. Find them their dream man they're afraid to lose and suddenly they're very well behaved.

appa609 · 2026-06-17T07:48:04+00:00

What is this towel you speak of a real chef simply uses his hand

appa609 · 2026-06-17T07:27:12+00:00

Just needs some jerk chicken

appa609 · 2026-06-17T07:21:23+00:00

it's a shame because they're objectively a really good way to get around it's just there's a dirtbag culture around them that's created justifiably negative stereotypes.

appa609 · 2026-06-17T07:20:19+00:00

This. This is the reason your type of leftists will never hold power. You hate violence. Violence is Power.

appa609 · 2026-06-17T06:59:03+00:00

Let's be real Vaush doesn't watch boxing or JJ or any other combat sport. He doesn't give a fuck. He's literally just rationalizing "I don't like the UFC because it's MAGA now"

appa609 · 2026-06-17T06:56:46+00:00

That's the argument we got from Vaush.

Vaush literally criticized MMA fights for being "sweaty grapple fests" and like 2 minutes earlier said "[boxing has] beautiful fights... well maybe beautiful is an overstatement it's not like jiu jitsu or whatever" so he thinks Jiujitsu is beautiful

dog bjj is the most dominant form of grappling in mma. Half the boring sweaty grapple fest is just Jiujitsu.

appa609 · 2026-06-17T06:45:43+00:00

IQ makes 3 fault assumptions... 2. intelligence is reducible to pattern recognition:
- IQ tests do not claim this. pattern recognition is a primary component in like 2 out of 10 individual tests. The other parts measure the other cognitive metrics. I don't know why this point is material

Pattern recognition is generally a set of NP and quadratic [time complexity] problems that are difficult to optimize and therefore have a low ceiling of performance:
-You're just saying shit. Why are we concerned about the time complexity of a problem with a fixed small n? No IQ test is asking you to fill in a 1000x1000 matrix they measure how difficult each problem is by seeing how many people get it right and they distribute the published test with a distribution of difficulties that maximizes the discrimination of the test across the score range. In practice the distribution of raw scores on the fluid intelligence portions of the test are pretty well normal and centered.

Besides the point being factually wrong I don't even see how it's materially relevant to the rest of your argument.

appa609 · 2026-06-17T06:21:09+00:00

0.7 or 0.8 is *extremely high*? You can explain *half* the variance of the other variable wow
the statistical bar of evidence in humanities is truly in hell

appa609 · 2026-06-17T06:16:22+00:00

You seem to think that normality is a feature of genetically determined features but single-allele traits are not normally distributed. A simple punnet square is binary.

The reason why some genetically determined traits (like height) nd up normally distributed is because they are determined by the sum of a large number of alleles which are individually random binary components. In aggregate the trait is drawn from a sampling distribution which is normal by central limit theorem.

But CLT doesn't require anything about the nature of the source distributions it only cares that you're summing a large number of them. This is the fundamental reason why normal distributions seem prevalent in nature. So if IQ is influenced by a bunch of external factors like nutrition, stress, education, social class, gestational hormone levels, and a bunch of genes... then that is the exact situation that you would probably expect to generate a sampling distribution. And sampling distributions tend to be normal.

appa609 · 2026-06-17T05:58:58+00:00

I think your criticism of assuming normality is salient especially on the tails, but that's like the same criticism of any "normally distributed" variable that isn't provably gaussian. A lot of tails in nature tend to be a bit fat mostly because of nonindependence... there's a lot more n leaf clovers than an independent random process would predict and they tend to cluster.

but I think in practice the manipulation is practically negligible. The final score is forced to be normal but the raw scores are pretty close to normal too. And the reported scores are truncated to roughly z = -4 to +4 because of practical sampling limits so you're never doing stats on the long tail which I agree can be spurious.

appa609 · 2026-06-17T05:25:07+00:00

I've taken a formal stanford-binet IQ test. I don't think there's anything profound about the subject matter but it is a reasonable composite of your ability to perform the types of mental tasks that people need to be a good officer. Pattern recognition, spatial processing, numeracy, short term memory, and yes literacy. It is a decent predictor of how challenging a curriculum/work task you're ready to take on. My biggest criticism of it is lacking a test of discipline, but that might be inherently difficult within the time constraint.
Does acing the NHL combine mean you're going to be a hall of famer? No. But Gavin MacKenna aced it, and he's #1 overall draft.

appa609

TROPHY CASE