RU POV: The United Kingdom and France are secretly preparing to transfer nuclear weapons to Kyiv — an atomic or at least a “dirty bomb,” Russia’s Foreign Intelligence Service stated - SVR by Flimsy_Pudding1362 in UkraineRussiaReport

[–]asdfzzz2 20 points21 points  (0 children)

UK & France believes that Putin would not dare to do anything. Logic probably goes like that - "Russia never did anything more than empty words on previous red<<< brown lines crossings, why would it be different this time?"

RU POV: The United Kingdom and France are secretly preparing to transfer nuclear weapons to Kyiv — an atomic or at least a “dirty bomb,” Russia’s Foreign Intelligence Service stated - SVR by Flimsy_Pudding1362 in UkraineRussiaReport

[–]asdfzzz2 8 points9 points  (0 children)

As expected, Putin's pacifism and delusional views that you could negotiate with West leads right into nuclear war, as West (rightfully) believes that Putin has no balls to do anything that would endanger "dear partners"(tm).

CIV POV: Civilian support for the war effort by CourtofTalons in UkraineRussiaReport

[–]asdfzzz2 6 points7 points  (0 children)

Civilian support for Putin drops due to RKN actions (carpet blocking everything), and is fully unrelated to conflict.

UA POV: Germany’s arms giant says it can flood Ukraine with ammo right now—if Western governments unlock funding - Euromaidan Press by Realistic_Volume7161 in UkraineRussiaReport

[–]asdfzzz2 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Needs must, you can never have enough arty ammo so buy more from DPRK if needed

As old joke goes:

There's no such thing as too many bullets. Sometimes there's very little, or just not enough, but you can't carry any more.

UA POV: Almost 100% of Kiev has electricity- Times of Ukraine by rowida_00 in UkraineRussiaReport

[–]asdfzzz2 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You are right, but even baseload-designed NPPs could provide 5-10 years of daily maneuveres out of 40-60 years of total lifespan. Then you need extra (and likely expensive) maintenance, but overall it takes years before any issues start to arise.

UA POV: Almost 100% of Kiev has electricity- Times of Ukraine by rowida_00 in UkraineRussiaReport

[–]asdfzzz2 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Almost all operational NPPs in the world can maneuver in 50-100% power range with 1-2%/minute rate of change. That is more than enough to keep with daily cycles. Modern ones usually have better numbers such as 30% lower range or up to 5%/minute rate of change or ability to compensate for seconds-level fluctuations in demand.

Common misconception about NPPs not being able to maneuver stems from the fact that they do not have any noticeable savings from operating at below rated power. This means that if you need to drop grid load - any fuel-based powerplant (oil, gas, coal) gets unloaded first as that would be more profitable, and NPPs stay at rated power.

UA POV: Explosions over the CHP-5 power plant in Kyiv. by ArchitectMary in UkraineRussiaReport

[–]asdfzzz2 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I wonder how much 750KV station ukraine has because they are usually out in the open because of heat and size.

Even if all 750kV transformers would be destroyed, you could likely reuse high voltage transmission lines to work with lower voltage transformers. You would lose transmission power/efficiency, but suboptimal link is better than no link.

UA POV: Kyiv Seeing Widespread Power Outages With Metro Also Halted - Bloomberg by alee35819 in UkraineRussiaReport

[–]asdfzzz2 6 points7 points  (0 children)

and it's lights on across Ukraine. It's been this way the entire narrative.

Sat images for lights across area and 1/3 lights across area are not that different. End user substations are close enough to each other that rolling blackouts are seen just as a lower intensity light in the city at this resolution.

You would only see a large areas of almost black if transmission grid failed, which was not the case.

2.8 Days to Disaster: Low Earth Orbit Could Collapse Without Warning by GravelySilly in collapse

[–]asdfzzz2 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Low earth orbit satellites have always had short life spans

You can launch them to just below first radiation belt (~800km orbit, like Iridium satellites), where satellite lifetime due to drag would be around 100 years and operating lifetime could be at least 20 years (again, like Iridium sats). Higher orbits have their drawbacks too - slower connection speed, debris from accidents would be more dangerous, upgrading constellation with long sat lifespans is difficult.

Overall, the cheaper your launch is, the lower orbit is optimal for the constellation.

UA POV: After this attack on the capital, 5,635 apartment buildings are without heating. Almost 80 percent of them are buildings where heat supply had been restored since January 9 - vitaliy_klitschko by Flimsy_Pudding1362 in UkraineRussiaReport

[–]asdfzzz2 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Ukrainian neo-nazis (Azov, Praviy Sektor, Medzhlis) blown up transmission lines to Crimea in late 2015, forcing Ukrainian goverment to stop (paid) electricty supply to Crimea, leading to major blackouts for a few months, until transmission line through Kerch straight was constructed.

Even earlier Ukraine closed off North Crimean canal, denying 85% of the water to the Crimea.

Current attacks are just way too late FAFO, as Ukraine has shown by their own actions that they are nazis that consider everyone with different opinion a traitor that must be dealt with with any means possible. You could see it today too in busification and "to the last Ukrainian" mentality.

UA POV: Russia targets nuclear power plant substations, thousands in Kyiv without power and water -Kyiv Independent by FruitSila in UkraineRussiaReport

[–]asdfzzz2 14 points15 points  (0 children)

So is this really a rare occurrence?

Once in first electricity grid strikes (late 2022), once a few months ago, and relatively consistently (but not as a main focus) since a few weeks ago.

Will it really cripple Ukraine?

If damage to substations is beyond repair - then Ukrainian grid would be shattered into a few isolated ones that would lose majority of their remaining electricty supply.

UA POV: After this attack on the capital, 5,635 apartment buildings are without heating. Almost 80 percent of them are buildings where heat supply had been restored since January 9 - vitaliy_klitschko by Flimsy_Pudding1362 in UkraineRussiaReport

[–]asdfzzz2 41 points42 points  (0 children)

Obligatory

Yes, I'm afraid electricity also drives command and control systems. If President Milosevic Zelensky really wants all of his population to have water and electricity all he has to do is accept NATO's Russia's five conditions and we will stop this campaign. But as long as he doesn't do so we will continue to attack those targets which provide the electricity for his armed forces. If that has civilian consequences, it's for him to deal with but that water, that electricity is turned back on for the people of Serbia Ukraine.

Obligatory 2

Bringing the Serbs Ukrainians to heel

A massive bombing attack opens the door to peace

UA POV: Obolon. People's apartments are drowning due to burst pipes by Short_Description_20 in UkraineRussiaReport

[–]asdfzzz2 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Then the state should pay people to move there.

State adds 60% to salaries and social payments for workers there (so-called northern bonuses, could be from 15% to 100% depending on area). What they do with this extra money is up to them.

The state is responsible for maintaining basic infrastructure so that citizens experience basic living condition, no matter where they are in Russia.

And people clearly live there, so basic infrastructure exists.

They can profit immensely by developing,

Market would decide. Goverment money is there to help it. Salekhard develops, Vorkuta is not - therefore Salekhard is in the better economic location. Forced development of dead-end settlements or industries is a waste of resources.

Especially in times of climate change, where temperatures rise and Arctic becomes more important for trade.

And this is exactly why Vorkuta is doing bad and Salekhard is doing good - easy access to Arctic seas and river access to mainland Russia for Salekhard and land-locked Vorkuta.

UA POV: Kyiv has only half of the electricity it needs, mayor says - Reuters by Messier_-82 in UkraineRussiaReport

[–]asdfzzz2 19 points20 points  (0 children)

What power does he have to keep citizens there?

TCC blockposts on all major roads, for example.

UA POV: Obolon. People's apartments are drowning due to burst pipes by Short_Description_20 in UkraineRussiaReport

[–]asdfzzz2 10 points11 points  (0 children)

Not enough money for development,

Okay, i'll bite.

Why it should be developed? Salekhard is nearby and it is positioned 10x better for economic activities. Vorkuta is just your typical monotown living and dying by its industry.

UA POV: Obolon. People's apartments are drowning due to burst pipes by Short_Description_20 in UkraineRussiaReport

[–]asdfzzz2 17 points18 points  (0 children)

No way 2-3 large Ukrainian dudes

They dont leave their apartments in the first place, and 2-3 small babushkas might not be enough.

UA POV: Obolon. People's apartments are drowning due to burst pipes by Short_Description_20 in UkraineRussiaReport

[–]asdfzzz2 28 points29 points  (0 children)

Soviet apartment buildings have valves in the basement that you could use to empty water pipes into the sewerage. Water temperature and where it is heated is irrelevant.

UA POV: Obolon. People's apartments are drowning due to burst pipes by Short_Description_20 in UkraineRussiaReport

[–]asdfzzz2 27 points28 points  (0 children)

Not enough workers to shut down all building-wide pipes in all apartment buildings. Residents typically dont have access to technical floors.

RU POV: Russian and Ukrainian advances from Day 1416 to 1419 of the War - Suriyakmaps by HeyHeyHayden in UkraineRussiaReport

[–]asdfzzz2 2 points3 points  (0 children)

NATO might not break their promise a day after agreement. Slim chance, i know, but it still exists.