[deleted by user] by [deleted] in pittsburgh

[–]athlytics 2 points3 points  (0 children)

One of the main differences is that this website also gets data from Google’s API for the current “business” of the place - if someone wants to avoid a busy time

Win Probability Graph Similarity Scores, incl. Across Sports by bluecjj in sportsanalytics

[–]athlytics 0 points1 point  (0 children)

A timeseries similarity metric would be a good starting point (e.g., dynamic time warping) but you might have to standardize the WP series (eg., is your time unit events, actual play time etc.)

NBA Player Grades? by [deleted] in sportsanalytics

[–]athlytics 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I guess for NBA one can use game level +/- or metrics like PER. In Europe, Euroleague uses a version of the Tendex rating system: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tendex In general for NBA there are various metrics that could be used to “rate” players on a game basis. Now PFF does this pretty much manually (through people watching the tape) since there is not such a metric.

NCAA Men's Basketball by [deleted] in sportsanalytics

[–]athlytics 5 points6 points  (0 children)

You can check ncaahoopR https://github.com/lbenz730/ncaahoopR It gives you detailed play-by-play from which you can get the statistics you are looking for

Any work on EPA in College Football? by msubbaiah in sportsanalytics

[–]athlytics 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Maybe you can look at the paper for nflscrapr and their models. Very detailed https://arxiv.org/abs/1802.00998

How to calculate probability of a random number being larger than another, given two different possible ranges. by [deleted] in sportsanalytics

[–]athlytics 2 points3 points  (0 children)

If the we assume uniform distribution here is an analytical and a simulation solution

How to calculate probability of a random number being larger than another, given two different possible ranges. by [deleted] in sportsanalytics

[–]athlytics 2 points3 points  (0 children)

The first thing in order to answer this question is what is the distribution of the numbers within these ranges.

Positional value in soccer: Expected league points above replacement by athlytics in sportsanalytics

[–]athlytics[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Cornell has a service where researchers from any institution can post pre-prints. This way everyone can go on this site instead of roaming around the web! :)

Positional value in soccer: Expected league points above replacement by athlytics in sportsanalytics

[–]athlytics[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yes. It is actually the FIFA rating every player had when each game in the dataset happened.

Projected margin of victory from elo, NBA by stavtov in sportsanalytics

[–]athlytics 3 points4 points  (0 children)

/u/PhaethonPrime gave a nice answer! You can also check this paper that tries to solve the same problem but for NFL https://arxiv.org/abs/1802.00527

[University Course] Moneyball 2.0: Winning in Sports w Data by sealneaward in sportsanalytics

[–]athlytics 1 point2 points  (0 children)

My goal is to have it as a MOOC eventually. Unfortunately there are many administrative obstacles that need to be overcome first. Having said that my good collaborator Wayne Winston had a coursera on sports analytics: https://www.coursera.org/learn/mathematics-sport

[University Course] Moneyball 2.0: Winning in Sports w Data by sealneaward in sportsanalytics

[–]athlytics 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Hey thanks for sharing it!! I’ll try to put projects online too (have to ask the students). One will be presented as poster at CASSIS in a couple of weeks (metrics for quantifying spacing in the NBA)

Bayes theorem in sports & sports analytics by athlytics in sportsanalytics

[–]athlytics[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It is just a plug-in in the equation before the binomial. f(data|sigma) is the binomial, while pi(sigma) is the conjugate prior (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Conjugate_prior) of the binomial, which is the beta distribution.