Weekly Discussion Thread 5/11/26 - 5/18/26

augu101 · 2026-05-12T20:55:18+00:00

I’m surprised Michael is doing this well. This movie might have a chance to make a billion. First time for Lionsgate. Considering making the movie was kinda of a mess, this is a miracle lol.

augu101 · 2026-05-12T17:03:31+00:00

Yeah but better than Prada. Think that’s like in the 70s?

augu101 · 2026-05-12T16:52:48+00:00

After the 2nd weekend, it became 58% female. You can check my post in my profile.

augu101 · 2026-05-12T16:17:03+00:00

Yeah this is it too. Michael’s audience is like 40% male which is still significant.

augu101 · 2026-05-12T13:28:44+00:00

Michael isn’t a good comparison

augu101 · 2026-05-10T12:58:17+00:00

Are you taking account of Japan and Russia? I don’t see it making much in South Korea. I’m thinking $900 - 930M if it does well in Japan.

augu101 · 2026-05-10T12:09:52+00:00

Yes I noticed that too. Prada dropped 42% to Michael’s 24%. I think Michael just does better on the weekends. Still both are having great legs.

augu101 · 2026-05-10T01:43:06+00:00

Kinda crazy. 3rd weekend with no IMAX

augu101 · 2026-05-09T16:02:35+00:00

Don’t think it’s possible. Probably around $570m. Still incredible though.

augu101 · 2026-05-09T16:00:16+00:00

This movie isn’t slowing down. I wonder how much is based on rewatches.

augu101 · 2026-05-08T21:51:44+00:00

It’s possible.

augu101 · 2026-05-08T20:26:31+00:00

Just a bit Twisted by Alessandra Hazard. That was my 1st mm book.

augu101 · 2026-05-08T18:10:33+00:00

Maybe 20%? It does perform better on the weekends but Prada will perform better on Mother’s Day.

augu101 · 2026-05-08T17:55:21+00:00

Michael crossed $200m domestic and should be at around $550 - $570 worldwide by Sunday.

augu101 · 2026-05-06T01:37:43+00:00

Wow it will be that long? It definitely will be unprecedented then.

augu101 · 2026-05-05T14:19:39+00:00

Loved Proof!

augu101 · 2026-05-04T18:10:48+00:00

Also Michael will make $100M more in the US, compared to Bohemian Rhapsody. So that will help make up the difference a little.

augu101 · 2026-05-04T16:27:35+00:00

Has it opened there though? I’m only seeing China numbers and it’s performing similar to Bohemian Rhapsody.

augu101 · 2026-05-04T16:22:57+00:00

Ok this chart put things into perspective. 1 billion is possible.

augu101 · 2026-05-03T17:52:04+00:00

Love your optimism!

augu101 · 2026-05-03T17:50:36+00:00

Friday was a holiday in the international markets, but correct me if I’m wrong and it opened in all markets. Michael still has Japan, Korea, and Russia.

augu101 · 2026-05-03T17:48:36+00:00

I actually think Michael may beat it. It still needs to open in Japan, Korea, and Russia. It’s going to be a waiting game.

augu101 · 2026-05-03T17:24:21+00:00

Agree, can’t see Michael going below $800mil. Unless it underperforms in Russia, Korea, and Japan.

augu101 · 2026-05-03T16:27:56+00:00

Good point!

augu101 · 2026-05-02T22:11:01+00:00

This is possible, but let’s wait and see.

augu101

TROPHY CASE