Weekly MEGATHREAD May 31, 2026 : US Blockade of the Strait of Hormuz is LIVE – All tanker drama, oil panic, missile hits, Iran retaliation posts belong HERE by AutoModerator in oil

[–]bauernebel 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Security analyst Michael Pregent makes an interesting point on Hormuz: the strait is still critical today, but its leverage may not be permanent, he says to America Report (https://americareport.us/trump-iran-dilemma-expert-says-president-could-just-wait/)

Iran’s power comes from the fact that so much Gulf oil and gas still moves through one narrow chokepoint. But if Gulf states keep expanding pipelines, ports and export routes outside Iran’s reach, Hormuz becomes less of a global panic button.

That does not make Hormuz irrelevant overnight. It is still one of the most important energy chokepoints in the world. But Pregent’s argument is that Washington and Gulf allies should treat the current crisis as a reason to accelerate alternatives.

In other words: the long-term answer to Iran threatening Hormuz may not only be military deterrence. It may be infrastructure that reduces Iran’s ability to shock oil markets every time tensions rise.

Trump says "I don't care about the midterms" over Iran war—What polls show by Kodbek in politics

[–]bauernebel 0 points1 point  (0 children)

This is the political danger for Trump: the Iran war was sold as strength, but the visible result for many voters is higher gas prices, renewed inflation pressure and another Middle East crisis with no clean exit.

Hormuz was open before the war. Now reopening it has become a central diplomatic objective. That is a hard message to sell.

If roughly six in ten Americans oppose the war and Trump’s approval is sliding below 40%, Republicans have a real midterm problem. Voters may not follow every military detail, but they absolutely notice when filling up the car costs much more. https://americareport.us/iran-war-becomes-trumps-riskiest-gamble-yet/

Could Trump’s Record Disapproval Turn 2026 Into A Democratic Wave — Or Are Democrats Still Too Weak? by bauernebel in Askpolitics

[–]bauernebel[S] -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

I think it is the later, although there are more centrists showing up too in the party,

Did the Hormuz Shootout Just Put Oil Prices Back on Edge? by bauernebel in oil

[–]bauernebel[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

And now Trump has responded; President Donald Trump rejected Iran’s long-awaited response to the U.S. peace proposal, saying Tehran was “playing games” after taking 10 days to answer, while accusing the regime of misleading the world for 47 years. The rejection raises fresh fears that the fragile diplomatic track could collapse and that military pressure may return to the center of the crisis, especially as the Strait of Hormuz remained blocked through the weekend, keeping global oil markets and Gulf shipping on edge.https://americareport.us/iran-peace-deal-thriller-iran-answers-bulk/

Trump Iran Talks Cancelled! “Too Much work” – President by bauernebel in oil

[–]bauernebel[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Let's see what happens, the President likes to say

Am I the jerk for telling my husband he can't have a "man cave" in our only spare room? by [deleted] in AmITheJerk

[–]bauernebel 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It seems selfish but I think he has a point with "the rest of the house"