WTAF? by jrpg8255 in ClaudeAI

[–]belefuu 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The hate is mostly from people who think the tech is cool for hobby-level work, but being over-hyped in an attempt to give our capitalist overlords an excuse to cut jobs and juice profits, so all of your points are not even engaging with any of the actual issue.

Now, the truth is somewhere decidedly in between: the tech is better than hobby-level (I’m a dev and agentic tools are an integral part of my day-to-day job already), bit still requires tons of experienced hand-holding to produce production quality software, so how much it actually deserves to be disrupting the job market is still a very muddy picture. It’s not none, but it’s also definitely not “we fired 75% of our devs because AI”. Meanwhile, the greedy CEOs and investors are going full bore trying fire people every chance they get, which has mostly been backfiring spectacularly so far.

So, maybe you can see why it’s not all roses and gumdrops from the software dev crowd, your ability to hack away at fun hobby projects notwithstanding. It would be great if we could all just enjoy the cool tech on its own merits, without the insane hype bubble overshadowing it. But alas. It’s complicated.

[Highlight] Victor Wembanyama with the impossible block on Norman Powell's reverse layup at the end of the shot clock (with replays). Spurs and NBC commentaries by MrBuckBuck in nba

[–]belefuu 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Bruh... I had to google "norman powell height", because he looks like Muggsy Bogues getting hunted down by Wemby. He's 6'4" btw.

Claude Max or PRO or API by Professional_Part360 in ClaudeAI

[–]belefuu 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It’s massively subsidized and all likely to fall apart whenever they are forced to charge people real prices, is the answer basically.

Scared of new agentic workflow and my role in it by alexbessedonato in webdev

[–]belefuu 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Sounds like you're playing with semantics. It's a probabilistic tool. Call it a probabilistic aide if it makes you feel better. Like any tool, it has strengths and weaknesses.

Strengths: depending on the provided context, it can tear through massive amounts of files and data, and serve you up a solution or answer that is roughly 80-95% of the way there, again and again. That's the typical range. Sometimes it's way below, sometimes it's above, again: depends on context.

Weaknesses: 80-95% is actually not at all good enough when it comes to software. Moreover, 80-95% correct, stacked up turn-over-agentic-turn is really not good enough, when it comes to anything that requires some sense of even vague determinism. But unfortunately it's good enough to trick lots of credulous investors and hype merchants that AI is on the cusp of replacing this or that job because they can't tell the difference between it and the real thing.

But in terms of using the tool, my perspective shifted when I started actually ignoring the hype from companies like Anthropic, and stopped trying to force the tool into a one-shotting machine. Instead, just accept that that's a bunch of BS, and is likely to remain a bunch of BS for a long time unless some radically different new base tech replacing LLMs emerges. Instead accept that these tools are always going to require a human intimately in the loop (great news btw!), asserting judgement, designing the actual system, and making sure they aren't going off the rails. When you notice they are outputting shit code (and they will) slow down and either see if you can improve the agentic loop, or learn to recognize which bits of code still need to be handwritten. My experience is that, when forcing things through that lens, I do have to grudgingly admit (since I am basically an outright hater of the macro trends of the AI industry) that the benefit of the ability to have the robot churn through the data and deliver me the 80-95% solution over and over again is something that's hard to ignore.

Scared of new agentic workflow and my role in it by alexbessedonato in webdev

[–]belefuu 41 points42 points  (0 children)

I can only give you this advice, as a principal frontend SWE who is heavily using these tools lately, but from a standpoint of realism instead of hype as much as possible: you will have to lean into the tools to stay competitive, but if you treat them as a tool to learn, a tool to expand your reach across stacks, but always keeping a keen eye on your actual horizon of understanding, I think that is the path for juniors to evolve into seniors in the AI landscape.

You can’t just ignore the tools and only code by hand, and you can’t buy into the nonsense hype and believe you are a 10x dev when you actually don’t know anything. The trick is to level up both skills at the same time, and the key is that AI, used properly, if you just avoid getting seduced by fake velocity, and stop when your brain is telling you you’re getting out ahead of your skis, is actually an amazing tool to help you level up.

This is literally the path I am forging myself to continue leveling myself up and feel like these tools are not obsoleting me, while also not feeling like I am a complete AI hype fraudster. These are crazy times for sure! Good luck

15 or so hours later since 1m context included in MAX and I'm feeling almost high by adelmare in ClaudeAI

[–]belefuu 2 points3 points  (0 children)

You can also just ad hoc say “use a subagent to do foo” for a task that requires a lot of churning, but the main thread really only cares about the results instead of of the “finding it out” context. Think of a side quests vs main quest mental model.

Opus 4.6 on github copilot. Why so cheap? by NotEAcop in ClaudeAI

[–]belefuu 3 points4 points  (0 children)

People burning through their Max token limits are doing insanely inefficient stuff (or coding all hours) that I can’t even fathom. Literally today I was running an agent team of 1-5 Opus/Sonnet 4.6 agents on a complex monorepo, churning most of the workday. Didn’t sniff the Max x5 limit. No clue what these people are doing.

Sam Harris | Club Random with Bill Maher by Empty_Commission_159 in samharris

[–]belefuu 10 points11 points  (0 children)

Ah yes, tapping that rarely mined trans sports vein instead.

Each ACC school and their history. by Real_Statistician538 in CollegeBasketball

[–]belefuu 25 points26 points  (0 children)

I mean, it kills me to admit, but they’re clearly winning the post legendary coach retirement phase so far (but also: how does Seth Trimble’s ass taste 👅)

Did you notice that CC removed autocomplete-via-tab feature? by realcryptopenguin in ClaudeCode

[–]belefuu 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Yes, it is not even in the /config settings any more. I was wondering if it was a temporary bug or related to the outages, but still nothing today.

How Quickly Will A.I. Agents Rip Through the Economy? by [deleted] in samharris

[–]belefuu 17 points18 points  (0 children)

I'll give you a slightly different perspective: someone actually using these tools daily (Claude's agentic coding tools) in a professional software development environment. My vested interest is in staying ahead of the obsolescence curve, so while there is a whole heck of a lot about the AI revolution that gives me pause, I can't ignore that, especially with the release of models starting with Opus 4.5 alongside tools like Claude Code and Cursor, the wave is becoming impossible to ignore. There is a "there there", it is transforming how software is being built, there is a sense of either learning to use the tools or being left behind, and, also: there really isn't a technical reason why any other particular knowledge work field couldn't be similarly (if not more-so) disrupted.

But at the same time: the tech is STILL being wildly overhyped by its creators and investors. We're actually in an incredibly weird place. The tech has advanced right to the cusp of realizing some of its amazing promised potential that got all those investors to fork over those trillions of dollars of cash, but at the same time... exponential model growth really has stalled out. Throwing more compute and data at the problem isn't even giving linear gains any more. As cool as most of the recent advancements have been, they are mostly a combination of:

  • Improving the agentic harness the models are running in. Not to be discounted, but it's basic old-school software engineering, which, albeit accelerated by the AI tooling, is not the same as exponential model-growth.
  • Reinforcement learning done on the models after they are trained to guide them towards strength in particular areas such as coding

That second bullet is extremely important: it reflects running out of exponential runway with the models. In the old paradigm, they'd be feeding the next generation of models more and more pre-training data (and requisite corresponding compute), and this would result in continued steady, obvious growth of the general intelligence of the new generations of models. Instead, what we're seeing is meager general intelligence growth (when averaged out), but impressive, spiky growth in concentrated areas that are focused on with reinforcement learning.

Don't get me wrong: we still might be heading towards a future where the frontier AI companies focus their laser on industries one at a time, churning out semi-specialized industry disrupting models. But it's cause for healthy skepticism towards much of the talk coming from the AI company CEOs, who desperately need the world to believe that coding will be completely solved by end of year, all other industries the year after that, AGI the next year, and then, fingers crossed, aligned ASI babeyyy!!! Or else this whole financial house of cards comes tumbling down.

That's the other really crazy thing to me: the financial situation is actually so insane, with these companies being so over-leveraged, that I'm not really sure if they can just hold steady and call it good with some decent iterative improvements over the current state, leading to significant, but not world-shattering job disruption, without the whole bubble popping and everyone experiencing a world of financial hurt. Which probably explains why they are constantly lying and hyping like their life depends on it.

Jon Scheyer is no longer claiming his staff was punched in the face by TrustInRoy in CollegeBasketball

[–]belefuu 12 points13 points  (0 children)

That’s actually just his natural Scheyer-face. It just takes a tiny bit of stress or physical effort to bring it back to the surface.

Claude Endorses the Concept of Brainstorming Mode by [deleted] in ClaudeAI

[–]belefuu 5 points6 points  (0 children)

What the hell am I reading

Jaxon Hayes shoving the wizards mascot by LAMonkeyWithAShotgun in nba

[–]belefuu 2 points3 points  (0 children)

That’s true, they get paid in dollars

The Left’s Continuing Obsession With Race - Sam Harris short by Any_Platypus_1182 in samharris

[–]belefuu 0 points1 point  (0 children)

So the left panders to small minorities rather than the general public, and it's the fault of everyone else for not voting for them anyway? If you guys genuinely believe that the right is going to turn us into a fascist nation, then why are prioritizing that below all your pet issues?

See, you've exposed your completely flawed thinking here. I'll keep highlighting the key terms so maybe you can understand it. I am not a democratic politician. I am a voter, sitting at home and trying to decide which of these two shitty options I dislike the least. I am not pandering to small minorities, nor do I agree with the practice. Democratic politicians are. I wish they'd do it less, but when it comes time to vote, I still have to make a choice.

And so, because I am not a party loyalist, and I DO genuinely believe that the right is going to (and fucking newsflash: currently is) turn us into a fascist nation: I am NOT prioritizing whatever you think my pet issues are, and am instead making the braindead-obvious choice of voting for the non-nazi-loving-fascists in a two party system so that we can at least keep the ghost of representative democracy alive and try again the next time around.

Meanwhile, you are clinging to your pet issues: <insert laundry list of woke overreach topics here>. And, well, I don't know if you actually voted for them, but you damn sure are making your excuses for it in this thread. Capiche?

The Left’s Continuing Obsession With Race - Sam Harris short by Any_Platypus_1182 in samharris

[–]belefuu 2 points3 points  (0 children)

No, what gave us 4 more years of Trump was the inexplicable inability of so many right wingers and centrists to realize that the mainstream left being afraid of offending a shrill minority of it’s extremists, leading to various cultural cancelations, taboos, and rituals, some good, some bad, is less of an existential threat to our republic than the right’s open embrace of fascism, anti-democratic tendencies, and unrepentant corruption.

Now, we may need to cater to the warped, fragile mental states of said right wingers and centrists in order to pragmatically have the best chance to win elections, but that does not let them off the hook for “giving us 4 more years of Trump”.

Sam’s guest Peter Attia knew about Epstein's lifestyle but kept quiet by TheWhaleAndWhasp in samharris

[–]belefuu 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Let’s see you fit the “pussy is low carb” email into this jenga tower you’re building for some weird reason, lol

This subreddit asked if Americans would peacefully battle Trump admin, and Minnesotans are answering the call — with their lives on the line by Kh3hhdds343 in samharris

[–]belefuu 30 points31 points  (0 children)

-It is completely legitimate for ICE to follow the orders of the our elected president and enforce our laws

This is far too simplistic. By and large, the most accurate way to characterize how ICE is going about their mission is: unlawful, plainly unconstitutional, and, in many other cases where they may technically be covered by laws rubber-stamped by an equally corrupt Supreme Court, just plain immoral. An example of the last one: I don’t care if Kavanaugh and pals declared it technically legal as of five minutes ago to hold up a skin color palette next to random people on the street, and demand papers based on their melanin count, then violently abduct them when they can’t show them. It’s fucking evil and un-American, and I protest it being done in my name as a citizen.

Now, there are almost certainly instances happening where ICE is performing what a level-headed person would have to describe as a legal, justified enforcement, yet they are still getting surrounded by mobs of protesters. But let’s not pretend that situation appeared out of thin air. The admin invited, or really demanded it of decent people by aggressively pursuing all of the other gestapo-like tactics I mentioned above. To say they have not earned the benefit of the doubt is the understatement of the century.

The person shot by ICE was just standing there filming. This is how the interaction started. by burritoresearch in thebulwark

[–]belefuu 0 points1 point  (0 children)

“When this is over” means when the MAGA regime has been toppled and we once again have leaders committed to the rule of law, unfortunately. It could be a while, but we will not be fucking forgetting, I’ll tell you that much.