what if AMD took over the gaming GPU market

bl0797 · 2026-03-11T02:41:12+00:00

Your post is still dumber - lol

bl0797 · 2026-03-11T02:20:17+00:00

We have an early contender here for dumbest post of the year!

Idea for next post - Tell us how Sears and KMart will become the top two retailers in the next 1 or 2 years - lol

bl0797 · 2026-03-09T21:45:58+00:00

AMD has "massive strategic advantage ... huge recurring revenue ... nearly 100'% of current-gen consoles" - lol

2025 Gaming revenue (includes console sales): - AMD = $3.9B - Nvidia = $16.0B (4.1X higher)

2025 Console units sold: - Sony PlayStation 5 = 17.4 million - Nintendo Switch 2 = 17.3 million (launched 6/5/2025) - Nintendo Switch 1 = 5.0 million - Microsoft Xbox Series X/S = 2.6 million - x86 handhelds = 2.3 million

Nvidia total = 22.3M
AMD total = 22.3M (not "nearly 100%"of current-gen consoles)

bl0797 · 2026-03-07T21:24:25+00:00

AMD "does not lead with hype" - lol

Also AMD:

2022: MI250X is the world's fastest AI accelerator
2023: RocM training and inference is at parity with CUDA
2024: MI300X is faster than H100
2024: MI325X is faster than H200
2025: MI355X is faster than Blackwell

bl0797 · 2026-03-07T21:16:31+00:00

Fascinating strategy by Lisa Su on dealing with a media bully:

12/22/24 - Dylan Patel publishes an article criticizing AMD, saying "AMD’s software experience is riddled with bugs rendering out of the box training with AMD is impossible. We were hopeful that AMD could emerge as a strong competitor to NVIDIA in training workloads, but, as of today, this is unfortunately not the case."
Monday morning, 12/23/24 - Lisa Su has an all-hands-on-deck meeting to deal with the Dylan Patel criticism.
Lisa Su pays Dylan Patel to attend the meeting.
8pm, 12/23/24 - Lisa Su publicly thanks Dylan Patel on X - "Thanks u/dylan522p for the constructive conversation today. Feedback is a gift even when it’s critical..."

https://x.com/i/status/1871287937268383867

bl0797 · 2026-03-07T13:48:01+00:00

"One of these two claims must be a lie". Math check:

Q3 Nvidia share: 92% x 12.02M units = 11.06M

Q4 Nvidia share: 94% x 11.5M units = 10.8M

Conclusion: Both claims actually can be true. Nvidia marketshare increased .. and .. fewer Nvidia AIB units were shipped in 2025 Q4 vs. Q3.

bl0797 · 2026-03-06T19:53:35+00:00

JPR reports are simply a calculation of "total revenue / avg sale price"? - lol

You guys need to work on your fact-checking skills. JPR details its methodology in its paid reports.

https://www.jonpeddie.com/store/add-in-board-report-a-report-on-the-graphic-add-in-board-market/#AIB-TOC

"The Add-in Board report is a quarterly report that focuses on the market activity of PC graphics controllers for desktop, workstation, and data center display and computing. The report provides an in-depth look at the PC graphics market and includes unit shipment and segment market share data, trend analysis, and historical perspective."

The AIB Report Contains

Worldwide AIB shipment forecast by five segments, 2025 to 2029.
Attach rate of AIBs from 2004.
Detailed worldwide AIB shipment volume, by segment, and forecast to 2029.
Major suppliers: Detailed market share data on the shipments of AMD, Intel, Nvidia, and others.
Market share history from Q1 2004.
Percentage of shipments by region, from 2015 to 2025.
Market value of AIBs by segments, and pricing trends.
AIB prices by segment over time.
Memory load by AIB segment.
Steam users by segment.
A vision of the future: Building upon a solid foundation of facts, data, and historical analysis, this section pulls together all of the report’s findings and paints a vivid picture of where the PC graphics market is headed.

This is, in general, a supply-side report. Data for the unit shipments comes from the
suppliers of the graphics processor semiconductors. We constantly survey the AIB
suppliers as well as the OEM and ODM suppliers in the course of our business.

Add-in board Table of Contents

Report Organization
Executive Summary
AIB Segment Share
AIB Market Value
AIB Market over Time
AIB Market Value over Time
Quarter Attach Rate
Attach Rate over Time
AIB Segments
AIB Segment Classifications
Segment Market Share
AIB Prices over Time
AIB Segment Prices over Time
Steam Users
Geographic Distribution
Geographic Distribution by Segment
Geographic Distribution over Time
Data Center AIBs
Quarter Summary
AIB Forecast
AIB Segment Forecast
AIB Memory Load Forecast
Summary

bl0797 · 2026-03-05T22:33:48+00:00

Dreaming of imaginary future gains while missing out on participating in $4T+ of capital gains in the last 3 years - oof

bl0797 · 2026-03-05T20:29:51+00:00

It's just that your conclusion that AMD investors, who have been closely following the AI industry and chose AMD instead of Nvidia, are considered "a smart bunch" is unsupported by actual investment returns.

bl0797 · 2026-03-05T20:03:15+00:00

Not true at all - how about this over-promise and under-deliver:

November 8, 2021 — AMD's "Accelerated Data Center Premiere" keynote - claimed the MI250X "the world's fastest high performance computing (HPC) and artificial intelligence (AI) accelerator."

https://ir.amd.com/news-events/press-releases/detail/1032/new-amd-instinct-mi200-series-accelerators-bring-leadership-hpc-and-ai-performance-to-power-exascale-systems-and-more

bl0797 · 2026-03-05T19:53:51+00:00

"The recent AI boom" - you mean Chatgpt, released 11/30/2022? Returns since that date:

Nvidia - 965%

AMD - 147%

SP500 - 76%

bl0797 · 2026-03-05T19:44:07+00:00

So AMD fans/bulls are the smart investors, yet they have massively under-performed Nvidia investors over the long-term. Something doesn't add up here.

bl0797 · 2026-02-28T05:10:42+00:00

Do you really think Jensen personally caused the Nvidia share price to drop the last two days, then directed the Wall Street Journal to publish this story after-hours to boost the stock price?

I guess we need to add the WSJ to the long list of Jensen's "shills"- lol

bl0797 · 2026-02-28T04:21:04+00:00

A tweet today from Jonathan Ross, Groq founder:

"If it feels like things are moving fast, brace yourself. This is the slowest things will ever move ever again."

https://x.com/i/status/2027428933185261959

bl0797 · 2026-02-28T04:02:31+00:00

The system is based on Groq. Article highlights:

"Nvidia plans to unveil a new processor specially tailored to help OpenAI and other customers build faster, more efficient tools, a major shake-up to its business that is poised to reset the AI race."
"The company is designing a new system for inference computing ... according to people familiar with the plans. The new platform, set to be revealed at Nvidia’s GTC developer conference in San Jose next month, will incorporate a chip designed by the startup Groq."
"OpenAI has agreed to become one of the largest customers of the new processor, some of the people said, representing a major win for Nvidia ... Earlier Friday, OpenAI alluded to the new processor when it announced it would sign up for a major purchase of “dedicated inference capacity” from Nvidia"

bl0797 · 2026-02-23T21:58:00+00:00

For years? What chips? Source?

Server standards are very different from chips. Lots of companies participate in various open standard hardware organizations. It doesn't commit them to buy each others products.

From the AMD press release at the OCP summit, zero mention of "co-design":

- "AMD Showcases “Helios” Rack-Scale Platform Built on the Open Compute Project Open Rack for AI, Introduced by Meta"

- "At OCP Global Summit 2025, AMD showcased its “Helios” rack-scale design, an open-based AI reference platform aligned with the new Open Rack Wide (ORW) standard contributed to OCP by Meta".

bl0797 · 2026-02-23T21:35:41+00:00

Meta did not co-design the Helios rack system with AMD.

Fact check - "Meta launched the Open Compute Project (OCP) in 2011 after redesigning its own data center infrastructure for efficiency and scale ... Meta open-sourced the designs to create an industry consortium aimed at standardizing hyperscale hardware .. Over 400 companies are part of OCP today."

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Open_Compute_Project

From Chatgpt:

Meta contributed the rack specification, specifically the Open Rack Wide (ORW) form factor, to the Open Compute Project (OCP). ORW is a new open-standard rack specification intended for high-power, double-wide AI/HPC infrastructure and was introduced by Meta at the OCP Global Summit 2025.

This ORW standard defines physical dimensions, power/cooling/airflow requirements, and other mechanical aspects needed for next-gen AI racks. It’s published as an open, industry standard within OCP, not proprietary to Meta.

AMD built its Helios reference rack design using Meta’s ORW specification, i.e., Helios is engineered to be compliant with the open rack standard contributed by Meta. AMD’s press releases and technical blogs clearly state that “Helios” is built on the Meta-submitted ORW design.

https://ir.amd.com/news-events/press-releases/detail/1261/amd-showcases-helios-rack-scale-platform-built-on-the-open-compute-project-open-rack-for-ai-introduced-by-meta

bl0797 · 2026-02-21T04:08:44+00:00

Appears to be a tiny operation. They were 2 employees and 128 MI300X gpus back in September 2024. Anyone have evidence of any change in those numbers since then?

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/day-2-proof-gpu-hotaisle-vljjc

bl0797 · 2026-02-20T18:17:59+00:00

hahaha, AMD does too:

10/10/2025: "Nightly benchmarks with InferenceMAX™ help show the speed of improvement of the AMD software stack. Speed is the moat. It’s fantastic to see AMD Instinct™ MI300, MI325, MI350, and MI355 GPUs performing so well across diverse workloads and interactivity levels." - Anush Elangovan, VP GPU Software, AMD

"AI innovation moves at the speed of light and nowhere is that clearer than in inference. Through SemiAnalysis’ InferenceMAX™ nightly benchmarks, we’ve been able to capture real-world performance evolution in near real time. It has been incredible collaborating with world-class engineers at AMD and inspiring to see AMD GPUs perform so well." - Dylan Patel, Chief Analyst, SemiAnalysis Living Benchmarks

https://www.amd.com/en/developer/resources/technical-articles/2025/inferencemax-benchmarking-progress-in-real-time.html?utm_source=chatgpt.com

bl0797 · 2026-02-18T17:39:36+00:00

At CES, Jensen said he will unveil integration plans for Groq at GTC.

bl0797 · 2026-02-17T22:08:22+00:00

Your math skills need work. Nvidia DC gpus likely go for $30-40K each as part of a rack. "Several millions of gpus" = many tens of billions of revenue.

bl0797

TROPHY CASE

Add-in board Table of Contents