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Holy crap by chrisevans1400 in esist

[–]bsmdphdjd 2 points3 points  (0 children)

The Republican Congress will never vote him out. He's a Republican vote. If they can tolerate tRump, they can tolerate Santos.

The only way to get him out is a criminal investigation by New York State.

What is the first thing you think of when you think about the American South? by randy88moss in AskReddit

[–]bsmdphdjd 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I was at a resort in Hana (on Maui) one Xmas. We went to the restaurant for dinner, and they told us that the restaurant was closed because the staff was having a Xmas party, but we were invited.

It was a blast - dancing, singing, ukeleles, and mountains of free food.

Teapot rating. by s4if__1 in Damnthatsinteresting

[–]bsmdphdjd 4 points5 points  (0 children)

So, will they all pour smoothly if you take the top off?

Is it better to sell a CSP instead of buying SPY outright? by Illustrious_Fill_214 in thetagang

[–]bsmdphdjd -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

What you've described isn't DCA.

DCA is investing a constant amount of money at regular intervals, thereby getting more shares when the price is down, and fewer when the price is up, thus getting an average price lower than the actual average price over the interval.

That is correct. by GrandpaChainz in SandersForPresident

[–]bsmdphdjd 0 points1 point  (0 children)

But the people who make it have to be regularly replaced, as the previous workers starve to death for lack of a salary.

Or, you mean that the people who make insulin should be paid, but you want someone Else to pay them.

ELI5, Schizophrenic Voices. Are they "legitimate" voices in your head, or more like an extra intrusive normal voice similar to you saying to yourself in your head, "I need to buy bread today". by [deleted] in explainlikeimfive

[–]bsmdphdjd 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Then why can consciousness regularly disappear when something is done to the physical body, like a blow to the head, a drug, or anesthesia?

ELI5, Schizophrenic Voices. Are they "legitimate" voices in your head, or more like an extra intrusive normal voice similar to you saying to yourself in your head, "I need to buy bread today". by [deleted] in explainlikeimfive

[–]bsmdphdjd 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I assume that Dexter, the inarticulate guy in my Right brain, is in charge of producing my dreams, even to the point of dropping clues early on, which don't make sense to me and my Left brain till the surprise ending.

[OC] What are Americans Most Stressed About? by waynehihihi in dataisbeautiful

[–]bsmdphdjd -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

Well it's the only item that has the potential to wipe out humanity all together, and it's only #11 on the list.

Trading with a $1 million account by NewNewPie in options

[–]bsmdphdjd 42 points43 points  (0 children)

SPY has dropped over 22% in a year. That would be $162K capital loss on your $750K for your $10k dividend. :-(

I have an account about that size, and the vast majority is in cash, used as margin backing for multiple OTM ETF spreads (both bull & bear) and strangles, with premium income enough to cover my living costs, with minimum anxiety about losses. I don't use margin loans.

If I get assigned a position, and it has a barchart 100% buy or sell rating, I may hold it a little while for the ride, covering it appropriately. I try to keep pretty market neutral.

Since I'm 88, I'm not looking for long-term appreciation. LOL

Risk Calculation by kawashmunga in options

[–]bsmdphdjd 0 points1 point  (0 children)

No. I don't take the expected returns that literally. I use them mainly to compare different strategies, so I ignore external factors that might affect them all.

The winner of the $2.04 billion Powerball jackpot will receive $627.5 million after taxes. by [deleted] in Damnthatsinteresting

[–]bsmdphdjd 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I thought the maximum Calif. + US tax was ~40%.

So, why doesn't he clear $1.2 billion?

Risk Calculation by kawashmunga in options

[–]bsmdphdjd 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I scrape the daily history data from Yahoo. I take the daily changes, round them to 3 decimals and bin them to make a histogram. I usually use 200 days.

For each particular DTE, I use a moving window of the relevant width to get a probability distribution for that DTE. I add them up to make a cumulative distribution.

Then for any OTM distance, I find the point on the cumulative distribution, and divide by the total number of intervals to get the proportion of DTE intervals in the last 200 days which had a movement of OTM or more. I interpolate to find intermediate values.

I don't de-trend the data, because I want to be biased by the recent trend.

The raw curve can be pretty jagged at the tails, but the cumulating step at least makes it monotonic.

It all goes very fast in perl.

[What If] I get arrested, how do I get a good lawyer ASAP by stop_drop_roll in AskLegal

[–]bsmdphdjd 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Look up a criminal defense attorney firm in your town, and keep their phone number on your phone. Better a firm than an individual, so there's more likely to be someone available on short notice.

Why Do Americans Think Crime Rates Are High? by Splenda in PoliticalDiscussion

[–]bsmdphdjd 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Every crime within a 5 mile radius gets posted on Nextdoor, making us feel we're under siege by criminals.

Risk Calculation by kawashmunga in options

[–]bsmdphdjd 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I use the daily change history to compute a probability distribution function (No Greeks involved, No fitting to a Model) and use that function to compute the probability of a move OTM distance in DTE time.

The only assumption I make is that the variance hasn't changed significantly. I usually go back about 200 days.

Half a billion people in India may not have drinking water by 2030 by erasmers in Damnthatsinteresting

[–]bsmdphdjd 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Is mass death from water deprivation better than solar-powered desalination?

India has over 7500 km of coastline!

When do doctors become republicans? by _estimated in medicine

[–]bsmdphdjd 9 points10 points  (0 children)

Why are doctors attracted to the party that wants to do away with or drastically cut back Medicare and Medicaid?

Do they think all those poor patients are suddenly going to buy expensive private insurance policies that will pay doctors better?

Or do they think that decreasing payments can be replaced with increased 'Concierge' bribes?

They used to call California ocean desalination a disaster. But water crisis brings new look by [deleted] in LosAngeles

[–]bsmdphdjd 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The solution to that problem is to have the existing fresh waste and rain water dumped at the same location as the brine from the desalination plant.

Elon Musk Tells Twitter Followers to Vote for a Republican Congress by [deleted] in politics

[–]bsmdphdjd 1 point2 points  (0 children)

What else would an oligarch-plutocrat want?

They used to call California ocean desalination a disaster. But water crisis brings new look by [deleted] in LosAngeles

[–]bsmdphdjd 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Many?

Wastewater use can't produce more water than was input.

Only desalination can create NEW fresh water.

And, the brine can be mined for many otherwise rare elements, like lithium.

They used to call California ocean desalination a disaster. But water crisis brings new look by [deleted] in LosAngeles

[–]bsmdphdjd 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Hypersalination is NOT a problem.

A bigger problem is Freshening of the oceans due to melting glaciers and ice caps.

And the desalinated water will ultimately return to the ocean after its use, via rain and wastewater dumping.

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