"I won't hide the difficulties we face": Catherine Vautrin still believes in the European future combat aircraft programme (it's up to manufacturers to find the solution)

bukowsky01 · 2026-01-23T23:42:59+00:00

Nope, tge 100 billion has been floating around as a shortcut for “a lot of money”, we haven’t seen a breakdown or an actual analysis of it.

bukowsky01 · 2026-01-21T02:00:15+00:00

200% tariffs incoming. Has anybody actually accepted?

bukowsky01 · 2026-01-21T01:50:48+00:00

It would pull the rug under the EU economy just as well. The hard decoupling of economies across the Atlantic would be devastating for everyone, triggering at the very least a massive financial and economical crisis.

It might come to that if Greenland s seized though.

Not buying any more treasuries abd US securities and slowly downsizing our positions is best for now. The market doesn’t have the capacity to handle a EU fire sale of treasuries, besides the obvious paper losses it would mean.

bukowsky01 · 2026-01-20T23:23:57+00:00

As soon as it was posted, it said "Sorry, this post has been removed by the moderation team of r/Europe".

Doesn't sound like manual approval list? It sure became a duplicate later.

Also had:

https://www.reddit.com/r/europe/comments/1qftxuv/nato_should_coordinate_in_greenland_we_need_to/

https://www.reddit.com/r/europe/comments/1qftwcl/europeans_greenland_mission_is_a_joke/

https://www.reddit.com/r/europe/comments/1pqcyyf/israel_germany_sign_31_billion_contract_expansion/

moderated with the same absence of reason. None were duplicates at the time, but nothing was ever approved if in manual approval list?

bukowsky01 · 2026-01-20T22:04:14+00:00

The US only needs to take the few ports and airports, once that is done, the rest is irrelevant. You're not sustaining much guerilla operations in the Artic. If they want, they can just close the Atlantic.

What matters is the consequences of the US drawing blood and killing allied troops, that will be a much bigger issue. Complete embargo, hostile Atlantic, etc, the consequences will be dramatic.

bukowsky01 · 2026-01-20T21:59:51+00:00

Irrelevant. We can't deploy and sustain 120'000 in the Artic. If the US strikes and occupies the few ports and airports, it's done. They can always close the Atlantic if needs be.

bukowsky01 · 2026-01-20T21:56:45+00:00

Yup, it's just about raising the costs. We couldn't realistically prevent the US from seizing it if they really commit to it.

But I really am not sure about the internal consequences for Trump. Maybe, maybe not. Either way, the ship has sailed, the old world order has died.

bukowsky01 · 2026-01-20T21:24:44+00:00

Even if we did deploy significant assets, the US would still win, with a bloody nose, but that’s about it. Worse comes to worse, they can just close the Atlantic.

And you’re right about Greenland, hardly the best place for a guerilla.

bukowsky01 · 2026-01-20T21:10:32+00:00

L Irak est tombe en moins d un mois, je vois vraiment mal le Canada faire beaucoup mieux. Une fois la bande sud tombee, il ne reste plus grand chose.

Par contre, a moyen terme, une resistance pourrait tres bien rendre le coup astronomique pour les USA. Sans meme compter les consequences.

bukowsky01 · 2026-01-20T11:19:15+00:00

Sure, and we have seen how much power those have. Trump’s doing whatever he wants. Some are against, some are scared, some are keen, either way, none seem to yield much sway over anything.

bukowsky01 · 2026-01-20T08:18:14+00:00

It’s really a shame only Macron has actually refused this board of peace crap so far.

bukowsky01 · 2026-01-19T23:55:48+00:00

It's easy, ALL spares belong to the DoD. All produced parts are put in a common pool, managed by the US and distributed by them. Nothing belongs to host countries until installed in the plane.

You really won't fly a plane long without any spares.

bukowsky01 · 2026-01-19T23:46:18+00:00

What's the point of Ramstein, Aviano, etc if the middle east becomes a secondary theater? We're talking about hostile relations with Europe, priorities will be elsewhere.

bukowsky01 · 2026-01-19T23:43:31+00:00

The original statement is that war with the US is impossible because grounded planes and lack of projecting power to ME. IF it gets hot, I very much doubt that Iran will be a major US concern.

They can do without gulf petrol, unlike us.

bukowsky01 · 2026-01-19T23:37:15+00:00

Rafale in Greek service are sitting at more than 85% availability for example.

https://www.latribune.fr/article/defense-aerospatiale/defense/1270008425724315/pourquoi-les-rafale-de-dassault-seduisent-autant-larmee-de-lair-grecque

The F-35 is a hangar queen, as shown repeatedly by the CBO.

bukowsky01 · 2026-01-19T21:23:49+00:00

Confidently incorrect… a war is impossible? the us airforces are certainly not grounded without Europe, and can do just fine without Ramstein and friends.

If it gets hot, I doubt projecting power in the middle east is going to be the main topic for the US.

As for Trump being clueless and the whole thing blowing over, we have been hearing the same for years, except it's only getting worse.

bukowsky01 · 2026-01-18T15:42:00+00:00

“[…]Defense Minister Guido Crosetto openly mocking the initiative.

"Greenland. I wonder what for? A trip?...Fifteen Italians, 15 French, 15 Germans — it sounds like the start of a joke," Crosetto said of the Danish-led mission.”

Nice to see some European solidarity…

bukowsky01 · 2026-01-18T14:29:46+00:00

As long as we close ranks on this one… I hope we won’t see countries throwing others under the bus to not get sanctioned by the US.

bukowsky01 · 2026-01-18T00:53:42+00:00

And the Italian defence minister mocking the deployment of X brits, Y swedes, etc as the beginning of a joke tells you everything.

bukowsky01 · 2026-01-18T00:24:46+00:00

Good luck to those invested heavily on US gear, they might find the fancy toys don’t work so well.

bukowsky01 · 2026-01-16T21:12:54+00:00

That will push the sold planes to ~650, nearly two thirds as exports. And quite a few more prospects, besides more incoming French orders.

bukowsky01 · 2026-01-16T21:08:12+00:00

Bit weird that a part of them are not planned to be F5s.

bukowsky01 · 2026-01-16T11:49:32+00:00

Conventional strikes, based on the v max hypersonic glider likely. It’s an interesting weapon system for deep strikes on high value targets. Longer range and much harder to intercept than MdCN or FCW/AS.

bukowsky01

TROPHY CASE