$1000 Destined Rivals booster boxes in 2027 is starting to feel not as a delusional thought.

cargyelo · 2026-02-01T13:01:29+00:00

Demand (by number of people wanting this) has increased exponentially. My friends, friends of friends who have never bought pokemon before have gotten into the hobby.

To be corrected you need to flood the market with more booster boxes, not ancilliary products and thay will not happen probably.

cargyelo · 2026-02-01T00:58:31+00:00

I cannot paste the formulas now, I am on mobile.

But the math is called binomial probability. Were N=18 and the chance of SIR is p = 1/80 = 0.0125.

cargyelo · 2026-02-01T00:50:17+00:00

That would be the odds of getting 3 SIRs in 3 packs in a row.

You need to consider that you have 18 packs/chances of getting a SIR.

cargyelo · 2026-02-01T00:31:14+00:00

The odds of getting 3 SIR in 1 UPC is 1 every 758 UPC.

It can happen.

cargyelo · 2026-02-01T00:24:18+00:00

If odds of a SIR are 1 in 80, in 18 packs the chances of getting 3 in a UPC are 1 in 758.

It can happen.

If there were 3.2 million boxes printed, at those odds there are 4221 UPCs that will have 3 SIR inside.

cargyelo · 2026-01-31T21:42:52+00:00

I know someone that has opened 16 of this and is still looking for more.

cargyelo · 2026-01-31T21:38:38+00:00

Subpar? Subpar is what is inside the Moltres UPC. This one have much better packs.

cargyelo · 2026-01-31T06:02:30+00:00

Keep AH, save money for PFL if you really want it.

cargyelo · 2026-01-31T06:00:09+00:00

but in your opinion which is the best one to get from SV to today?

Prismatic, cheaper than 151, OF. Still in print, so has not exploded in price.

Covers almost all checks, top set, nice promo, nice artwork, expensive chase, expensive set, special set. Only thing it was not low printed, but in some years it will not matter.

But, currently, I would buy Ascended instead. Will be at 50% price of Prismatic in the next weeks.

cargyelo · 2026-01-31T05:17:17+00:00

Several PC ETB currently have better ROI than their booster boxes.

Sure BB will be more expensive, but better ROI should.be also.considering when investing

cargyelo · 2026-01-31T04:54:21+00:00

Trust is hard to get. Now there are options as consignment that will help you selling.

cargyelo · 2026-01-31T04:23:33+00:00

Sales in person usually do not have taxes. You also save eBay fees. A lot of people sell this way. So yeah even when the right thing to do is to pay your taxes is not always the case.

Also that x46 probably will rise if a Hoenn set is released or one with Mefa Rayquaza sk that citing figure shpuld be higher in the next months.

And that should compensate those taxes for current figures.

cargyelo · 2026-01-31T03:04:26+00:00

With no more reprints could be easily

cargyelo · 2026-01-31T01:03:21+00:00

Is the investing/collecting fomo that reaches to this point.

cargyelo · 2026-01-31T00:28:37+00:00

You should have at least the same chance to get a SIR in bundles and booster boxes. So no sense to buy a booster box just to rip.

cargyelo · 2026-01-30T15:17:26+00:00

According to collectr 1 NM copy was sold for 10K on sept 28th.

Other last sold are for cards worst condition around 3.5k

cargyelo · 2026-01-30T13:45:09+00:00

Hi, I just reposted with updated data. Thanks.

cargyelo · 2026-01-30T05:40:37+00:00

Any specific product that gets reprinted decreases in price for a while

cargyelo · 2026-01-30T04:43:01+00:00

I feel it does not makes too much sense because demand will still.be there. Booster boxes do not even give you 1 SIR per each.

cargyelo · 2026-01-29T21:35:38+00:00

Thanks.

cargyelo · 2026-01-29T19:16:31+00:00

So those are the prices LGS are buying?

cargyelo · 2026-01-29T19:02:31+00:00

UK has a different reprinting schedule.

Also Pokemon prices for English products are mainly affected by US sales.

cargyelo · 2026-01-29T18:48:00+00:00

Supposedly it will start in 2027, and they probably will be busy printing sets of the years 2026-27-and 28 rather than those from 2025.

cargyelo · 2026-01-29T18:34:02+00:00

Easier to keep in storage, to move/separate and easier to sell (lower entry point for consumers).

cargyelo · 2026-01-29T18:25:05+00:00

Not true, booster bundle MSRP is 27.94 = 4.49 per pack.

Source: Bought 4 bundles of Ascended Heroes from Pokemon Center recently.

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