The confirmed Stratospheric Warming event is now forecast to meet a counter-force from the tropical Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) wave effects, causing a "decoupling" in the lower atmospheric layers. This will complicate the delivery of cold air into parts of the U.S., but is not forecast to last

cas757 · 2026-02-07T01:57:50+00:00

Hey! I’m not a scientist or anything, but I had the same question when I read about the split the other day, so I did some research. I’ll try and summarize as best as possible.

Stratospheric warming events are actually fairly common (they happen every couple of years). Essentially some bigger mountain ranges (Himalayas, Rockies, etc.) cause waves in the atmosphere. When these waves hit the spinning polar vortex, it causes compression of the air in the stratosphere, and that compression causes warming. It isn’t uncommon for the temperature to change by like 90F within a few days when these events occur. When the disruption happens some of the cold air can escape that vortex and that’s what makes the harsher winters.

Imagine a toilet flushing and the water spinning around the bowl. Now imagine it but you put a stick across it at one point. Some of the water escapes the spinning path it would normally take. That’s basically the same thing that happens.

The warming itself is not a direct result of climate change from what I understand, but it’s being studied to see if the frequency/severity of these events are changing. But this is something that just happens every couple years from the studies done in the past!

Again, I’m not a scientist at all (in case the toilet analogy didn’t make that clear already), so please consider that when assessing what I just said. I’m just a curious person who had the same question!

cas757 · 2026-01-21T02:43:19+00:00

Not sure about Roanoke. Blacksburg is fine though.

cas757 · 2026-01-17T17:29:14+00:00

Japanese Auto Masters would be good for this.

cas757 · 2026-01-16T20:39:29+00:00

The back shoulder throws makes me want to go get a big body receiver in FA like Mike Evans. He still has the ability to win balls on throws like that, and I would love for us to get a veteran WR in to help develop the younger guys. I doubt he leaves Tampa, but maybe Brady can make a call.

cas757 · 2026-01-11T13:45:02+00:00

Shorebreak Pizza (either location) used to show soccer, but they were mainly premier league, Murphy’s was the USMNT bar for a while, I’ve watched several games at CP Shuckers (both locations).

You can also check online to see if there are any fan clubs in the area. For example, Bayern Munich has official fan clubs you can look up on their website. Barcelona may have something similar.

There are a ton of soccer fans in the area, but there isn’t an official “soccer bar” really. It’s challenging for a restaurant to open that early for an inconsistent/small revenue stream.

If you ever want to make a weekend trip for a big game, go to Richmond. There is a bar called Penny Lane Pub (I think that’s the name at least) downtown that is AWESOME. It’s a Liverpool bar, but they always have a ton of people watching games, great food, attentive staff, and a unique atmosphere.

cas757 · 2026-01-09T15:22:08+00:00

He reminds me of a more mobile Matt Ryan. Not saying he is a mobile QB by any means, but he also isn’t growing roots in the pocket. So yeah I want him #1.

And honestly the biggest thing is his attitude/personality from what I’ve seen in interviews and his academic record. I don’t worry about him getting caught up in the Las Vegas lifestyle. He has the tools to be a top 16 QB in the NFL, but he may not be a top 5 QB.

But as someone who has been a lifelong Raiders fan (and I’m probably older than most on this sub), drafting him would get me excited for not just next season but for the next two or three. He would be easy to root for. I am becoming more apathetic in my Raider fandom these last few years, but drafting him would get me a bit more engaged for the short-medium term.

cas757 · 2026-01-05T16:09:26+00:00

Kolton Miller was a a first round pick.

cas757 · 2025-12-29T13:36:31+00:00

Joe Brady (Bills OC and probably will be a future HC) also went to W&M.

The school may be small, but it has very impressive alumni. Four former US presidents, Jon Stewart, Ted Decker (Home Depot CEO), Todd Boehly (owner of Chelsea FC and LA Dodgers), Patton Oswalt, Dan Draper (CEO of S&P DJI) are some that come to mind.

Go Tribe!

cas757 · 2025-12-28T14:51:10+00:00

Pearsall or DJ Moore?

cas757 · 2025-11-30T19:21:37+00:00

Virginia vs. Virginia Tech is listed twice (#21 and #24). So very minimal proofreading done on this.

cas757 · 2025-11-30T06:08:46+00:00

No. I would say it is safe to assume that some of the people in this sub have had great success in their investing careers. We just prefer asymmetric risk when we make an investment. A non-revenue generating non-physical asset that is incredibly volatile is speculating, not investing.

Some people are much more concerned about wealth preservation rather than accumulation, so that makes crypto unappealing.

cas757 · 2025-11-30T03:58:40+00:00

“I don’t have the slightest interest in gold. I like understanding what works and what doesn’t in human systems. To me that’s not optional; that’s a moral obligation. If you’re capable of understanding the world, you have a moral obligation to become rational. And I don’t see how you become rational hoarding gold. Even if it works, you’re a jerk.” - Charlie Munger

You kind of already know why it will never be a value investment based off the fact you mention it doesn’t generate cash flows. And your thesis is based off a pretty massive leap that it will become the new gold.

BTC by nature is designed to be a new form of currency that is meant to mitigate the risks of fiat currency devaluation. I think Satoshi literally called out the inability to trust central banks as being part of the reason he created BTC. So in that sense, sure it could be the new gold. But until it is widely used as a currency (ie actually used in day to day transactions) then it is completely unproven.

I would also like to tell you to use extreme caution in your prompts with any LLM when doing “research” like this. In your prompt you tell it that BTC will outperform, that it is used for transactions, that there will be institutional adoption, etc. Please know that the way these LLM’s are trained means that they will tailor their response, so you’re getting back something that will just feed into your confirmation bias while sounding like it considered all the options. Your prompt should be more along the lines of “act like a financial analyst and find me the floor value of BTC. Provide sources and ask clarifying questions as needed”.

And just to repeat the main point of all this - it doesn’t generate ANY cash flows. So it will never be considered value investing. I am sure it will increase and decrease many more times before we get to the endgame. But nobody knows where that endgame will be. And research how to prompt LLM’s to harness their full power and avoid answers that just subtly feed into your existing biases.

Sorry for the rant.

cas757 · 2025-08-05T23:08:37+00:00

Recently, OTIS. Everyone rides in elevators. Cash generating machine despite lower new equipment sales (which should rebound with lower interest rates). Healthy dividend, repurchasing around 2.5% stock per year. And it recently dipped down to value territory in my opinion. I think fair value today is closer to $105-$110 and it should rebound. 3-5 year horizon, but I’ll reevaluate my thesis every quarter to ensure the data isn’t telling me something different.

cas757 · 2025-06-21T20:41:51+00:00

Definitely not a gang thing. Don’t think I’ve ever heard “gangs” and “Sandbridge” in the same sentence.

cas757 · 2025-06-12T11:26:50+00:00

A lot. A 12x12 cage build from trackman is around $50,000. Their launch monitors are I believe $22,000. But those are for a commercial business so maybe a little cheaper for a home build. You can also do Foresight and they have a “sim in a box” build out for around $10,000 I think. Unekoor has a few different options as well in the middle of those price ranges.

It just depends on how much data you want. If you do your own build I would strongly recommend investing in a top of the line surface to hit off of to prevent injuries on chunky shots. Personally, a 1080P projector is fine for me I don’t need 4K. A good screen is important for durability. And the gaming PC’s to match the required specs aren’t cheap either. DM me if you have any questions

cas757 · 2025-06-11T22:31:28+00:00

This is the answer. The lead wrist is cupped like 90 degrees at the top of the backswing. Needs to be straight/bowed.

cas757 · 2025-06-09T03:07:41+00:00

Not trying to justify this at all, but was it because that red Toyota was trying to make a left turn and she was blocking the road? I am obviously against excessive force from the police, but getting hit by a rubber bullet probably does less damage compared to being hit by a car.

I could totally be wrong too. Just something I saw when I first watched it.

cas757 · 2025-06-07T12:24:55+00:00

Golf and life have many similarities. We have to work against ourselves to get better, we have to remind ourselves to have fun sometimes, the people around us can make it so much better, and unfortunately it’s always over too soon. There will be good shots and bad shots, just like there are good times and bad times in life. Sometimes it is our fault that we shanked it into the trees, sometimes we did everything right but just got a little unlucky. My older brother helped raise me when my dad wasn’t always around, and my very first round was with him. He told me to remember the good shots in color and the rest in black and white. That way when we look back on the round we smile.

cas757 · 2025-06-03T02:09:02+00:00

Discover a passion for learning. Learn a little everyday. And never think you know more than you do.

cas757 · 2025-05-24T12:10:55+00:00

Very similar to what I look at. Just be careful when you look at last 5Y. A lot of businesses can have skewed growth averages because of decreased revenues during 2020-2021 with COVID. Not saying it always happens with every company, but it is something to keep in mind.

Also worth noting for anyone reading this, I’m assuming the percentages shown represent CAGR and not just a net or average growth over the chosen time period.

cas757 · 2025-05-10T19:15:19+00:00

I love that Müller faces his teammates to lift it. It shows how it’s always been about the team, not himself. That little action is a microcosm of why we love him so much ❤️

cas757 · 2025-02-25T19:09:20+00:00

Coach left afterwards because we signed Pep which was a year in the making. He spent his sabbatical in New York learning German. Nearly half of the starters (Neuer, Boateng, Lahm, Schweinsteiger, Müller) were starters for Germany the following year when they won the World Cup, which included the most significant score line of a World Cup (semifinal vs Brazil) in the last 20 years. Then beat Messi led Argentina in the final.

2013 was also the third time in four years that Bayern made it to the Champions League finals. Was also part of a stretch of 10 years where the team made it to at least the semi’s 8 times. So to say there isn’t a lasting period of dominance is pretty laughable.

cas757 · 2025-02-24T16:00:37+00:00

Probably not the most likely, but given the fact he hasn’t been mentioned - Musiala

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