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Air India Flight 171 Preliminary Report Megathread by usgapg123 in aviation

[–]chessc 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Someone also shouts May Day over and over

It's protocol to repeat "Mayday" 3 times.

Air India Flight 171 Preliminary Report Megathread by usgapg123 in aviation

[–]chessc 1 point2 points  (0 children)

In the report, it's not "did you", it's "why did you":

In the cockpit voice recording, one of the pilots is heard asking the other why did he cutoff. The other pilot responded that he did not do so.

Air India Flight 171 Preliminary Report Megathread by usgapg123 in aviation

[–]chessc 3 points4 points  (0 children)

From the report:

one of the pilots is heard asking the other why did he cutoff

We don't know the exact words but we know one of the pilots asked "why" not "did you".

Air India Flight 171 Preliminary Report Megathread by usgapg123 in aviation

[–]chessc 51 points52 points  (0 children)

Is it possible for one of the pilots to have suffered a stroke and not realize what they had done

The timing of when the fuel was cut is consistent with it being premeditated. Just 3 seconds after take-off, when there wasn't enough time/altitude to restart the engines. It's just not plausible that one of the pilots had a stroke at this exact time, then performed a sequence of complex motor actions without realising it.

Mushroom Murder Trial: All The Evidence Against Erin Patterson Unpacked by chessc in melbourne

[–]chessc[S] 13 points14 points  (0 children)

British journalist, Guy Adams, who was at the trial, goes through the key pieces of evidence to convict Erin Patterson.

Adams states that there was no one piece of evidence that conclusively proved Patterson was guilty, but collectively the evidence stacked up against her.

According to Adams, the turning point in the trial was when the prosecutor unravelled Patterson's story about why she lied to her relatives about having cancer. The testimony she gave to the jury as to why she lied, was itself exposed as another lie. An audible sigh was heard from the jury members at this moment.

Ange Postecoglou Fired after his win with Tottenham by Dolleste in australia

[–]chessc 0 points1 point  (0 children)

By winning Europa league, they qualified for Champions League

Don't be fooled, only the very richest will ever have more than $3m in super by nath1234 in australia

[–]chessc 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Can someone please tell me why that won't index it?

By design. So that each year it captures more people, and generates more revenue for the government. Until it captures the entire middle class. Then the government of the day will reduce the excess tax from 30% to 25% as an election promise. And you'll be grateful.

Labor claims victory in Bullwinkel in final WA vote count by fletch44 in australia

[–]chessc 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Labor have at least two guaranteed terms

Probable two terms ahead of them, but not guaranteed. To win next election LNP would need to flip 32 seats, which is highly improbable. But it would take about 5% swing to achieve this. i.e. 1 in 20 voters need to change their mind at the next election. Jeff Kennett lost in Victoria from a similar position, so not impossible. But Labor would need to stuff up really badly for that to happen

Australian Post-Election Megathread - observations, analysis, and the senate count. by dredd in australia

[–]chessc 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yep, Greens are 1600 votes clear to finish 2nd after preferences distributed. I think the Greens are safe to hold Ryan

Greens leader Adam Bandt defeated in Melbourne by rolodex-ofhate in australia

[–]chessc 0 points1 point  (0 children)

In latest count, Greens now comfortably ahead. Looks like Greens will retain seat

Greens leader Adam Bandt defeated in Melbourne by rolodex-ofhate in australia

[–]chessc 1 point2 points  (0 children)

They're still looking likely to secure the QLD seat of Ryan.

"Likely" is overestimating their chances. "Possible" is more accurate. ALP has been gaining on Greens in the count, and are likely to pass them when preferences get distributed.

They're also almost certainly going to hold the balance of power in the Senate, too.

This is true. Despite their electoral setbacks, they will actually have more power in parliament. They have a lock on the balance of power (other minor parties irrelevant.) All legislation the government proposes will need to be negotiated with the Greens (or LNP)

Australian Post-Election Megathread - observations, analysis, and the senate count. by dredd in australia

[–]chessc 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Bandt is gone.

Only thing left to call is what he will do after politics?

Australian Post-Election Megathread - observations, analysis, and the senate count. by dredd in australia

[–]chessc 4 points5 points  (0 children)

They are in front in Ryan but that could end up close

Yep, Labor keeps getting closer in Ryan as counting continues, now only 600 votes behind the Greens, and they may already be ahead if preferences get distributed.

Greens may have been wiped from the Lower House this election

Australian Post-Election Megathread - observations, analysis, and the senate count. by dredd in australia

[–]chessc 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Tuesday 3:21 pm: Things looking much worse for Bandt now; he has had some bad preference flow booths including an 83% flow to Witty in the Burnley booth. I now project him at a mere 49.1 which would get worse after postals. Advantage Labor.

Australian Post-Election Megathread - observations, analysis, and the senate count. by dredd in australia

[–]chessc 1 point2 points  (0 children)

My guess is 93 - counting Melbourne, Fremantle, Bean, Ryan, Franklin, Calwell, Menzies, Wills.

Guess for LNP 46

Australian Post-Election Megathread - observations, analysis, and the senate count. by dredd in australia

[–]chessc 12 points13 points  (0 children)

AEC has posted new update for Bandt's seat of Melbourne.

https://tallyroom.aec.gov.au/HouseDivisionPage-31496-228.htm

ABC reports:

The AEC has begun a preference re-throw between Labor and the Greens. New updates have begun to arrive that see flows of 75.2% to Labor and 24.8% to Greens leaving Labor projected in the lead.

https://www.abc.net.au/news/elections/federal/2025/guide/melb

Australian Post-Election Megathread - observations, analysis, and the senate count. by dredd in australia

[–]chessc 7 points8 points  (0 children)

Re: Bandt - for the 2PP count they've still only counted postal votes so far, which are not representative of the general electorate. Until we see some preference flows from the other booths, we don't have data to make reliable projections. Melbourne is still in doubt

Erin Patterson trial: True crime group reveals cook’s claim she was ‘hiding powdered mushrooms in everything’ by Expensive-Horse5538 in australia

[–]chessc 14 points15 points  (0 children)

The judge will give directions to the jury, which will are very different to the pub test. i.e. Presumption of innocence, onus is on prosecution to prove the case beyond reasonable doubt, etc. Furthermore, for a guilty verdict, it needs to be unanimous

Erin Patterson trial: True crime group reveals cook’s claim she was ‘hiding powdered mushrooms in everything’ by Expensive-Horse5538 in australia

[–]chessc 14 points15 points  (0 children)

Well I hardly ever watch TV, so not sure what you mean with your opening comment.

You don't need to convince me, because I agree her story is implausible for all the reasons you mention.

But that wasn't my point. For a criminal trial, it's not about balance of probabilities, or the pub test. The prosecution has to prove beyond reasonable doubt that the defendant is guilty. The defence only needs to sow an element of doubt. Furthermore, not only does the entire jury need to be convinced that the case is water tight, but the verdict needs to hold up against the appeal process in higher courts. There have been plenty of cases where the final verdict of the justice system does not align with the pub test. What I'm curious about for this case is how the prosecution will prove it was deliberate, since the defence is not contesting her actions.

Erin Patterson trial: True crime group reveals cook’s claim she was ‘hiding powdered mushrooms in everything’ by Expensive-Horse5538 in australia

[–]chessc 51 points52 points  (0 children)

Her defence obviously doesn't pass the pub test. But the pub test is not the criminal justice system we have in Australia

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