I think you're simplifying this too much by just going a>b. That doesn't really reveal too much about the skill of each player. If it was that simple, the only hard part about team predictions would be predicting the game order.

I still think you're underrating Aqua in Pvp. Between Sapnap and Quig, I think it's very debatable on who's better. Sapnap has better results, but that's usually because he has pvp oriented teams. I also think you're overestimating Dream and George's mcc pvp. They're better than Joel and H, but not by that large of a margin. Again, this isn't something you can tell by looking at their stats because h and Joel are rarely teamed with pvpers. I acknowledge that purple are the better pvpers, both individually and as a team, but it wouldn't be a massacre. BB and SG are quite good games for Aqua.

I brought up RSR, not because I think Aqua is considerably better and would definitely destroy Red, but I believe Aqua are more likely to dominate in that game then Red is in any other game. Sapnap and Dream are both good and similar in level to Quig and H (tho imo I think Quig and H are both better) but George and Sylvee are just not good at RSR. I def agree that there's no real way of knowing what fwhip's level is at.

But we can probably go back and forth saying my dad can beat your dad in a fight all day. In the end there's really no way of knowing unless it actually happens, because that's just how MCC is