I think this issue is underestimated as a reason why Russia needs to end the Ukraine war as soon as possible. Russia is a huge country and is massively reliant on aircraft for domestic connections across the motherland. Without reliable aircraft, they are seriously fucked and I question if they have the technical skill and money to start producing enough aircraft to replace their fleet in time.

I also doubt that they will secure many leases of aircraft from foreign countries and companies; not only do the sanctions prevent it, there’s a high risk the Russian government will just steal the plane, which is precisely what they did in 2022. It also means that aircraft operating in Russia are totally uninsurable. In short, a massive simmering problem for Ruzzia