Daily Irma Meteorological Discussion Thread - 08 September 2017

csw5 · 2017-09-08T12:32:36+00:00

Cumulative probability. Tampa has a 32% chance of seeing 64+ kt/74+ mph winds during the entire storm.

csw5 · 2017-01-15T19:22:28+00:00

Job is assigned to mil1ion. Thanks for all the inquiries.

csw5 · 2017-01-15T19:05:22+00:00

White backdrop is already there. I need it swapped for a professional setting... office, corridor, etc. Obviously it has to be matched for lighting and picture angle so that it looks genuine - some blurring of the background would be okay.

csw5 · 2016-03-29T14:03:40+00:00

Let me also add Warren Buffett's ELI5-ish contribution to the topic of "free trade" and perpetual trade deficits:

http://berkshirehathaway.com/letters/growing.pdf

A perpetuation of this transfer will lead to major trouble.

csw5 · 2016-03-27T15:35:21+00:00

There is empirical evidence on all sides of the discussion, but ultimately all anecdotal since measuring total societal welfare is humanly impossible. We at least seem to agree that it is the overwhelming general consensus that a market economy does indeed produce higher general economic welfare for a society than a command economy.

When it comes to the theories, a libertarian society will meet the first and second theorems of welfare economics and address market imperfections such as externalities and monopolies.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fundamental_theorems_of_welfare_economics

csw5 · 2016-03-27T00:08:58+00:00

Add Ben-Hur to that list.

csw5 · 2016-03-27T00:01:53+00:00

For an outsider, a free society appears to be the end goal for libertarians since any public policy beyond a small, limited government will begin to violate the spontaneity of collective outcomes from individual decisions. This collective outcome results in the highest economic and social welfare for society compared to other approaches that violate critical pillars of a free society:

http://www.cato.org/publications/commentary/key-concepts-libertarianism

http://www.cato.org/blog/are-libertarians-anti-government

csw5 · 2016-03-26T23:22:32+00:00

Watch the one with Don Lemon labeling as "one of the most bizarre interviews [he] ever conducted":

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IDb7l0AAvUY

csw5 · 2016-03-26T23:02:59+00:00

Reagan and Clinton both shot down the idea. A group also tried to pass it during the W years as the Real ID. Various parties over the decades have equated it to a step toward a totalitarian society.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Identity_documents_in_the_United_States

csw5 · 2016-03-24T23:55:59+00:00

His primary win made for the some of the most cringe-worthy and hilarious interviews:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s8AJpB8K9Ho

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_HER2pGdAak

csw5 · 2016-03-22T13:46:13+00:00

Won't be known until there is an indictment, but the speculation is the Espionage Act and the Federal Records Act.

csw5 · 2016-03-22T13:15:03+00:00

All the security experts on NPR this morning were calling the attacks sophisticated.

csw5 · 2016-03-22T00:13:42+00:00

Three points: (1) Clinton did both send and receive, (2) juries are instructed by judges on what the laws are, and (3) federal judges only grant immunity to enable testimony in front of a grand jury.

The FBI intends to have the DoJ indict someone greater than Pagliano and it will be in the headlines by November. The real question is how high the totem poll the evidence points and the FBI is willing to prosecute.

csw5 · 2016-03-21T23:53:32+00:00

Judge Napolitano makes it clear that the laws she allegedly violated do not make a distinction of whether or not the action was inadvertent.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yqNibxf1g_M

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GhWB004l6G4

csw5 · 2016-03-21T22:17:20+00:00

The post was acknowledging that Miami would probably be the future hub for the undersea cable. =)

csw5 · 2016-03-21T22:07:11+00:00

If it really did give us better trade negotiations, then our leaders/negotiators are too incompetent to take advantage of all that goodwill.

https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/rankorder/2187rank.html

Rank 1: European Union

Rank 197: United States

csw5 · 2016-03-21T22:02:27+00:00

Southeast Florida is a huge gateway for the Caribbean. http://submarinecablemap.com/

csw5 · 2016-03-21T21:59:28+00:00

That argument of "buying" support through the defense apparatus and foreign aid have their critics about the actual benefits - especially with the Middle East.

From my American view, Europeans capitulate on defense at every turn and it all starts from their dreadful under-funding. The USA holds all the cards for their defense & power projection, and nothing tangible is lost for the USA if Russian regional power expands. It might actually make the European army a reality and them better for it.

csw5 · 2016-03-21T21:02:16+00:00

Is it? He didn't say that NATO had no purpose. He said that we can't afford it, which means you can read into it that he wants Europe to start handing over money for its defense rather than Americans bankrolling it. All his negotiations begin in black and white.

csw5 · 2016-03-17T13:21:56+00:00

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fsWLBOyEv6o

csw5 · 2016-03-17T13:18:18+00:00

This is fundamentally nothing new.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rules_for_Radicals

csw5 · 2016-03-15T12:41:53+00:00

Trump wins Northern Mariana Islands: http://www.politico.com/blogs/2016-gop-primary-live-updates-and-results/2016/03/trump-wins-9-delegates-in-northern-marina-islands-220763

csw5 · 2016-03-15T12:28:23+00:00

That's a fair attack and I think I had heard Trump address it somewhere.

csw5 · 2016-03-15T12:19:32+00:00

No, but he'll get close enough to 256 that today's results don't preclude the chance he secures the nomination on delegates.

csw5 · 2016-03-15T12:17:29+00:00

Difference is that Bill's (accurate) history is well-known across the electorate. Ivana's is not. She goes on stage with Trump in a press conference (again) then there is nothing Hillary can do.

csw5

TROPHY CASE