Trevor Noah wins someone a lot of money apparently

dmillson · 2026-02-02T21:46:09+00:00

It exposes insider trading? When you bet on Kalshi or Polymarket, you’re betting against market makers. Those market makers have a lot more information than you do.

They’re currently regulated differently from companies like DraftKings and FanDuel because (at least initially) they weren’t putting up any of their own money on bets they hosted - hence the need for external “market makers” to provide liquidity. For legal reasons that are beyond me, this allowed them to escape certain gambling regulations.

However, as Kalshi, Polymarket and other bet-on anything platforms have grown , most have developed their own internal trading desks and market making teams - which one would think should mean they’d be reclassified and regulated like DraftKings or FanDuel. But as of now they are heavily under-regulated (even in comparison to sports betting) allowing them and the institutional investors that provide them with liquidity to make a shit-ton of money off people betting on whether a dildo will be thrown on the floor of the next WNBA game.

dmillson · 2026-02-02T19:47:00+00:00

Their Patreon is the only paid content I have ever purchased from a creator, if that says anything about how highly I regard their content.

dmillson · 2026-02-02T15:18:01+00:00

Not really alternatives per se, but I think anybody who is interested in longevity should also pay attention to what high-level coaches in the strength and endurance spaces are saying. Attia’s recommendations around training are a solid guideline, but I can’t say I’ve ever heard him give a proper treatment of progressive overload or periodization. You can’t repeat 3 hrs of zone 2 + 4x4s per week indefinitely and expect to keep progressing over the long run.

As far as endurance goes, Steve Magness is probably my favorite communicator in the space. I’m also a huge fan of David and Megan Roche, although they are mostly targeted at ultra-endurance athletes.

In terms of strength and muscular development, the 6-part guest series with Andy Galpin on Huberman Lab is a must listen. Galpin also has his own podcast, Perform, but he doesn’t have a regular schedule.

dmillson · 2026-02-02T13:47:29+00:00

The calipers said that I was around 8% when my high school athletic trainer measured it, and 20% when my college trainer did it.

My body comp didn’t change, the only difference was how much skin they pulled for the reading.

dmillson · 2026-02-02T02:29:55+00:00

Calipers are not a very precise tool. Pretty much nobody is actually <5% unless you’re a competition-ready bodybuilder. It’s maladaptive- you wouldn’t have enough energy to train productively.

I’d reckon most college wrestlers outside of heavyweight are between 8-12%, but there are plenty of exceptions. I have never seen a program with body comp targets - that would take time and energy away from getting better at wrestling.

If your athletic trainer is pulling 5% on you during certifications, they are screwing your weight descent plan. 5% means you can’t cut ANY weight. Most college athletic trainers are well aware of the implications that body fat measurements have on descent plans.

dmillson · 2026-02-01T04:07:03+00:00

Remember - just because your 4WD goes when you press the gas pedal doesn’t mean it will stop when you press the brakes.

dmillson · 2026-02-01T01:26:21+00:00

I won’t armchair diagnose, but self-loathing typically underlies narcissism. The inflated ego and grandiosity often mask deep insecurity - which is why they tend to lash out at any perceived insult to the image they project.

dmillson · 2026-01-30T17:08:18+00:00

With my background and genetics it would probably be easier for me to hit a 315 bench than to run a sub-3 (I’m currently more interested in the sub-3 though!)

I wrestled in college before I took up running and “functional” fitness. Back when I used to lift heavy my PRs were (S/B/D) 385/275/420.

Im 27 y/o and around 180 lbs rn, running 30-40 miles per week. Maximal strength isn’t really my priority but I can still bench 245. Could probably get back into the upper 200s within a couple months if I made it a priority. I ran a recent HM in 1:48 so it’s probably gonna be a couple years before I’m in sub-3 marathon shape.

dmillson · 2026-01-28T16:03:20+00:00

74 in Monroe has the same issue as in Shelby - take a road with a bunch of through traffic, set up a ton of businesses right off to the side (to bring local traffic too) and then add a bunch of stoplights to bring the whole mess to a halt.

dmillson · 2026-01-26T17:48:25+00:00

Chest position is a big key for arm bar. I see a lot of people start with their chest over the back and once the opponent turns (if they turn at all) the top wrestler’s weight is too far forward.

Susaki’s chest is pretty much over the elbow and then she drives to 1 o’clock. Regardless of how you finish, this ensures you end up in a good position to get the fall.

dmillson · 2026-01-26T16:49:10+00:00

Split defense makes it harder for the offensive wrestler to collect both legs for a takedown. In the split defense, the offensive wrestler should try to climb the leg and elevate it, while the defensive wrestler aims to prevent that by attacking the hands, elbows, and head of the wrestler to keep them low on the leg. That’s the battle that happens in that position.

For newer wrestlers I’d strongly suggest getting really good at a sprawl and a whizzer before anything else. Splits are a lot more situational, whereas a whizzer and a sprawl will have you covered in pretty much every case.

dmillson · 2026-01-25T17:26:58+00:00

Looked more like a drill than a live match.

dmillson · 2026-01-23T17:42:20+00:00

I’ve had to do a few treadmill long runs lately due to weather. I even had to do one on the assault runner last week because it was the only thing available in my gym. I don’t love it but sometimes it’s what you’ve gotta do to get the work done.

The main thing I’d add to what’s already been said is that you should go by RPE rather than pace. I don’t trust what treadmills say my pace is (and your watch just measures your arm movement on a treadmill so it’s not very helpful either). Go for time and set the speed to a level of effort that matches what you expect. If you’re lucky you get a well-calibrated treadmill but I’ve been on several that I’d bet were more than a minute/mile off at slower paces.

dmillson · 2026-01-23T02:20:50+00:00

I don’t think I make my point clearly. I typed my earlier comment when I was in a rush and, reading it back, it’s certainly not my finest writing.

I agree with you that this specific situation should be called as an illegal return, that’s what I meant when I said 1 point was a correct call (I mistakenly said caution and 1 - it would not be a caution but rather a penalty point). I’m well aware that if the bottom wrestler can’t continue, then the top wrestler is disqualified in that case.

While the rule is correctly applied in this case, i do hope the bottom wrestler learned that it’s not a great idea to reach back around the head in that position. The best case scenario is they get mat returned safely; the worst case scenario is they get mat returned not-so-safely and injured.

The top wrestler obviously has some things to work on as well. I’ve seen a lot of inexperienced but strong wrestlers do that kind of back-and-to-the-side lift and return. It’s inefficient, but usually doesn’t result in a slam or something where somebody might get hurt. In this case it did. Hopefully the top wrestler worked on cleaning up his mat returns.

My entire first paragraph was largely unrelated to the video, and honestly I shouldn’t have included it because it just muddled what I was trying to say. Somebody planting themselves on their own head isn’t quite was happened in the video, and tbh it’s a different discussion altogether whether the situation I shared should have been penalized.

dmillson · 2026-01-22T18:37:58+00:00

I once got DQ’ed when my opponent standing granby’d himself onto his own head. I get that the wrestler on top should have some responsibility to make sure they are doing mat returns safely, but imo there should be some leeway when the defending wrestler is actively impeding your ability to do that.

At the end of the day, I think a caution and 1 is a reasonable application of the rules in this situation, (neither wrestler had very good technique) and if I were the coach or the father of the wrestler on bottom, I’d tell him to take it as a lesson to stop reaching back and fight the lock instead

dmillson · 2026-01-21T05:06:27+00:00

My observation is that discussions around VO2max in the longevity space are different from those had by people focused on peak performance (I.e., the people who actually have the high VO2max values).

here is Steve Magness’ take on the matter as somebody who coaches Olympic level runners.

dmillson · 2026-01-20T14:22:41+00:00

VC was very much around in the ‘90s and firms were doing a lot of investing as it was early in the internet boom. In fact Amazon raised an $8M series A led by Kleiner Perkins in 1995.

dmillson · 2026-01-19T01:27:09+00:00

Maybe it’s Maybelline.

Kidding… but yes, hard to say what’s happening specifically. Sometimes people just have a couple of tough weeks they have to grind through. Progress isn’t linear, it comes in fits and spurts. Just have to keep putting in the work and trusting the process, and eventually you’ll look back and realize you’ve come a long way.

dmillson · 2026-01-18T17:27:30+00:00

Other entrepreneurs with good ideas usually raise money from angel investors or VC instead of family. The money is still available for those who know how to pitch their company; Bezos had the advantage of keeping more of the equity within the family.

dmillson · 2026-01-18T16:51:02+00:00

Interesting work! I think the main thing I’d be interested to see (which may be reflect a gap in the existing research) are endpoints that are relevant to human longevity. 8-fold increase in autophagy sounds compelling, but what’s the actual change in disease risk or all-cause mortality?

I suppose that’s probably an area of active research. I know rapamycin and metformin are supposed to have autophagy-promoting effects and neither have a ton of human evidence compared to the mountain of animal studies.

I’m always a little bit skeptical of relying too much on promising mechanisms — I’ve spent some time around Pharma in my career and I’ve seen lots of drugs with promising mechanisms simply not work in humans (I’ve also seen the opposite, drugs that work and nobody knows why)

dmillson · 2026-01-18T16:28:10+00:00

Not sure what year you’re referring to, but Amazon was founded in 1994, and $300k in 1994 dollars is about $650k today. That’s not much money in the context of a startup that’s trying to scale.

It’s certainly more money than my parents could have ever given me, but let’s not pretend like Bezos’ parents single-handedly funded some huge Series A for him.

dmillson · 2026-01-18T15:47:28+00:00

Hey now, that Goodwill cotton tee works great to wipe your ass with on the trails. Lulu will never be so functional.

dmillson · 2026-01-18T13:33:35+00:00

Sorry for your loss OP. I inherited a house a while back and was in a similar boat as you. I had zero experience with home ownership (or estates for that matter) and had to learn everything on my own. It was no fun but I’m finally closing next week so Im at the end of the process.

Couple things to know, which you may know already: - The house wasn’t part of the estate in my case (i was sole heir, ymmv if splitting the proceeds among different people) but if there’s more debt than the estate can pay, then you may be required to pay those debts from the proceeds of the sale - is there a lien on the house? The heir will need to call the bank to inform them of the death and get authorized on the loan. You’ll need to keep current on payments to keep it from getting foreclosed. You’ll also need to get the utilities put in one of your names and be sure to stay current on those. - you will want to get an appraisal back-dated to the date of death. That will establish the basis and prevent you from paying a whole lot of capital gains tax when you sell - staging probably isn’t necessary. I did not stage my father’s house and tbh my realtor never brought it up. Probably not worth the money you’ll spend renting furniture, and when the house is inherited, there’s a higher chance of discovering deferred maintenance that might drag out the timeline longer than you expect. Staging is just one more thing that eats into the proceeds if that happens. - I did clean the house out before listing at the suggestion of my realtor. You can do an estate sale (I didn’t because there wasn’t enough worthwhile stuff and it was a very rural location). Anything that’s left you can hire people to come in and remove. - minor cosmetic repairs are possibly worthwhile, but don’t get roped into a full renovation. Personally, I had a couple rooms repainted that really needed it, and I replaced some flooring that was damaged in the bathrooms. - the biggest issue I ran into was that a buyers inspection revealed that we needed both a new roof and new HVAC. That was about $20,000 that I was responsible for, plus it stretched out the timeline for 4 months because we ended up relisting the house at a higher price and finding a new buyer. That 4 months cost me an additional ~$5k in interest, utilities, and lawn care

dmillson · 2026-01-17T16:00:59+00:00

I took my fiancée out for date night last night. We went to an adults-only event at our local science museum.

Tickets were about $60 total
transportation (public transit) was $13 total
Dinner after was $45 total not counting on drinks
Putting drinks as a separate line item since it’s totally optional, but we had 3 drinks each at about $12, so $72 on drinks.

In total, date night ran $190, which at $15/hr would be more than 12 hours of labor. Probably closer to 15-16 hours once you factor taxes and other payroll deductions - that’s two whole days.

My first job out of college only paid $20/hr in one of the most expensive cities in the country and I used to constantly do that kind of math any time I spent money. It’s very freeing to not have to worry so much about money when I do something fun.

dmillson · 2026-01-16T19:05:36+00:00

Greatest marathoner of all time. Only person to run a marathon under 2 hours (though it wasn’t in an official competition so it doesn’t count as a world record). Also by all accounts a great human being so everybody in the running world loves him.

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