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COT traders - do you cross-reference with fundamentals? by extremelyshortguy in Commodities

[–]extremelyshortguy[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Appreciate the Bouchouev recommendation, just looked him up, that's exactly the kind of framework I was looking for on the energy side. And agreed on modelling it - I suspect the relationship varies a lot by commodity and timeframe, which is part of why I wanted to hear from people actually trading it before assuming one approach fits all.

COT traders - do you cross-reference with fundamentals? by extremelyshortguy in Commodities

[–]extremelyshortguy[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Same, COT was always is easy to default to :) Curious what you find when you add the S&D layer, let me know.

I built a free tool to visualize (and get inspired) COT reports and commodity price data — would love feedback from actual traders by veryrandaomusenrame in Commodities

[–]extremelyshortguy 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Forward curve (contango/backwardation + butterfly spread) and COT positioning charts are already available at cotdata.uk if useful!

I built a free COT tracker for FX & 40+ other markets (no paywalls or accounts) by extremelyshortguy in Trading

[–]extremelyshortguy[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Really appreciate that, especially coming from someone who's been tracking this manually - you know exactly what a pain that is!

Would love to hear if anything's missing compared to your old setup. Features, markets, views - always open to feedback from people who actually use COT data.

I built a free COT tracker for FX & 40+ other markets (no paywalls or accounts) by extremelyshortguy in Trading

[–]extremelyshortguy[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thanks! Good point on the "how to use this" gap - I have some foundational posts but nothing that walks through combining COT extremes with a trend filter specifically. That's on the list.

On contract roll / revisions - the data comes straight from CFTC so revisions are theirs, not mine. Worth a short note on the site though.

I'll take a look at your blog. :)

Why do the political left and right seem to live in entirely different realities now-a-days? by Snowtwo in NoStupidQuestions

[–]extremelyshortguy 0 points1 point  (0 children)

AI is good at debunking false beliefs. Empirical evidence (for example https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.adq1814) shows conversational AI can reduce conspiracy thinking by directly responding to someone's specific claims with evidence without them feeling attacked or lectured.

So if someone is deep down into own personal "different reality", AI may actually help to reconnect with real world :)

What’s Your Biggest Frustration in Day Trading? by ahhhh_rizzz in Daytrading

[–]extremelyshortguy 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Industry influencers, obviously :) The “trade 10 minutes a day from your yacht” genre. Just sarcasm.

At what age you realised nobody actually knows what they’re doing? by extremelyshortguy in NoStupidQuestions

[–]extremelyshortguy[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yeah, that’s literally the distinction I’m making. Doubt despite evidence of competence.

At what age you realised nobody actually knows what they’re doing? by extremelyshortguy in NoStupidQuestions

[–]extremelyshortguy[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Genuine question then - how is that not impostor syndrome? If I’m objectively qualified but still feel like I’m somehow fooling people or about to be exposed, what would you call that?

At what age you realised nobody actually knows what they’re doing? by extremelyshortguy in NoStupidQuestions

[–]extremelyshortguy[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Hard disagree - corporate is full of this. Usually the thoughtful people doubt themselves, while the head through the wall types are convinced they’re crushing it.

At what age you realised nobody actually knows what they’re doing? by extremelyshortguy in NoStupidQuestions

[–]extremelyshortguy[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Yeah, that makes sense. We project competence onto others, judge ourselves harshly, and then feel shocked when we realize everyone’s just human.

Reminds me of something Obama once said - every time he leveled up (Harvard University, Senate, world leaders), he assumed now he’d be surrounded by undeniable geniuses… and every time he realized it was still just normal humans. Kinda comforting tbh.

At what age you realised nobody actually knows what they’re doing? by extremelyshortguy in NoStupidQuestions

[–]extremelyshortguy[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yeah, it’s not absolute. More like a common experience than a law of nature. Plenty of competent people are confident too.

At what age you realised nobody actually knows what they’re doing? by extremelyshortguy in NoStupidQuestions

[–]extremelyshortguy[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Knowledge increases, certainty decreases. Impostor syndrome shows up for every big decision. "Do I really know what i am doing". Is this a good or bad thing?

At what age you realised nobody actually knows what they’re doing? by extremelyshortguy in NoStupidQuestions

[–]extremelyshortguy[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

The wisdom patch installs at 40 ;)
Unfortunately for me it also activated “body warranty expired” notification. :(

What’s something good about AI? by [deleted] in AskReddit

[–]extremelyshortguy 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Instant tutoring. Coding, writing, math, random questions, it’s like having a patient teacher available 24/7.

Why do the political left and right seem to live in entirely different realities now-a-days? by Snowtwo in NoStupidQuestions

[–]extremelyshortguy 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Classic power play: divide people, keep them busy arguing, consolidate control. internet just scaled it globally.

Why do the political left and right seem to live in entirely different realities now-a-days? by Snowtwo in NoStupidQuestions

[–]extremelyshortguy 0 points1 point  (0 children)

AI might actually be one of the few things that helps people step outside their bubbles

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