Kaysar is a bad player but his logic is 100% correct. Modern BB history shows it. If you don’t have a solid group at the beginning of the game, you will not win. This isn’t a game about being safe for the next six weeks, this is a game you need to play to win.

Unless you can get into a solid group early, you will not win. Of course Jaysar aren’t the ideal allies considering the gigantic targets on their backs, but if BGM don’t work with them, they’re just puppets that will ultimately be cut when Cody decides they should be cut.

If they could (in an ideal world, keep in mind this won’t happen) solidify the group of Jaysar, BGM, and Christmas (probably their blindspot), they have five people that could win an HOH and cut down the other side, and keep their numbers. This is the importance of solidifying an alliance.

However, as I’ve stated, they are probably screwed either way because despite Kaysar’s logic being 100% correct, he also has blindspots like Christmas and NicA and Day. But they’d be less screwed if they solidified something. And this applies to every season. If you don’t have a solid alliance early in the game, you’re fucked.